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Viewers in the u. S. And Around The World. Im Amara Walker in atlanta, Jim Sciutto is in Tel Aviv as we continue they will follow Breaking News out of The Middle East. And fears are continuing to grow that the exchange of fire across the border between Israel And Lebanon could turn into a Ground Incursion and potentially an even wider regional war thats right. It would be quite a step. Us officials say that israeli troops have mobilized at israels northern border in preparation, at least for a possible Ground Offensive inside Lebanon Israel says, however, the crossing the border is only one option. It is considering we need to understand theres a huge amount of different tools that we have in our Toolbox Ground operations is one of them. We are preparing for that if it is required, if were we receive the instructions well, it would be quite a significant tool. The idf has not let up its Air Offensive inside lebanon. Lebanese officials say four people were killed in an israeli airstrike in Southern Lebanon in recent hours In Beirut, smoke visible rising above the skyline this morning, several israeli airstrikes have hit the capital in recent days, including the one that killed the leader of hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah Saturday Strikes in lebanon reportedly killed more than 30 people and wounded close to 200 others, caught in the middle of it. All, the residents, civilians of beirut those airstrikes by israel has displaced more than 1 Million people just since monday, hundreds of families have now resorted to sleeping on beaches and in public squares Cnns Jomana Karadsheh is standing by In Beirut. We begin this morning, though with jeremy diamond. He is in haifa in Northern Israel. Jeremy, we talk about preparations for a Ground Offensive inside lebanon by israel. I know youve seen some of those forces along the border. Can you describe how significant that forces at this point . Yeah. Well, jim, i dont have a full sense of exactly how many troops. I mean, Northern Israel is mountainous territory. There are peaks and valleys, and certainly there are areas where there were likely troops and tanks that we were not able to see. But what we did see as we were driving along the border on friday was in at least one field, an array of tanks, not dissimilar to what i saw in the leadup to israels invasion of gaza. In the first weeks of this, of the war In Gaza and he thinks are prepared. We know of course that in addition to what we saw the israeli military has activated two reserve brigades. Theyve redirected the 98th division, which was a key Fighting Force In Gaza to the northern border. And of course, israeli generals in recent days have repeatedly made clear that they are in deep preparing for a Ground Offensive and that they are doing so in part through those airstrikes that have been carried out over the course of the last weeks that those airstrikes are not only designed to degrade hezbollah, but also to prepare the terrain for the possibility of a Ground Force moving in us officials say that theyve also seen evidence of areas near the Israellebanon Border being cleared by israeli forces, which could be used to then move troops in. But we should be really, really clear here, jim, and that is that the israeli government has not yet made a decision as to whether or not a Ground Offensive is in the cards for now, what they are certainly doing though, is theyre taking advantage of what one israeli official described to me as the disarray in hezbollah, right now. And they are doing so by effectively trying to deal as severe a blow to hezbollah, their operational but capabilities, their weapons, stores, as they possibly can amid this chaos, following the killing of multiple senior hezbollah commanders including of course, Hezbollahs Leader longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah on friday night. And so over the course of the last 24 hours, we have seen the israeli military carrying out dozens of strikes in Southern Lebanon, and weve also seen, of course, multiple strikes in the Southern Suburbs of beirut, dahiyeh, where hezbollah has a very strong presence, of course, beyond the impact on hezbollah, we have also seen of course, a heavy impact on lebanons civilians in terms of the number of people displaced, people, civilians who have also been killed in many of these strikes. The israeli military also taking out yet another senior hezbollah commander, nabil koch, the commander of hezbollahs preventive security unit, and a member of hezbollah central decisionmaking in counsel. For now, jim, there is certainly no letup in this and the israeli prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warning the israeli public that there will be difficult days ahead. Jim 11 Open Question is how much can israel accomplish from the air with those airstrikes given that so much of the Hezbollah Network in the south is underground can they penetrate those talks anoles . It would certainly be dangerous for israeli Ground Forces if they were to go in. Jeremy diamond in haifa. Thanks so much. So lets go to beirut now where Jomana Karadsheh, years jomana, describe how lebanese civilians have been affected by the ongoing Air Campaign by israel. There while you know, jim, as you were speaking with jeremy there, week could here a distant blast, its unclear what that is, but this really has become common place here In Beirut over the last 48 hours. And were so youve had these intense israeli strikes, this bombardment, especially on beiruts Southern Suburbs that of course is the seat of power of hezbollah. That is where the leader of hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah was killed in that israeli strike where youve had other top commanders