Conflicts, not like this. In the middle east, you have these fights, conflicts, bombing campaigns, and such. We have done them, israel, other countries, but they usually return to the status quo. Only a few times do you see a few big ones. The yom kippur war 50 years ago. The iraqi invasion of kuwait. This is one of the big ones, because it puts israels existence at stake. It cannot deal with a hamas capable of attacking much of the population of israel at the same time as facing hezbollah in the north by the lebanese border, syria, and iran. That is why israel feels it has to act. Host how is the u. S. Are fonts and we have seen the last couple of weeks how do you rate that . Guest that has been an a so f ar. President biden is committed to israel, and he is very shocked, as we saw yesterday, tony blinken reacting to what happened yesterday. There support diplomatically their support will magically is 100 . More importantly, they deployed forces, including two aircraft carriers, to deter liberties has below, or their patrons, iran ians, from intervening and put israel in existential threat. Host we heard the defense secretary say, when it comes to the aid, it was going over without conditions. Was that the right approach . Guest that is the right approach. There are always legal conditions with military equipment we give to other countries, but the israels know these rules. I am sure they will act in accordance. The main question is the aid is moving rapidly, and, surprising for us, on bureaucratically unbureaucratically. Host israel asking 1. 1 Million People in gaza to remove themselves is that a reasonable request . Guest it is certainly a necessary request, because israel is planning on going into the northern, highly built up urban areas of gaza to take down hamas. And there is some one million plus civilians there. What israel is saying is move to give your viewers an idea 10 miles to the south and stay there for about puts them closer to the crossing into egypt, where assistance is still flowing, and a lot more could be. This takes more time than the israelis have given them, requires more organization, but most importantly, it requires hamas, the governing entity, to allow those people to go. But to hamas, these millions of people are nothing more than shields behind which it can continue to attack israel, and that is the major problem right now. Host our guest joins us until 8 45. If you want to ask questions, it is 202 7488000 for republicans, 202 7488001 for democrats, and 202 7488002 for independents. You can also text questions at 202 7488003. Ambassador, if this turns into a ground war, what does this mean only for israels sake but for the United States and its support . Guest it will turn into a ground war. The first question is how because, militarily, israel has the capability, if it is willing to take heavy casualties it can literally conquer the northern half of gaza and all but troy destroy hamas. The problem is it will lead to civilian casualties and a great deal of pressure on israel and from arab states to the United States to halt the fighting. Israel has halted fighting before on our request and demand. This time, it is different. Israel sees this as existential. The second problem is outside forces coming in. Lebanese hezbollah, which has basically hated within the rules minus shelling back and forth i said it will intervene if israel goes in on the ground. I do not think so, but i could be wrong, because israel has deployed hundreds of thousands of troops to the lebanese border, and they are now backed up to u. S. Air force. Host so the changes adding u. S. Military forces directly to the fight or support for those forces if they turn to a ground war . Guest we are not going to put Ground Forces in. I would recommend to underline our commitment to deploy, as we did in 1991, patriot batteries to israel. They have a lot of them, but they need more. Most importantly, if israels enemies see american troops, however little, are on the ground, they will see america is in this fight and will stay out of it. Host do you see, the biden, initially showing full support, eventually turning them turning back . Guest i am sure that will happen. We saw that from tony blinken yesterday, where he went on about some length about israel adhering to international law. The israelis do adhere to international law, but there is a lot of debate and a degree of vagueness about, when fighting up in when fighting in built up areas, what is legal and not legal. This morning, arguments over White Phosphorus shells, for example. In 2006, when israel went into lebanon, the Bush Administration did pull the plug on the israeli operation. Host lets hear from callers. First call is from john, independent line. You are on with ambassador James Jeffrey of the Wilson Center. Caller hello. I was just wondering, the people there still in gaza, how are they supposed to comply with all orders and stay alive . It sounds like they have had their electricity cut off, their water cut off, that they are being told to move quickly before they get bombed. And the population pyramid of gaza seems to be skewed that half of them are minors. It seems like an absolute logistical impossibility to move all these people out without them getting killed. How are individual civilians in gaza supposed to stay alive . Guest it is not an impossibility to move a large number of people 10 miles. It would require a safe passage by the israeli forces, and we have not heard the details of that yet. It would require cooperation from egypt, which would have to provide humanitarian food, water, and other materials. It sounds difficult, it is difficult, but we have moved far larger numbers of internally displaced people fleeing fighting in syria. There are some 3. 