undecided from voting for romney. that is a win for the president if they stay home. he will need tv effort and plus trying to persuade the undecided not to support romney. >> and governor, may i just add the states are significant for another reason. we look through the 2008 pris'm. in the states that we mentioned. obama carried wisconsin, iowa and new hampshire and ohio, certainly . but two short years later. a republican one state wide seat and in the case of wisconsin twov them and in the case of new hampshire. and so super seeding intervening factor is the 2010 election and model the turn out with a hybrid of 2008 and 10 where the issues are the same as in 2010; you are on to something you copele that with