also killed by the israelis there, but its also home to hundreds of thousands of civilians right now when we talk about these airstrikes its really unclear what the Casualty Toll is. Weve heard from lebanese officials saying that its been very hard for them to get the exact figure theres because they say that there are many unidentifiable body parts. Theres also people who are Unaccounted For, but as of last night, they say that at least 1030 people have been killed. Now, theres no breakdown of how many of them are hezbollah fighters . How many are civilians, but weve heard from lebanese officials that many, many women and children have been killed in these strikes in different parts of the country. And just to put it into context thanks, jim. The 2006 war 34 days about 1,100 people were killed in lebanon. And then within a few days since september the 17, youve had at least 1030 people killed and thousands others injured. That is one of the crises that the Health Sector here is dealing with trying to treat the thousands of injured. But you also have this other crisis that is unfolding right now. And that is the displacement as you you mentioned earlier, more than 1 Million people according to the estimates by the lebanese government, have been displaced from their homes because the Southern Suburbs is one of the most densely pop he laid to parts of the country. And in recent days, as these airstrikes have intensified, youve had this Mass Exodus with people either ending up in schools, turned into shelters like this one or people with nowhere to go because there arent enough center set up for them that they have ended up on the streets sleeping on sidewalks, on benches then parks. And this is what we saw earlier when we were out in different parts of central beirut jim, were talking about lebanese citizens syrian refugee eugenes, and many, many Migrant Workers who are here in lebanon. I spoke with one young girl from syria, a tenyearold who lost her father during the civil more jim, and she said she broke down. She was crying hysterically, saying that she is so afraid right now. Shes so terrified are the prospects of leaving of losing her mother and her siblings In Gaza, right . Oftentimes the civilians that they are refugees, more than one time, they move from one place to the next seeking shelter, that place becomes unsafe. They have to move to another one Jomana Karadsheh In Beirut. Thanks so much bringing us that story. Joining me now is cnn national Security Analyst Peter bergen, also bobby ghosh, a senior editor at bloomberg. Good to have you both on it. And peter, i want to begin with you because you wrote a piece about the history of Decapitation Strikes or assassination strikes, whatever you want to call them of terror leaders. Of course, israel has a long history of Killing Hamas leaders and those leaders are replaced same with the u. S. When, when you think of his experience with isis tell us it does it historically make a difference . And is it a question of who and how powerful the leader is . I think short answer is no i dont i dont think it makes a difference in the long term. I mean, particularly when youre looking at an army of 30,000 men, hundred and 50,000 rockets and missiles. They have a succession plan. Theyve been around for four decades. Its very tempting to think that you get rid of the leader and sudden, suddenly everything changes that obviously a lot of the leaders have been killed by israel and if you take out the middle management as well, that can affect an organization. But this is not a small Terrorist Organizations like alqaeda, which is relatively small this is a really an army good point just in terms of scale and size. Bobby, i want to ask you about irans positioning on all this because its been notable in recent days to hear from iran, there was one statement from the Supreme Leader talking about how the response seeming to signal that the Response Retaliation would come from hezbollah and not iran. Do you believe that iran continues to stand back somewhat for fear of getting involved in a broader war that it may not want with israel right now. Well, all the reporting jim, seems to suggest that there is considerable debate within the running high command there or the hawks who want to lean in more and get much more involved in directly in the conflict with israel. And then there are others like the president who are worried that by doing so, iran may walk into a trap thats the, thats the dilemma now for the leadership as you say, the statement from ayatollah khamenei, the Supreme Leader, seems to suggest that hes comfortable with hezbollah taking the lead, but as allies, now, leader in considerable disarray, a lot of their top commanders around a lot of their Military Installations have been bombed out there facing a serious crisis. This does not seem to be the moment for its main patron to be saying, youre out on your own, which is how many in lebanon will interpret that . It speaks to around, be caught flatfooted by the events there. For all that, the iranian regime prides itself for being in control of events in The Middle East. This time, this came out of the blue, the loss of Hassan Nasrallah personal Friend And Protege of khameneis, was a big blow and there has not yet formulated it clear line of rhetoric and response, never mind. A strategy of action to respond to this Practice Weve talked so long for months while year is really peter about how iran has grown and used its proxy forces, hamas, hezbollah, the houthis in yemen, to squeeze israel. But given not the elimination by any means, but the depletion of hamas In Gaza based on this almost year long, significant operation there, these latest operations against hezbollah has iran influence on the Situation Ben reduced and theres