Discussion on the 2020 census and hispanic voters. From the National Association of latino elected and appointed officials annual conference in miami, this saabout 50 minutes. So this afternoon wed like to spend a few minutes reflecting, first, on what we heard this morning and some of the issues that were addressed by the candidates as we delve into what were calling next year as the perfect storm. Right . So the 2020 census, youve all heard its coming, but theres also an election in 2020, and its all happening at the same time. And for better or for worse, the role of latinos in the 2020 census, the role of latinos in primaries and the november election, will be a key narrative of next year. And so what is thatimplications . How can we begin now to make sure that narrative tells the complete story of the impact latinos will have on american politics . So to help me have this conversation, please welcome to the stage as i introduce them. Let me start first with another past naleo president , the current secretary of state of the great state of california, i only say that because im from l. A. The honorable alex barrea. If you can come on the stage. [ applause ] secretary padilla was elected in 2014 and became the first latino to hold the office of secretary of state. He previously served on the city council for the city of los angeles. Come on up, sir. Take a seat. And in the california state senate. And he did us a great honor and favor by serving as cochair of the National Latino commission on census 2020. In fact, he did such a good job that mayor newsom in california just appointed him as chair of just appointed him as chair of the Campaign Contract cota committee. Welcome to the stage miamidade School District board member. Lubina varo. Luby was appointed to that position by governor rick stot in 2015 to fill a vacancy that to fill a vacancy. She has been since elected to represent the constituents of district seven. Her Public Service goes back many years, two decades. Previously worked for numerous state legislators in the florida statehouse and state senate. I know one of her prouder Public Service roles was leading miamidade 2010 complete count committee. Please welcome luby. My very good friend. Maria theresa kumar. President and ceo of vote latino. She is a emmy nominated credibilitier to msnbc. And under her leadership vote latino has been a key factor in National Elections by directly registering over a quarter million new voters and influencing millions more through vital celebritydriven campaigns and social media campaigns. And her organization is a terrific partner with the educational fund. And also dr. Matt. He is also a professor of Political Science and chickena, chicken o studies at ucla. He previously held positions at the university of washington, the author of four books and more than 60 articles. And he is founding faculty director of the latino policy and Politics Initiative at ucla school of public affairs. So let me get started. As i gather my notes here. Move over to the chair. Im asking dr. Barreto, to give us a your take on what you heard this morning from the candidates. I know that your firm you have done a couple of polls. You did one for us. Thats right. I think it was in april. We commissioned latino decisions to do a poll of latino registered voters to look at favor ability ratings of the candidates. Then i know you did another. Give us a flavor of whats happened on favor ability ratings and reflect on the candidates that showed up today. Thank you. Sure be happy to. As he said he commissioned us to do a poll in april. We gave him an extreme willy low price on that poll and he said i could have a free trip to miami. So im here. Thank you, enjoying miami thank you for the welcome weve had a great time. In april we found not a lot of latinos has been hearing from the president ial candidates even though a lot of us following the news closely had been obsessed with seeing what was happening and felt like the campaign had been going on too long but many latino voters didnt share that and felt that the candidates had not been reaching out. They were getting to know the candidates. This was similar to what we did with in our work in the 2018 election in which we found throughout the 2018 election the campaigns and the candidates were slow to reach out to the Latino Community. And they did catch up over the fall and we did have a really excellent massive turnout by 2018 election day. But were seeing that same thing now. It seems the community is always the last one to get approached by the candidates to be nanld by the candidates. Engaged by the candidates. Looking at the new poll came out yesterday we found there had been an increase especially for some of the more wellknown candidates, joe biden, bernie sanders. But for many of the other candidates theyre getting to know the Latino Community and the Latino Community is getting to know them. We had a large percentage in some cases over half, a majority of latino voters saying they had no opinion or never heard some of the candidates who are major candidates, u. S. Senators and other important positions. Hopefully we see the number go down. Seeing more outreach in the community. I want to thank for the work in keeping the spotlight on that. But arturo always insists when we can latino voters how much have you heard and are you hearing from the candidates . And were able to use that to report to the media and candidates that you need to do a better job engaging our community. Excellent. And so the