to happen, or wyoming or idaho. the same is true on the other side. it's amazingly easy to categorize 30 of the 45 american states, you're left with ten, 15, 16 that are potentially competitive. rick: don't diminish the work you're doing at the university of virginia because i know you and your staff are working very ward. larry sabato, the pendulum swing author, director of the center of politics at university of virginia, always good to get your insights, thank you very much for your time? >> -- for your time. >> thanks rick. harris: here are the developments in the case of a missing teenager, felicia barnes, found in a river in maryland. what investigators are learning about what happened to this girl, just 17 years old. >> crews fighting those raging texas wildfires are finally going to get break, but wait, how much progress can they possibly make with such a small window of opportunity? what the forecast is like, how long it's going to hold. we'll get the latest from the front line. stay close.