in reality it will take him five nationally and put him in the lead significantly in florida and virge virge - virginia and a smaller lead in ohio. i did a study with my friend johnn, a fellow pollster and he looked at exit polls when voters came out of the voting booth. they were asked what is yourr party reference? democrats had a one point edge . went to 13 surveys done by the media in september, and he found in those, there was a combined 8 point democratic edge. those polls are 7 points wrong . so when they show in ohio that mitt romney is down by 5. they are saying it is a tied race there and when this thing