Maria Theresa, i o why dont you pick up on that. Youve done a stellar job representing our community on msnbc. Thank you. I understand you were there this morning. Yes, yes. Sorry we missed you. I missed you guys. I would have enjoyed it. In terms of the forum what are you hearing from the candidates and campaigns, how do you think theyre playing with regard to the issues you hear from the community. First of all, i am thrilled to be hair because arturo what you do so strategically is bring everybody in a place where there is opportunity. And there is so much opportunity in this election. And one of the things that were hearing from the candidates is that there are a curiousty of the Latino Community but for many of us they see us as foreigners. Our job is to bridge them. When matt says that yes latinos came out in force, that was despite the fact that no one reached out to us. Lets be clear. By the 2018 midterm election, after votesy cast, 76 of latinos came out and voted. 49 of registered latinos had never heard a peep from anybody. So for the people in this room, there is no plan b for the community. We have to be very railroad clear that the elections are going to be the most important ones of our lifetime. But we need to keep an eye on the ball of the census. When we talk about the idea that the census sus not bringing money back into the community and then the 5yearold shows up in kindergarten and there is not a desk, its because he wasnt counted. That is the direct correlation. So we are living in a curious time but a time of tune. At vote latino we directly regereded 200209 voters. 15fers directly from texas and opportunity lies in young people whether talking about the census, talking about the elections. When people say latinos dont vote, thats nonsense. Our issue is closing the Voter Registration gap. We have roughly 15 million latinos unregistered. 10 million of them under the age of 29. When they register they vote. And thats up to us because our destiny is so intertwined with this country. And were disproportionally young. The majority of whites of 15 years old. The majority of latinos are 19 years old. We we have campaigns and thats what vote latino has done in the past we focused on young people. What we did in 2010 was focus on 15yearolds because they could shepherd the cent us census for the parents. We went to 66,000 kids in los angeles. We did churches in chicago. We were up in communities, up in albany new york and saw performance because we recognize the youngs people agency. As you develop the programs recognize their leadership. At as ed gonzalez sated so well we are the fruition of our parents. We are their imagination and also their voice. Thank you, Maria Theresa. Well spent a bit more time getting deep, i hope in how we mobilize our voters for next year. But i want to spend a little bit a few morp minutes about what we heard this morning. Let me turning to you lubyp you were supposed to have asked the question of senator warren but she was a little long winded in opening remarks. That were not just one minute. As a consequence you werent able today that. I lament not just because you werent able to ask a question. But because you were a School Board Member and one of the republicans that we wanted to make sure that the candidates understand who they were talking to in this room, and in this audience. But i assume none of those are your candidates, you know not being of your party. But reflecting on what you heard, and how do you think it plays out in this community . Well, i think one of the messages you heard was that some of them obviously were very ready on the census question. And particularly to the senator. We made sure of that. Particularly with the senator, i felt that she didnt have a plan and so when we look at candidates that are discussing the census and thats what we are here for we have to be on point to make sure that they understand that although their election is no november 2020 theyre going to be consequences to this nation for ten years. And so we have to be direct and ensure that they have an answer and a plan to execute come day one that january 2021. We have to be ready. Obviously to ensure that the census is a patriot not just with our candidates but in every community of in country. Im proud to have served with secretary paddia as a cochair of the National Latino commission on the census. Thank you. And also to be joined with nine commissioners who many are here. I believe we have four present with us. This was a lot of work. We went to five cities in the u. S. And heard direct testimony from experts on in issue. I want to recognize our president who served with us. Walter tehalla another another elected feshl representative santiago. And lilly. And together we were able to hear directly on the ground some of the issues that communities across in nation are going to be facing. We heard from border communities. We started out as secretary paddias hometown in the city of los angeles we went to new york, new york, columbus, ohio, san antonio, texas and orlando, florida. And so with this information we were able to release on may 22nd, the secretary and i our Commission Report which you all should have a copy of which is the community speaks. This is valuable information that will provide you the information and that we hope that the Census Bureau ant administration can ac on some of the recommendations and findings we were able to come up with. Thank you. And well spend more time on the census as well. But secretary paddia and full