supply chain is going to be much more significant than the administration is playing up. and then there is one more effect which we shouldn't downgrade. and that is if you start to see price inflation on things like manufactured goods that use these products, that could make the fed have to hike rates sooner than it would like and that would cause everybody's debt to get more expensive, it could also cause bigger correction in the stock market. >> so with that said, give us the best and worst scenario for the middle class consumer. >> so the best scenario is that we find out on monday that this is a lot of uberous, maybe the president backs down and there are many ways that a tariff if it was implemented could be implemented. it could be targeted on certain countries. we can hope that it wasn't a blanket tariff on some of our allies. that is already by the way having -- creating real concerns in europe, there are retaliatory measures being talked about on jeans and motorcycles in the