about islamists gaining power, taking control in egypt if mubarak left. that is certainly something mubarak has used over his rein to support western security and to garner support here. how realistic is that? what sort of power do they have here in moving forward if mubarak left? what sort of power would they have? >> reporter: most egyptian analysts believe if there were free and fair elections the muslim brotherhood and similar groups would win around 30 to 35% of the vote, but certainly not only has the mubarak government exaggerated the so-called islamic threat in fwpt egypt to the united states but did that to a great extent to the egyptian people as well. every time elections would come around, they would send out a message, either vote for mubarak