transparency i know you do have a favorite in the field. The candidate wasnt with us this dsh the our murlt senator kamala harris. What do you think happened this morning in terms of what you heard and saw and then ill ask the questions what risks for those who didnt come they took in not being here. As objectively as i can possibly be, i think it was great for nalleop 8 candidates for president of the United States came not just to falk to us but to talk to our community. [ applause ] and i dont know who was holding their breath thinking all 25 would be here. Just a couple. We would still be there. The California Democratic party, largest state party in the country hosted 13 or 14. Its up there. Its up there. For those who werent here, look, i dont think it was only but its a prime opportunity to speak to the leadership of our community. From my observations, yes, some were more prepared than others, some more comfortable than others. We had first timers. And you had some repeat speakers to naleo. To me that speaks volumes to us as ooh an organization, every year, every cycle seen as the best place to address the concerns of our community, which are not just immigration but grimes is very important to us. And again, every candidate was a little bit different in issues they touched on, policy stances, levels of preparation, levels of comfort but it was a great moment. Okay. And the noshows. The noshows they have to work harder. All right. To make sure they communicate. Lets talk about the census Commission Report. As luby mentioned we appointed our own commission to go out around the country and take testimony from our community and other communities as well. We heard from africanamericans, asians, lgbt leaders about what is happening in the streets of america as we prepare for census 2020. The two cochairs are here. What was the most surprising thing you heard you attended all five hearings gnaw heard from around the country. Was there a common theme or was it something that you didnt expect to hear . Yeah, thank you, arturo. I think the common theme is as we talk about the census and see there is fear. What i heard throughout this nation is the fear not just of the undercount but the fear that a government has the atrocity to ask us for the First Time Since the 1950 census news a very, very deliberative time if you are are you a citizen . And i as a as an immigrant to this nation have a problem with it although a u. S. Citizen. I have a problem with that. The common theme, whether you are representing an asian community, a chicano community, Lgbt Community or the issue of children or families it was the fear of what is going to happen when i answer this question . Obviously with the fear of punishment if i put a false statement to that question, but the fear that now the government will have that information and how would it be utilized, despite the federal protections on the release of that information . Our communities already are in the shadows in the last few years with whats going on in this nation. Our families have fear of sending their children to our schools. We see that every day in miamidade. And if you think the fear is not real, come to my south Dade Community in a rural area in the redlands where they live and work in the fields. So that is the theme, arturo, fear. Secretary paddia your reflection z on the commission experience. Yeah, not a big surprise with you certainly an important observation. You know, the concerns, the fear that we talk sometimes too intellectually about oh questioning the citizenship of every person in america through the census that impact that could have from prior experience, knowing our community. Of course its discouraging or intimidate people from participating and the consequences and all that. The big observation is not that thats anecdotal but that its very, very palpable from people in community, to leaders and in academia, government, philanthropy, across the board, that concern and fear is very palpable. And as ive been saying in california, this applies across the country. Every ten years its tough enough to ensure a complete National Population count. Its tough. There is a reason why there is a hard to count designation that we utilize when it comes to the census. So now on top of all that we layer on the Citizenship Question, layer on top of that years of underfunding and understaffing of the Census Bureau. Were less prepared today than we would typically be at this stage of the game. Layer on top of that the Digital First census. Most people are used to getting the form in the mail now most people will get a post card with instructions of how to go online and submit your information electronically. They say well have other options to get the survey later or do it by phone or what have you but thats the first impression, you know when there is still a Digital Divide in america including california, both from access standpoint, Digital Literacy stoip process let alone concerns about cybersecurity. There is a lot of work we have cut out but the stakes are no different what it means from federal funding, political representation, what it means for fair redirecting, et cetera, et cetera. The stakes are remain just as high. The challenges are greater. And we dont have a Second Chance in dsh zbloosh well, according to the candidates we heard today. Not in 2020. Not in 2020 but some candidates say they would support a recount or doing it over if if 2020 turns out to be the disaster that many of us think it may be. Let me go to