5 million of them camped just beyond the turkish border, so there is precedence to do this. The question is under what conditions and what timelines. Host what are the ideal conditions . Guest there are no ideal conditions. This requires living in tents, surviving on a limited number of calories a day. Fortunately, the weather is not too bad right now, but it is not something you want to go through for a long time. In the case of idlib, it had been there for years. The main problem with such a movement, other than the details, is hamas is saying it does not want people to do this, because it wants them as human shields. Host from the democrat line. Caller hello, how are you . Host fine, thank you. Caller i have a question for mr. Jeffrey. Mr. Jeffrey, it seems to me that israel is, while they may be justified in some retaliation, they are in no position to be going into gaza strip now without incredible anger and being motivated by that. What i cannot understand is this problem has gone on for half a century. Why is it that the u. N. , especially right now, cannot step in with their peacekeeping forces and let them try to rout hamas out of gaza and get the country back to normal, instead of having israelis come in, who are incredibly and Esther Farley angry. But most of the people who will suffer are the people in gaza. I will take my question answer off the air. Guest we have voted in the Un Security Council for deploying peacekeeping to israel many times. They are good for monitoring ceasefire lines. They do not engage in combat. The israeli are the israelis are absolutely committed to destroying hamas as a military and political organization. The israelis see, with justification, that is an existential cause for the survival of the state of israel, so they will not let anyone else do this, particularly someone who will not do a good job. Host in tampa, florida, republican line. Caller good morning. Good morning, mr. Jeffrey. Thank you for being on cspan this morning. Much appreciated. There is no easy answers right now. It is very discombobulated situation. Russia and china are standing on the sides here. I think there is a group, russia, china, some other countries, Top Countries in the world that should start mediating this thing. Cooler heads prevail. We know these two sides have to recognize each other. United nations resolution 242. Oh, please, you go first. No, you go first. And there is just come bob elation in congress, we have no House Speaker. Russia and china are watching this. We have to get together here. Host ok, thanks for the segway, because he did bring on what is going on in the house right now. What do you see playing out politically . Guest i see support for israel very strongly bipartisan. Despite the circuits we have in the u. S. Congress right now, that aid will continue flowing. The other point is the president has all kinds of authorities that he, for good, understandable reasons, does not want to use unless he has to, because they can be challenged in the courts. But if it is necessary and, in this case, supporting israel, it is necessary, he will do what is needed, i am sure. Host it was the former president who made news yesterday for comments he made about hezbollah. I want to play a little of what he had to say and get your comments. [video clip] hezbollah is very smart. They are all very smart. The press does not like it when i say it paid president she in light when i say it. President xi, i said he is a smart man they killed me the next day. But hezbollah are very smart. They have a National Defense minister or somebody saying i hope hezbollah does not attack us from the north. So the following morning, they attacked or they may not have been doing it, but if you listened to this jerk, you would attack from the north, because he said that is our weak spot. Whoever heard of officials saying, on television, they hope the enemy does not attack in a certain area . Unless it is a con job. But you know what a con job is. Say what you want, israel was not ready. This was a big surprise this was a terrible thing that happened. Host ambassador, particularly on the comment about israel not ready. Guest israel was not ready for this. There were multiple intelligence failures, and they are being investigated or will be investigated. More importantly, there was a failure of conception. Israel thought it could live with hamas. It had three shortterm conflict with hamas, bombings and schellings and shootings, but it felt hamas would stay in gaza and israel could live with the hamas threat. It has now concluded, i think correctly, that it cannot, and it has to take out that organization as a threat to israel. That is what we are facing now. Host what do you think of the validity of reports that egypt had reportedly warned israel of the potential actions there . Guest the Israeli Government denied that, but the devil is always in the details of intelligence reports, because you go to the white house on a given morning, and there will be somebody with a stack of reports. 