a possible exaggerated to some degree based on what weve seen i think reduces a good word and picking up on what poppy said. You know, when irans most important military leader major general soleimani was killed by the Trump Administration in early 2020. He ran really didnt respond. And that was one of their own top leaders. So we are why would they respond in . You know, in greater depth when its really not even somebody Whos Part of their team as well. Obviously, its hezbollahs on the team, but its not soleimani was a national hero in iran. And the iranians continue to try and want to respond to that by, for instance of planning to assassinate President Trump Planning to assassinate john bolton, his national Security Advisor . So if they if they didnt respond in that case, its hard for me to explain that this thing that theyd responded in this case in any meaningful way in terms of a larger War Daylight between President Biden and the israeli prime Minister Netanyahu been clearer than in recent days and weeks where the u. S. Has pressed both for a Ceasefirehostage Deal In Gaza complaints behind closed doors, at least at least privately about netanyahus Interest Or Lack of interest in it. Now, with a us led effort for a ceasefire between Israel And Lebanon, is that a shortterm thing . I mean, is it your perception that netanyahu sees a window here with the u. S. Election coming a lame duck, us president that he has free reign to do what he wants netanyahu has been pursuing his own agenda consistently since the events of seventh of october, arguably even from before he knows that he has bipartisan support in american politics, whether the president the occupant of the White House, supports him not he understands that the president will not go against that bipartisan consensus, not beyond just rhetorical finger waving. And he has acted in complete confidence in that knowledge and now he will feel vindicated because not only has he taken out in short order to of error israels greatest enemies, both the leaders of hamas, as well as hezbollah in quick succession and he has built on the backward and the fear is off the wider regional conflagration have not borne out against that. The White House will say that. Yes the wider war has broken out, but we get closer and closer all the time. But but Bibi Netanyahu showing that hes prepared to take that risk regardless of what President Biden has to say and he seems to be theres a lot of reporting to suggest that hes counting on the election in november to lead to Donald Trump returning to the White House. And he feels that that will liberate him more i for one struggled to see that. I dont think Donald Trump to come to office with having to manage a major crisis in The Middle East. If he can help it. But that seems to be netanyahus calculation, right . So far you have hes been borne out ghosh. Thanks so much to both of you. Lets go back to Amara And Atlanta all right Jim Sciutto. Thank you. And still to come Hurricane Helene, one of the most powerful storms to hit the country, barreled through the southeast. The massive Cleanup Operation facing the region now underway Walz And J. D. Vance in their first and only Face To Face And Cnn has it covered with the best political team in the business. A cnn special event the Vice President ial debate, tuesday at nine On Cnn after careful review of medical Guidance And Research on pain relief. My recommendation is simple. Every home should have Salon Pause powerful, yet nonaddictive, targeted, and longlasting. I recommend salon pass. 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Lets do that i wish my Tv Provider let me choose what i pay for let me pause lots of scripts when i was flying, what do you do that respond Tv Provider, let me choose what i pay for and let me pause Muscle Function when i walked hand hundred the free Channel Flooding led to do that choosing, customize your Channel Lineup will watch refreeze, sling, let you do that ever worry that youre drinking too much take back control with or Health Or Health provides access to medication proven to make it easier, drink less warm, to quit drinking altogether qualify for Treatment Today at were health. Com people have died because of helene and officials are working around the clock to assess the damage that has been left behind and it is monumental. President biden has issued Disaster Declarations for North Carolina, florida, and tennessee. Georgia Governor Brian Kemp said, quote, it looks like a bomb went off and its not just here in North Carolina Emergency Responders rescued more than 200 people from floodwaters, while more than 60 people in one county are still Unaccounted For even getting safe Drinking Water is a challenge in North Carolina since 17 water plants, there have no power and speaking of power issues more than twoandahalf million people are still without electricity across five states this morning. And downed trees, landslides, and communicate communications issues are ongoing. Some florida residents have been left homeless by helene and there are Boil Water orders in multiple counties the state also has about a quarter of 1 Million customers without power than one of the areas where helene left devastating damage is asheville, North Carolina. Recovery efforts are underway right now, but Emergency Services are having a hard time keeping up with the calls for help. Basic services people take for granted. Are now unavailable. I can tell you the city of asheville is in Dire Straits right now. Weve lost communications capabilities. We its very difficult for us to move around the community. Many, many of the roads are closed, trees are down. Were clearly knows it as quick as we can and a lot of the critical infrastructure that weve become used to every day in normal