matt. Matt you had a unique opportunity to be in the courtroom during the litigation. Because you served as an expert witness. Your research was used by the plaintiffs who sued the department of commerce and Census Bureau over the decision to place this question on there. And your research was used and cited by the judges in this case. Give us your perspective. What was it like to be in the courtroom . What do you think well you werent at the Supreme Court arguments right. No. On april 23rd but you were at the district level. Give us insight what you think the court was asking. It was remarkable. I was very fortunate to be selected by both the new York Attorney general and also the California Attorney general to conduct some original research and author these reports. In new york, i think it was about a half of a day. About four hours of explaining the research, and then answering questions from the department of justice lawyers. And in the california trial it was an entire day, about 8 and a half hours start to finish being on the stand, walking through the findings, trying to explain what was at stake and what was what was happening. And i think the judges in all three of the cases my research was presented in the kravitz case in ph. D. But there wasnt any live testimony. All three judges if you look at the questions they asked of us and the way they wrote opinions were very thoughtful, very carefully following, asking questions, interrupting the witnesses, asking them to clarify how would the impewtation work . How would the proxies work, meaning if you dont answer the census they send someone to your community and say does anyone know who lives in the house. How many people live there . Are they citizens not citizens. If no one answers they send out a statsishen out and any will say that house has 3. 2 people. In the process all the errors made. We used previous census documents. Its been stated, the census does a selfcritique at the end and every year they know as the secretary stayed there are hard to count populations. And these are predominantly in recent immigrant arrivals or undocumented communities. And the census has published its own findings in 1992, 2002, 2012, saying there is a huge trust factor in undocumented communities. We know were getting the count wrong. Luckily were able to do an okay job because we partner with what they call trusted voices, groups like naleop they say in the reports we take them out in the community with them. And the thing that we have to convince the people of is we dont ask about the citizenship status. This is the only saving grace were not asking anyone about status and eventually we earn the trust. And we have people like naleo saying yes its important to do this. And when we presented that evidence using their own reports against them, i think it was a very powerful part of the trial. And the judges all three cited that saying the census knows that the this is going to harm the quality of the data. I think thats one of the reasons they moved against this. And now i guess you know were going to await probably on monday and find out what the decision is. And i think all of us based on that april 23rd Supreme Court hearing are extremely nervous about what might happen. Because if that question stays on, even with all of the good will and all the work that we do in the naleo commission theyre already getting an undercount in our communities. You are going to get a worse undercount with this president to begin with because of the fear. Then layer on top of it the Citizenship Question, it could be catastrophic in terms of states like florida, california, texas, new york, really at the top of the list, cuesing losing billions, hundreds of billions of dollars as well as congressional seats. California probably lose two congressional seats. Texas probably lose two as well. No matter what the Supreme Court rules, the census sus going to go forward and it will be the policy of this organization that we will do everything we can to make sure that every Single Person because thats what the constitution says by the way doesnt say citizen or man or white person, or strait person, or voter. It says every person is to be counted. So we will do everything we can to be true to our constitution. And mary theresa i had the opportunity to be on a panel with a colleague of yours last week. Yes. Terrific catch there. After 2021 go for it. But she was starting to explain how you are gearing up for in perfect storm. Umhum. Were going to go out and mobilize our community for the census. At the same time that two supertuesdays are going on. Yes. Supertuesday, including california and texas is march 3rd. Another one march 17th. The forms get mailed on march 12th. Nonresponse follow up through the end of july. And by then we are gearing up for november. She was talking about you are giving some thought already how to combine the Civic Engagement strategies to look at both census and election outreach. We launched a Campaign Last year called somosmas our moment our vote. Now our census counts we recognize the only way to communicate to the Latino Community is partnership. Naleo is one of the first to jump onboard. We identified doing a Digital Program and also went on the ground. We are right now in 16 different city chapters. By the end of the year well be in 30. By the end of midjuly well be in 50. The whole idea is creating a drum beat. What we have found is that the more people actually we demystify the census. The more people have information and there is a