down without power for a week. >>shepard: the eye is so close to new york city you can no project from 40 to 50 miles where it will jog. if it goes west of the difficult, the city's planning models make it look like lower manhattan is underwater. rick: the planning models talk about a storm coming from the southeast and you see a storm from the southeast hits jersey and pummels the surge up into the hudson river and that is not the case, this storm is coming from here, you will not have that kind of a storm surge and we are talking about category one hurricane not a three, so not the models you are seeing for new york city. >>shepard: the surge, the eastern part long island, and middle island, and to john f. kennedy on the western side of long island, they could get storm surge but that could top dunes so if you live along the shore you need to, do what?