seriously. but you can't forecast by analogy. that doesn't work at all. leading indicators say it's premature to say we have a new recession. we have to stay tuned. you can't predikt the predictors. >> you are the guy to study this. thanks very much for being with us. the managing director. all right. listen, this is an interesting story. it started on a yuton national guard shooting base and blown off base but so far machine gunfire destroyed four homes and forced people out of 2,000 more. apparently sparked bayh ammunition fire during a training exercise. an emotional evacuee giving his side of today's story. >> these fires are an occurrence that happen occasionally during training. that's why we have on-site equipment in order to fight the fire with trucks and tanks and black hawk helicopters as