sense us of empowerment. Somas [ speaking spanish ]. And there has been such urgency. And more importantlily people feel proud to stand up and lock arms. As we look what we do next, we did a soft launch in april. In less than 48 hours, without actually pushing any muscle, meaning we didnt do paid ads we had close to 3,000 people pledge to take the census. That means that there is an appetite when people once people are interested. And the places we tabled and anbar has treated them wonderfully people saying i want to sign up for the census thap can i table as well . Thats the energy we need as well. Give our people the empowerment theyve earned. Because nothing is given. I want everyone to look around at our each other. Youre our leadership. Youve been built for this moment. I recognize so many of you when i started my career. To imagine we would have a secretary pattia, individuals making these decisions, because i have to tell you the census question is not by accident. About two weeks ago they actually found one of the gop political strategists passed away on his hard drive he was helping design the census question. On his hard drive im paraphrase we are going to ask the Citizenship Question to encourage and to ensure that we have republican white districts at the state level. We have the receipts that share with us the intention behind the incidence. And that cannot be obfuscated. The more we recognize the reasoning and we tell our people that theyre afraid of us to step up theyre now in our ring. I dont know about you because my parents fought every single way to make sure we were in the rooms. This is what we know how to do. Umhum. [ applause ] you know, mr. Secretary people ask me, well naleo how do you census and elections at the same time . And i think well if we get enough money from foundations well figure it out. Jerry are you still in the room in helios, toyota, corporate, too. Seriously, mr. Secretary, you have to do both, because you are in charge of the elections in california. And you just were appointed the chair of the california complete count committee. How do you do both. First of all we dont have a choice. Its our responsibility. Its our mission and yes we are going to accept it. Look on the one hand its going to be a lot of work, a busy year because we are going to mobilize to register and get out the vote in the primary. Were going to mobilize get out the vote in the general and in between were going to work to make sure every person is counted in california. Moving the primary earlier plays to our advantage i think. Because in the past its been an overlapping time table to do the Voter Registration push get out the vote push, during the census period and the nonresponse follow up period. Now we have earlier primary so we can focus on that exclusively and then immediately transfer into census mode, if you will. Im already talking to whether philanthropy, employers, all the political candidates and campaigns and parties keep the outreach infrastructure going. Celebrate on Election Night or more on Election Night depending on the results. Keep the phone banks requesting going, the walkers going, keep the outreach in communities through march, april, you know and all of that. Wree kinning all the partnerships. I know both the la mund o and other traditional media, social media everybody has a role to play in helping kmunlt li communicate the Important Information with or without the census question, you know we hope for the best. But preparing for the worst. Of why its important to participate what it means for the communities from a funding standpoint and everything else. Yeah. Matt so were in florida. And you can you talk a little bit about the apology of the latino electorate in the state and how do you think its shaping up for next year . Well, i mean there is no tout florida is going to be one of the consequential states again as it is every year. And i think two pockets are probably very important within the Latino Community. The first is to figure out ways to increase the Voter Registration and mobilization. And it could be that groups like vote latino are working on this. We were talking with about it before in Central Florida in osceola and orange counties. Because everyone knows there have been huge influxes of Puerto Ricans into Central Florida that were not fully reached out to in 2018. And despite the large increase in Voter Participation in 2018 there was a low point there. There was an opportunity. I think thats probably the most important opportunity in the entire state of florida is outreach and Voter Registration mobilization of Puerto Ricans in Central Florida. Here in south florida, you know, we have seen a dramatic changes in the latino electorate from a community that was once dominated by foreign born cuban and cuban americans and now the community here is very diverse which large columbian and venezuelan populations be dominican populations and mexican population across the entire state of florida. So the community here is very diverse. The issues are different. And i think the community here has the largest number of votes and has the largest place to be impactful. We are looking at issues of persuasion, talking to people about the candidates. Its not just a republican machine in the Cuban Community as it used to be. There are different opinions and views. I think florida will be very exciting, not only the focus on Puerto Ricans in Central Florida. But here to see all the diversity. I hope the candidates have the diversity of the