6-point lead under guam and now it's 7. he gave us some historical context for these numbers. >> this is the first time romney has hit 50% in the gallup likely voter poll. the president has never hit 50% in the likely voter poll. and no candidate who has led in mid-october with 50% or more in the likely voter poll has ever gone on to lose. megyn: chris style walt, this is a 7-day rolling average that gallup does is my information. it would include some polling in the wake of the debate this week, but the majority of it would have been prior to the debate. is it telling us anything given that? >> well, it's telling us a lot. it's telling us each day that goes forward you are adding another day beyond the debate and more importantly the vice presidential debate from last week. what we were wondering what was judged to be tied but where