2004 and the 2010 off-year election then the independents are going to swing it because party identifier these days are strong partisans. you are getting 90-plus percentage of democrats for obama and 90% republicans voting for romney. weir we'll see something other than a 1% race in the presidential contest. megyn: if that's true why don't we see bigger numbers for mitt romney in states like ohio and iowa and these other critical states that may be required for him to win. >> we have seen in ohio romney has been leading among independents in most polls. but a lot of those statewide polls have been getting electorates that in party identification terms are more democratic than 2008. that seems counter intuitive. but those are the results they are getting. i think there may be some systemic problem with the polls,