times. Times is now gone and we have to work around it cnns Rafael Romo takes us to asheville as it is struggling to get a handle on the devastation Hurricane Helene is going to be felt across the southeast for many months to come perhaps even longer. Take a look at the devastation behind me. That is a mobile restaurant at Taco Stand that is still submerge. But what you see behind me is not water. This is mud and several inches that that are covering the wheels of that taco that not lead me. Show you something else the level of the water the debris can Show You that this is a debris line, which means that the water got up to this level several feet above the streetlevel that you saw right behind me. And we are also hearing from education officials, the university of North Carolina, asheville announced that they will suspend classes until october 9. We heard from a chancellor, kimberly, by north who said and that there are so many fallen trees and there are so many areas of campus that are inaccessible that it is not possible to be able to hold operations normally also, mobile Service And Internet are down and weve been talking to people here who tell us that they had never weve seen anything like what they saw in the last few days earlier, i spoke with a gentleman who told me that hes been living 40 years here in asheville and he still amazed at the devastation of mother nature, lets take a listen theres a Railroad Bridge just north of town and thats never been underwater even even in i believe it was nine between 16 was a big there was an underwater and yesterday it was underwater another main problem here and nashville is that Water Service has been disrupted pretty much across the city of people are wondering when will we get the service back . What officials are saying . And thats what they said in a statement on saturday, is that they are assessing they are sending crews across the city to assess the damage caused by the storm. And they have at least one water main break that they have to deal with and they theyre taking a close look at the system to see what they can prioritize to make sure that they do it slowly. But the proper way so that they do not contaminate the water. Even more. Again, that process may take several days before people can get water backup. Also cell phone service, an Internet Services are down for most of the population. Amara back to you i just asheville is unrecognizable, so sad. Rafael romo. Thank you. And for more information about how you can help Hurricane Helene victims go to cnn. Com Slash Impact all right. We are about five weeks out from the president ial election in both candidates are wrapping up a busy weekend on the campaign trail. Former President Donald Trump will be in the Battleground State of pennsylvania, after a visit to wisconsin last night. And Vice President Kamala Harris will be in her Home State of california for fundraiser in Los Angeles Plus and then she will head to nevada for a rally in las vegas. Now, overall, polls are mostly showing the two in a dead heat, but thats not the case for a specific groups of voters, including latino voters. A Cnn Poll released just days ago shows harris leading trump by 19 points among likely lead to you you know, voters. That is well outside the margin of error joining us now is pew Research Director of Race And Ethnicity research of Mark Hugo lopez, marc. Good morning to you. Thank you so much for joining us. Big picture here. First off from your perspective, market is harris where she needs to be today with latino voters to win well, shes likely to win the latino vote as democratic president ial candidates have over the last several decades. But if seen here is her level of support is a little bit about where biden was in 2020, maybe a little bit behind. And so that could have implications in some of the Battleground States as you look at places like Arizona And Nevada and pennsylvania. So well have to see but shes wondering about as close to biden as weve seen in recent polls. Yet, she, as you mentioned, is still trailing biden in 2020 when it comes to the latino vote and the black vote between six to eight points. Shes trailing biden. Why this disparity . Part of it i think has to do with some of the changes weve seen in terms of latino voters support for the different candidates and how theyre viewing the parties are surveys over the last couple of years have shown that latinos have generally said, while the Democratic Party may be the better party for latino population, its also one that they feel isnt necessarily aligned with the issues and turns of hispanic voters. So for example, this year the economy, Inflation Prices have been a top issue for latinos are not necessarily immigration. And as you look at Who Say would be the better candidate on the issue of the economy. Actually, theyre split some say, trump and about an equal shares, Say Harris and speaking of which you authored a Pew Research Report this week titled in tight us president ial race latino voters preferences mirror 2020. And you write that economy is the top issue for latino voters, including Health Care, violent crime, gun policies, as well. So its, but its the economy, not immigration as some people my typically think is the main issue for latino voters thats exactly right. And in fact, whats really interesting here is that while it overall, i mean i be the top issue i would want to point out that for latinos, youre seeing theyre going to vote for trump. It is the third most important issue for determining their votes, 71 of Latino Trumps supporters say that when you take a look at harris, latino supporters, though immigration is much farther down the list, the top issues for them are the economy, Health Care gun policy, and only 37 say immigration is important