campaign to the Latino Community they have a strategy talking to older cubans, the younger cubanens like the mayor. Theyve a strategy for talking to south americasens and and venezuelans about maduro they have a strategic to talk about it and not cede the ground to the white house. Lets see how specific and targeted they get. Do they talk to us on our ferms . Or like some of the candidates this morning do they come and say, buenos dias. I want them to understand the different latino communities and come with a message of outreach. Then you see the polling numbers increase and latinos. Let me ask lubet about her perspective on florida and we can jump in. In miamidade we speak over 112 languages. Just in my particular neighborhood i represented the southwest area, in the redlands here. Its a very diverse commune. Very fast growing just like a doral where you have the influx when you started seeing venezuelas now we have brazilians and peru. And cuban. Its not just a cuba miami any more knows days are gone. We embrace diversity. How is it changing politics. It has been changing politics for historical area that is cubans with aband where republicans always had the base are now have changed not only locally but also in the state legislature where you see the the influx of people especially to the downtown area, the state districts have changed. And they have brought new people with our stories, our stories of recent arrivals, their families brought them here, whether on a boat like my family or crossed a border to make it here and to live here in a beautiful city that provides opportunities and also allows us to speak our beautiful language of spanish. Mr. Secretary. I just wanted to add we talked a lot about too the political synergy opportunities out there. Lets remind ourselves that naleo is made up of elected and appointed officials. From the official side there is synergy opportunities for census outreach too. Ill give you two examples of what well do through my office in the state. A month before the election we put out the voter information guide. Goes statewide to every household with a registered voter. By next march well have upwards of 15 million households were mailing to. Thats attention not all 40 million californians thats good penetration though. So incorporating census information in the visible way and the the voter information guide is one example. We developed the ability to email directly to voters revolutionary, right. . Which next march well have 10 million email addresses for active voteners california. Not everybody but a good penetration. I bet if you stop and think about whether you ar state official, whether you are a city official, a county official, a School Board Member, a Community College trustee. Por an employee of a state department or agency or local government entity, im sure there is some Communications Mechanism we can all exercise and leverage to ensure were a promoting the census. Mary theresa, what other parts of the country do you think are going to be especially important to coordinated mobilize like california. Moberlization i think a lot of the work we are interested in you mentioned absolutely florida. In my opinion texas is very much ground zero. I am from california. And basically grew up under proposition 187, that mobilized the Latino Community. Texas not amenable has someone in the administration but someone mirrors the administration in the Governor Office and you have the pb perfect storm of two million million latino youth and 4 million additional that turn 18. The thats almost 2. 5 million unregistered latinos under 29. And they are getting up every day listening to the stories of disenfranchisement from parents. They are seeing and witnessing friends harassed by the color of their skin. And they need the messages of mobilization. Because the beauty of these young people is the that they understand the sacrifice their parents have made. And at the same time they feel very american. In idea of someone telling them they are not they are fighting against that we have. And we need to to give them the information and tools they can do it for themselves. One of the things that we created was an app called voter power that apps for peer to peer Voter Registration when they register with us they receive census messages from us immediately. So we believe very much in digital peer to Peer Communications well do a lot of hustle. I dont want to get too much in the weeds but its the idea the more we empower them with information they are the nodes of leadership in the communities and in their families and they are the ones helping dispels dispel myths and creating information and they dont want to do it sitting down. And in fks one out of six voters that cast a ballot the last time were young voters lets push them into it. Matt what do the data say about the performance of young vote summers typically young voters vote the least. Thats a achilles heel because we are such a young population. Such a large segment of the electorate is young but that changing. Its definitely changing. Its the case that young voters vote at lower rates than older voters. Thats always the case. I mean when we lowered the voting age to 18 because people were getting drafted and sent to the jungles of vietnam to die, the voting turnout rate of those folks did not its like 20 . So there are drastic events and they have not solved that problem. What it takes a a lot of outreach and work. The numbers are Getting Better in texas and nationally. And it really takes a confidence and trust that there is a candidate that someone is going to come and actually fix something, that theyre going to listen to your issues. Its a combination of the community groups, the work that latino oh, groups like jolt in texas. Mi familyia vota was there. En and a lot of other groups we did see that young latinos in texas have the largest change in turnout of any kelm Graphic Group in the state. They still voted at a lower rate than those 5 a and over. We should expect that. But the largest change, making up the most ground. That was one of the biggest reasons why texas went from a 9 point margin of victory two years ago in 2016 trump carried texas by 9 to 2. 