80 of them turn out to be, to some degree, incorrect or inaccurate, or they get the timing wrong and such. That is the world we live in. That is the world Prime Minister netanyahu lives in, in israel. You have to look into what was pitched by the egyptians at what time with what specificity. Again, the jury is still out on that. Host for ambassador James Jeffrey, this is from mike in illinois, independent line. Caller thank you for your time. I am looking at this a little more simple. Can you factcheck a couple points real quick . The vote for speaker of the house host ok, to the question on the topic, please. Caller ok, cynical side. During trump and kushners time, there were many takeovers of country from within, like from israel with netanyahu, from saudi arabia with the family being imprisoned in the four seasons, and then the prince coming out in brazil with the general who became president. That is one point. Another point is the disappearing of 100,000 troops we trained in iran and the 300,000 we trained in afghanistan host for the sake of time, what do you want from the ambassador as far as a question . Caller if this has been in plan for a while, the footing that hamas was attacking from is the footing of Solomons Temple. Those stones had been cut from Solomons Temple that the antichrist had been living on. Host ok. Guest no comment. Host john is calling from michigan. Caller good morning. I have a question relative to what the ambassador thinks would bring a lasting peace between the israelis and the palestinians. This is excluding hamas. Hamas is a terror organization. But what would bring lasting peace . Guest we have a lasting peace, first in the 1948 General Assembly u. N. Resolution to create a jewish and arab state. And now in the resolution some 25 years ago that called for a two state solution. Without that requires is neither side to question the existence of the territory of the other. There have been problems with both. You know the history of israeli settlers, but frankly, the palestinian leadership has never, at least formally, given up on its call for the instruction of the entire state of israel. They have never accepted fully, to the satisfaction of the israelis, the 1948 compromise. Both sides would need to move. I would say the palestinians need to move more. Host this is sid from maryland, independent line. Hello. Caller yes, ambassador, i agree with whatever you have said so far. My only question is, as far as the plumas he is concerned, what role can as far as this policy mike only question is, as far as diplomacy is concerned, what role can the u. S. Do with the 1. 1 million palestinians displaced and how can we resolve the conflict peacefully . Guest the first address is cairo. The Egyptian Government has to allow a massive flow of relief supplies, humanitarian aid into southern gaza. Secondly, i would recommend that at least some people, the ill, the wounded, be allowed to pass through that crossing, the rafah crossing into egypt. But also, the arab states have to urge all sides to avoid escalation. That is particularly important for lebanon, where hezbollah in the south takes more from iran than their own government. I think that is what our diplomacy is focused on right now. Host a lot said about iran over the last few days. To what extent do you think they are directly involved . Guest we are still looking at that. The administration has put out statements saying senior government officials in iran did not know about this attack or about the timing. Again, i would have to see the intelligence, which i cannot anymore, because only very few people, and not in the government but in the uranian in the Iranian Revolutionary guards would have known about this attack. Host what do we know about the level of support iran has for hamas generally . Guest generally, hamas, in its current form, would not exist without iran. Iran has supplied the missiles and rockets hamas has been firing. It supplies the weapons, the training, the money some 100 million a year and it provides diplomatic support. Host there was a story that the u. S. , in qatar, was blocking some 20 million around a prisoner swap. What is the messaging . Guest that the u. S. Congress does not want the administration making any deals with iran right now. Thats 6 billion, which is essentially iranian money from their oil cells sales was put in escrow, and iran was given a credit card, if you will, to buy 6 billion worth of humanitarian aid, food, medicine, and such. But any government, including the iranian government can substitute. If you have more butter, thanks to the 6 billion, you have more guns. That was a concern expressed by many people in congress and outside the administration, and they decided caution is a virtue and shut it down, at least temporarily. Host should it be released eventually . Guest no. As long as this war is going