for determining their vote. While overall, it may not be the top issue, there is a difference in preference is an important to the issue immigration for Latino Trump supporters versus latino Harris Supporters. Thats not much different from what we see from all us registered voters overall. There is this divide with the importance of immigration for trump supporters versus harris support. Their interesting, so a top issue for Harris Supporters as more immigration than economy let me, let me ask you this then because when you see Harris Out and about in these Border States like arizona, shell be in nevada tonight. These are crucial Swing States where you have a significant portion of the electorate being latino voters. And you hear her messaging. I mean, shes obviously gotten to the right on immigration. She wants tougher a Border Security measures. She is promising to revive that bipartisan bill that trump tanked himself does she risks alienating some latino voters by using the stronger language . She may, but also by using this runner language, she else may be attempting to attract some of those latino voters who Rate Immigration as a top issue and also say theyre going to be voting for Donald Trump. Many latinos Who Say theyre Gonna Vote for Donald Trump also indicates that the border, in Border Security is an important issue. Before them, as well as deporting immigrants around the country without authorization. That contrast with what you see among latino Harris Supporters who might say, for example, a pathway to citizenship for undocumented is one of the top issues for them when it comes to immigration so her move may be an attempt to attract some of those latino voters who have indicated theyre going to support Donald Trump. I would say though that in terms of our surveys, we have seen that Latino Trump supporters over 70 of them say that their vote is going to be for trump there. Theyre unlikely to change their vote. So well see what happens. Well, you know the variety of opinions that you see within the latino voters that population just underscores that when we talk about ethnic groups like the latinos, the black vote the asian vote. Were not all a monolith, right . And these groups, i mean theres obviously a diversity of opinions within the group as well. Mark hugo, lou lopez, we appreciate you. Thanks so much. Watch tim Walz And J. D. Vance and their first and only facetoface debate. A cnn special event, the Vice President ial debate, flammable cast will be hosted by Cbs News an airs live tuesday at 7 00 pm. Excuse me, 9 00 p. M. Eastern On Cnn, 9 00 p. M. Eastern. Everybody well, the death of Hezbollahs Leader is adding to fears of a wider conflict in The Middle East coming up, how the White House is reacting with just six weeks to go so for the u. S. Presidential election saturdays this whole scene is taking a break from Breaking News to air. Have i got news for you . Breaking news. Im getting a sandwich. We need to talk about what constitutes Breaking News. Provide got news for you you saturday at nine on Cnn And Streaming next day on max suffice helped me get my money right to achieve my ambitions, like saving for a better Swing Loosening that grip far, i earn more money on my money and pay new account im investing in my game so if i can help fund all your ambitions ambitious bank was so far to score a hiring if py in an epic, welcome bonus. So fine. 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Cities seamlessly connected banking, markets and services businesses deliver global financial solutions so our client can keep investing im going to innovations for patients of roundtheworld without pause for the love of moving our Cli Pete G. Writes, my tween wants a new phone. How do i not break the bank . We gotcha, pete. Xfinity mobile was designed to save you money and gives you access to wifi speeds up to a gig. So you get high speeds for low prices. Better than getting low speeds for high prices. Right, bruce . Jealous . Yeah, look at that. Honestly. Someone get a helmet on this guy. Xfinity internet customers, ask how to get a free 5g Phone and a second unlimited line free for a year. Switch today watching at fubo tv. Com im dr. Sanjay gupta in atlanta. This is cnn closed captioning brought to you by mesobook. Com if you or a Loved One have mesothelial, will send you a free book to answer questions you may have called now and will come to you 808 to 14000 welcome back. Jim sciutto live in Tel Aviv. Some us officials celebrating the killing of hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, like many of its western allies, the u. S designates hezbollah, a terrorist organization, republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch Mcconnell posted a statement saying, quote Hassan Nasrallah authored decades of Terror And Suffering across The Middle East. Israelis, americans, lebanese, and syrians are safer without him on the battlefield. House speaker mike johnson, house majority whip, Steve Scalise and republican Conference Chair Elise stefanik issued a joint statement calling us well as a puppet of the iranian regime. There were also statements from President Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris calling this a measure of justice for the victims, the families of victims of belos attacks. Joining me now, cnn white House Reporter kamala to shallows, we know that Defense Secretary Austin spoke with israeli Defense Minister on saturday do we know what the u. S position is on israels Potential Incursion on the ground into israel, but also on us force, Force Posture in the region well, jim, us officials say that they fully believe that israel is within its right to defend itself against Terrorist Organizations. But they also stressed the need for a Ceasefire Ceasefire Deal in