5 in 2018 in a midterm. 2,315,000 votes separated ted cruz and beto orourke. You heard the numbers that Maria Theresa gave you. 2. 5 million unregistered latinos. 2. 5 million and we need to move 215,000 votes to make it a toss up state. Thats in texas and propredominantly in texas because of latinos. Thats one of the important stories one of the states for sure to watch is to see whats happening. We were already seeing this in 2018 on primary the day in texas 2018. We saw historic primary turnout in texas. We saw historic turn out in houston and dras. We also saw it in the valley. And that did transfer into historic turnout in the november election. In the general. I would be paying very close attention to what happens on supertuesday in texas. And if you see a huge increase if you see the numbers starting to materialize, especially the registered numbers then that means texas will become a state where there is political advertising, door knocking, digital campaigns and we havent seen that in a long time. The primary will give us that indication. The primary give us a crew because in 2018 the primary gave gnaws clue. We did research to identify that to say look at the ballots cast and we compared the 2018 primary to the 2014 primary and the 2011 primary and looked at every primary election. We said how well does a primary election predict the general . There is always higher turn out by gives you strong clues of partisan makeup. When republican huss a good primary year in 2010 that the tea party you saw that the primary and general we went wak back to the 2002 primary and they track. Its not exactly what they track closely when we saw that we started writing stuff saying saying youre seeing historic changes in texas because we saw that in the primary. Look to that in the primary this year. If you see that energy then i think that there is gb going to be a chance i think a lot of money moves to texas if there is a historic turnout in the primary. And that change the political map if that happens. It completely change the political map spadly for the people here maybe happily they stop talking about florida. Because texas has 38 electoral votes and if its a state that republicans have to have its not a sthat that they can maybe compete. They have to have it. And so texas is very exciting, the work that vota latino is doing. The Voter Registration if any are interest texas Voter Registration in texas. Dont underestimate the power of Public Policy in this. You cant vote if youre not registered. You heard about same day registration prereg strapgs for 16 and 17 years in the first year alone of automatic Voter Registration in california more than a million voters were added for the rolls. [ applause ] and the simple deduction if we know who it is thats eligible but unregistered mostly latinos, especially millennials who is thedy proportionate beneficiary of things like automatic registration. Thats half the battle. Having learned from friends in colorado making it easier to cast a ballot. Universal vote by mail. Early voting over the course of 11 days. Anybody can go anywhere if they dont vote by mail taken together thats why we had the highest turn out in california last november. Higher for any midterm since 1982. And im predicting records in both the primary and the general of 2020. Its going to capture the energy and make sure we apply it to the census. And just to put a point on it very briefly. Go ahead. Is that by march 17th, 70 of the eligible latino population will decide the presidency. Right who is going to be the nominee on the democrat ikts sigh 70 . Yes, we are coming to the end of the session. So and i know luby wanted to comment but one of the final questions for you is that a year from now will be the naleo 37th annual conference and well be gathering in nevada in las vegas for a reason. Were in a swing state this year. He will well be in a swing state next year. We hope the presumptive nominees for both parties join us for yet another naleo president ial candidate forum. What do you think will be the headlines a year from now when we gagt ner las vegas . Anything else you wanted to comment on. Thank you. Just to follow up on that since we have so many elected officials im a School Board Member. One of the most important thing we can do if we want to increase early young people to sloet is increase the opportunities for elections departments to come into our high schools and educate those students to be registered voters. And in the second thing that gives me much pride i have almost a 20yearold in college is that miamidade made the decision thanks to the great mayor with collaboration with the Universities University of miami, fiu and Miamidade College to allow voting right there on campus for our youth. Yes. So the every campus if you have a Community College, or Higher EducationVocational Center in