on, no money should be flowing to iran. Host from danny, republican line. Caller good morning. I am wondering what percentage of the palestinians actually support hamas and what is going on, and how many are neutral about it . Because it seems to me that many, many of the residentss there residents there actually do support hamas. Host thank you. Guest in fact, the last time there were free elections in the palestinian territories in 2005, hamas won a significant victory. Now it is not all the people of gaza or, for that matter, the west bank, because both voted, and hamas did well in both areas. It is a significant part of the population. But i would distant was between supporting hamas politically and supporting what hamas has just done to the state of israel. I do not know what percent of the palestinian or gazan population would support that, but i think it is much lower than the people who voted for hamas in 2005. Host this is James Jeffrey joining us from the Wilson Center. If you want to ask him questions, 202 7488000 for republicans, 202 7488001, for democrats, and for independents, 202 7488002. Texas at 202 7488003. Caroline in maryland, democrats line. Caller good morning and thanks to cspan. Look at what is being done with the palestinians i do not agree with what hamas did at all, but my heart goes out to the palestinians. We do not buy that they are trying to get the palestinians out for their own good. And for the palestinians not accepting the 1940s agreement, that was their land. The israelis were in their space. It is like, come on, you cannot be killing and bombing these people who had nothing to do with what hamas did. And something needs to be done to protect them. Moving your family 10 miles is a hard thing, especially around bombing. Were not buying that youre doing that for their safety. We just need you to know that. We see what is going on. Someone said reach out for peace. Reach out for peace to them. Those are families, too. Thank you. Guest you are absolutely right. These people are innocent. I disagree with you about 1948. In 50 years of diplomatic and military service, ive have been involved in dozens of issues, conflicts, debates that involve two or more peoples claiming the same territory. It is not unusual. In fact, it is too terribly common, and it leads to most of the wars and conflicts we see today. But again, the you when general simply took decision to divide the british mandate of palestine, at the time, into an arab and jewish state. The jews will argue, with considerable historical reason, that they were there for thousands of years, and that is the way reality is on the ground. Host how are other countries looking at the events . Guest again, hamas has few friends in the region. It is seen as a terrorist organization. It is seen, widely, as under the thumb of iran, which is feared and despised by most of the states in the region. That said, all of the arab states are, obviously, sensitive to Public Opinion in their countries, whether they are democracies or not. And Public Opinion will run very much in favor of their arab brothers in gaza, particularly if they are being attacked. That is the reality the arab states have to deal with. They will be putting pressure on washington and, indirectly, on israel to modify or stop its operation. Host from peter in new york, independent line. Caller i just want to be clear. Every Single Person defending this evacuation from palestinians from the north of gaza to the south is defending ethnic cleansing. I am an armenian american. This is the exact same thing the armenians in the Ottoman Empire were told. If you do not leave, we will kill you. And as they were leaving, they got killed anyway. If you are defending what israel is doing now, this is ethnic lensing. Guest under international law, this is not ethnic cleansing. The whole idea is people can return to their homes after the fighting is over. Host from janet, independent line. Caller good morning. Mr. Jeffrey, Wilson Center middle east Program Chair what a responsibility. Thank you for your work. We are tied to israel. Our president , joe biden, has eight it clear to support israel has made it clear to support israel. The how to support israel . Iran has never liked the usa, but we try to keep cool, compromise when necessary. Thou shalt not kill and love your neighbor as yourself. Israel and palestine are neighbors. Jesus is a jew. His earthly parents were jews, on their way to pay taxes when jesus was born. Jesus was baptized when he was 27 or 28. Jesus is the son of god, as we all are. Follow the 10 commandments and help each other. Respect and care is the answer. And dont have children if you cannot support them. Host ok, janet, we will leave it there. Ambassador . Guest simply to point out she is correct, and that all took place in what is now the state of israel 2000 years ago. Host do you think there is a religious aspect . Guest america is a religious country and there is a religious aspect to everything. I do not think it is a major issue, obviously rated they our ties with religion obviously. There are ties with religion between Jewish Americans and israelis, that is strong. There are evangelical groups in america that are supportive