intervening, a lot can change between now and january 3rd. that's number one. number two iowa is not always predictive. new hampshire is famously contrary, and its open independents can vote in new hampshire, favoring have someone like a huntsman or romney. so i think the underlying dynamic has been this, republicans are searching for the most conservative candidate thecan nominate with a chance of getting elected. ultimately they'll come back and look at mitt romney. the problem for mitt is he's a suspect conservative, but he's electable. he can do that, he won't win iowa, but resurrected in new hampshire, and i think still is the most likely default option for the republican party. >> ed, as i mentioned, you ran mike huckabee's campaign which won iowa four years ago. how important is a field organization, especially in a