your communities make sure there are places where the students can vote. Thats going to make a difference at least for our community. Looking a year ahead, i can tell you i i pray that the Supreme Court every day makes the right decision for our nation. In a nonbias way, which i know they are sworn to serve and defend the constitution of this nation. But regardless we have a responsibility to count everybody. And i if you ask me what the headline is going to be next year, its going to be very simple. We thought we were going to have a problem counting people. But guess what, somosmas. Because we are going to overcome overcome the fear no matter when when the Citizenship Question is on there. Because im not going to live here ten years knowing that a million children were undercounted, a million children were undercounted in that 2010 census and communities like my community in kendall where parents move are asking me, lub it y how can i get a head start slot for my child . And my answer has to be the parents, those very vulnerable parents that come from all over our countries and cannot access it because i have zero slots because we did not count their children. I know that the headline next year is going to be very simple. It was difficult. We were able to overcome every obstacle. Zpoit that, guess what we counted every community because we are going to leave no stone ton turned were not going to stop just in the corner. Were going to go into every place, whatever it takes to educate that. And we no he next year, a year from now, the census is going to have real data, data where the census blocks that are undercounted will need more canvassing as an elected official we need to make this part of our campaigns boots on the ground, knocking on doors. This is the most important issue for our nation for the next ten years. If you dont have an election i do bus with you but guess what this to me whether i win or lose, next year, the census sus more important to me as a resident of my community. And i will not let an undercount affect my community. So the result arturo is going to be a latino population increase. Because of everything you all are going to do. Thats a long headline, people. Yeah. Final thoughts. I think we have good news and bad news. The good news is we are coming off of record participation rates in the primary. I firmly firmly pleef that not just in california but across the country because our Community Knows our backs are up against the wall and we are stepping up. But the bad news is the current occupant of the white house whenever times get tough he comes after our community. Right we have seen it from day one of the campaign to his election and throughout the look at this last week. Polling information comes up that is not good for him, and so he announces he is going to be deporting millions of people over the next couple of weeks. Just imagine how upset and worked up he is going to be when he sees the writing on the wall from the 2020 primary. So when we convene in las vegas i dont know what the threat or the attack or the mental is going to be coming out of the oval office but we know its not going to be good. And i hope that we take that and embrace that and channel that into ongoing organizing and mobilizing for november of 2020. [ applause ] mary theresa. I think its clear that all hands on deck. There is no plan b but the headline i look forward to and see latinos were woke and were awoken. I agree with all of my colleagues, everything from the census to the historic turnout in the midterms. And the that latinos are will be woke in 2020. I think maybe a headline that is unforeseen is Arturo Vargas accepts Vice President ial nominee. [ applause ] you can come next year and get a free trip to las vegas. Thats all you were going for. Let me thank my panelists for the conversation today. [ applause ] next month, Robert Mueller is scheduled to testify before the House Judiciary Committee and the house intelligence committee. Those two committees subpoenaed him last week. And he will appear separately before each committee on wednesday july 17th. The hearings will be carried live on cspan3 at cspan. Org and you can listen with the free cspan radio app. This weekend, American History tv will mark the 50th anniversary of the Cuyahoga River fire, an event that shed light on Water Pollution and helped create the clean water act. On sunday at 9 00 a. M. Eastern. Historian and comore of where the river burned, david straddling joins us live to take calls and talk about the fire, myths associatewood it and the campaign by then cleveland mayor carl stokes to find solutions. Watch the programs on the 50th anniversary of the Cuyahoga River fire live sunday at 9 00 a. M. Eastern. On American History tv on cspan3. Now a cold war historian, historian of communism a different ideologies and friends of mine email why do you want to tackle this issue, marriage and family . Youre jumping into the culture war . Do you want to do this. Author and grove cities professor paul kinker will be ours guest on indepth sunday. Hissis latest books is the divine plan. Other isolating its clue duplicates, takedown and the crew skrader. As well as books about the spiritual lives of ronald rag reagan, george w. Bush and hillary clinton. Join our live conversation with for phone calls, tweets and facebook questions. Watch indepth, with author paul kengor with, live sunday, july 7th from noon to 2 00 p. M. Eastern on book tv. And be sure to watch indepth next month with thoroughly edwards. Watch b