of israel. The support is far broader and beyond simply religious groups. Do you think there is misinformation about what is going on there . Guest we are very aware of misinformation. I think that misinformation today in america, the term, is highly politicized. We saw that during the covid time. And i am reluctant to make general statements on misinformation. You show me a clip, and i can address that to the best of my knowledge, whether it is false or true. Beyond that, i do not like to get into the politics in censoring misinformation. Host a caller on the independent line from tennessee. Caller im wondering if mr. Jeffrey thinks that people in gaza, after they supposedly leave so their homes can be bombed, what will they be going back to . A bombed out city with nothing in it . He is a neocon. This whole thing, one thing i wanted to say is cspan should get a balanced person on. I have been watching for a couple days and there does not seem to be a representative for the palestinians, speaking in defending them for what is going on. Host do you want to address our guest directly with a question . Caller will the palestinians have a home to go back to . That is what i want to know. Host thanks. Guest in many cases, no. In many cases, yes. Gaza is home to some 1. 1 Million People. Theres bombing campaigns going on right now, there is fighting. And a lot depends on hamas. If they move into those homes and attack israelis from those homes, those homes will be hit, but they went up he hit if hamas is not firing from them. Host what about israel providing resettlement after they come back . They come back . We are going to leaving this to take you live to remarks inside the capitol from members leaving their meeting. Process as quickly as possible. But also with the rigor and the Due Diligence that we put into all of our processes. I dont know. I havent heard anyone come forward. Well see. 1 00 well hopefully a better time for a lot of us. I dont know that it will be definitive even after that. I think one of the take aways if you are nominated as speaker of the house, you have some sort of leeway to determine the path forward. I think if i were to be nominated as speaker of the house, i would ask everyone to stay there and we would do either a formal or informal vote to see who is with me and who is not with me in the wake of the Candidate Forum without any other candidates so i could get down to a true number that we can go work on. Followon discussions or create a forum to have public q a to clarify and hopefully move people off of the sidelines. That hasnt happened so far. Im hopeful that whoever the nominee ends up being they dont need a rule to compel people to get in the room and have a conversation. Thats why the rules are silly. We just need to have leaders lead. And not rely on the rule book. I have no idea. No idea. I have no idea. As far as i know jordan is the only nominee so far. The only candidate running. Well see. Are you planning to vote on the floor the American People deserve to have the filling of the speakership be done. I dont think that the average american actually cares necessarily who the individual is, but they care that there is a speaker of the house. They care there is a third person in line to the president that is representing the majority of congress. Thats what we owe them. There is going to be debates about which personality or which candidate is the right one. Those are healthy. We have to get to the point where we actually fill the seat. If someone gets a majority of the votes, my expectation would be everyone in the party should realize there is a National Security imperative here to fill the seat. Put aside your political and personal difference answer get onboard for the big win. Which in this case is a very slim margin of victory win with 217 or 218 votes. Unfortunately, not everyone is adopting that. It may require us to go to the floor. Sometimes you dont get resolution unless you have conflict. And sometimes the highest profile conflict in this case, debate on the floor, whether its 10 rounds or 15 rounds may be necessary to get people to realize that they need to get onboard for the big win. Thanks, guys. Mike garcia republican from california following the republicans house members closed door meeting. Talking at the microphones stationed around the capitol. There will be a Candidate Forum for House Speaker today at 1 p. M. Eastern. To determine the future of the race. After louisiana congressman Steve Scalise withdrew his name from consideration last night. Well be bringing you back through the capitol throughout the day as we hear from lawmakers. Until then a little more of todays washington journal. Courn the Benjamin Netanyahu government, a right of center government, and others on the left who have been struggling over internal issues that have divided the country in the last six months, more than we have ever seen. The fact they have come together shows two things. First that israel is first, united. And second, that these issues will be put to rest. A smart move. Host a caller on the democrat line. Caller good morning. Host you are on. Host you are on. We leave this take you live now to remarks by secretary of state antony blinken