spirit factors versus the uptick this month, or if you correct the employment statistic, private sector jobs are up a little bit. that is the tail of the dog. >>neil: thank you. with the economy struggling which poll should you buy? swing states where the president is gaining? or the real clear politics national average showing the rights show that neither candidate has the upper hand. my guest is keeping track of this. what do we maybe of this, tom? >>guest: well, it is a mess. it is confusing. we have a variety of polls showing a variety of things. gallup is showing obama with a six-point lead. another poll from the last ten days show it is a one-point race but obama has extended the lead in thible average to four points. with the latest round swing