plaquemines' parish and the port. the change is we've had a shift to the east. that's why on the western edges, we're not seeing the strong winds with this or much in the way of rainfall. but the computer models still pretty much in agreement with that. that little shift to the east may have shared new orleans, just like we had seen irma shift in part for tampa bay. as we're see the system closer to our shoreline, we're going to see the band move in, not just the threat for tornadoes but for the storm surge. i want to show you the coastline and why the surge is such a big deal. if we get in closer to new orleans, even though they're not going to be in the wind threat, it's a little bit of a problem at lake pontchartrain because now the winds will start coming from the north with their system to the east. that's going to shove water maybe three, six feet up against