order to deescalate the tensions in this region. Now, just yesterday, President Biden put out a statement, and this is what he had to say. He said ultimately our aim is to deescalate the ongoing conflicts in both Gaza And Lebanon do diplomatic means now, biden also just went onto say that they are pursuing a Ceasefire Deal thats backed by the un security council. Now, even though he did not go into more specifics about what this deal would entail. He made it very clear that he believes that the only path forward is through diplomatic means in order to really mitigate the tensions in this Region Yeah of course, one has to wonder where that Ceasefire Efforts stands given the escalation and strikes in recent days by Israel Camila Dechalus in washington clinton, thanks so much for joining us. We continue to follow all the threads here in israel. And we will be right back winning is everything stupid saturday at seven On Cnn as a cardiologist, when i put my patients on a statin to reduce cholesterol, i also tell them it can deplete their Coke Queue ten levels i recommend taking cute all cook you ten q at all has three times better absorption than regular coke. Putin, kunal, the brand i trust Consumer Cellular is lowering the price for those 50 and get to unlimited lines for 30 each. Thats just 60 a month. So switch to the carrier ranked Number One in network covered satisfaction is it Consumer Cellular. 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Chase for visitors new said you were certain that this was a Costume Party . Were you for imprints . Are why certainty matters. So when you need the right highquality promotional products printed perfectly and guaranteed to arrive on time thats the certainty of four imprint. So while your clients nail your next event for inspire your team by checking out for imprint imprint. Gov imprint for certain Wednesday Night dynamite library, Tbs Tens Of Thousands of Port Workers are threatening to strike Tuesday Morning if a deal is not reached and the impact could be farreaching affecting industries as diverse as autos out of pardon its two furniture agriculture, and even alcohol. Cnns Vanessa Yurkevich has more itll be the first Port Strike on the East And Gulf coast in nearly 50 years. The international longshoremen and the u. S. Maritime alliance us mx have yet to reach a deal, which means Tens Of Thousands of Dock Workers could go on strike at 12 01 a. M. On Tuesday Morning. Now that would impact three dozen locations at 14 major us ports from maine all the way down to texas agriculture, furniture, alcohol, autos, and car parts would have no way to get in and out of the us through these ports. Now, for example, nearly 90 of all imported cherries, 80 of imported beer, wine, whiskey, and scotch. All arrive at East And Gulf coast ports and any cargo thats left on the docks. If there is a strike, it will not be accessible, which means that food could spoil the union and us Mx Havent met facetoface since june and the maritime alliance vows an unfair Labor Practice Charge with the national labor Relations Board to try to force the union back to the Table Table before tuesdays deadline. The union though calling this a publicity stunt, adding that the maritime group has failed to offer or provide an acceptable deal. Us mx have has offered wages upwards of 40 in wage increases over the sixyear contract. And thats according to a source familiar with now many retailers who saw this Potential Strike coming broaden their merchandise early or rerouted to the West Coast. So Holiday Shopping doesnt get disrupted, but any strike would be disruptive. Just a Oneweek Strike would take ports over a month to recover according to oxford economics im x. Now President Biden does have the power to end the strike through the tafthartley act. But an Administration Official has said, hes not considering it all right. Vanessa yurkevich. Thank you. Lets discuss on how this could affect you. And of course, The Big Picture of the u. S. Economy. Jason miller, associate professor of Supply Chain Management at michigan state university, joining me now, good morning to you okay. Jason, if the Longshore Union members walked out this could become the most disruptive strike to the u. S. Economy in decades. How so yes, the last time we had an eastern Gulf Coast Port Strike was 19 1977. There was far less trade back then. So we really are in Uncharted Waters in terms of the economic impact and so right now were just waiting to see, were getting to the 11th hour. If negotiations will resume. If a deal will be struck, and then if we do go on strike, really just understanding how long that will take place. Obviously, a lot will depend on how long this Potential Strike lasts, right . What would be the threshold then when we consumers would actually start feeling the impacts and perhaps seeing shortages at the Grocery Store or what have you i would say the Magic Number is two weeks. Anything beyond two weeks is going to be very, very, very disruptive. And at that point, we will essentially be digging ourselves out of the sort of backlog still through january at that if it would be a short strike of only a few days that wont be that disruptive because you can think about it that ports often have to close down due to extreme weather events like hurricanes for a day or two. And we dont have ramp and short shortages. So its really, a Twoweek Period Thats Kind of to me the threshold. Okay. So then if the strike does happen, it lasts beyond on two weeks. What kind of impacts well, we, consumers start to feel so youre going to start running into situations where lets say certain fresh fruits or vegetables may be in short supply because there isnt an alternative way to get those to the Store Shelf you may start seeing sporadic shortfalls of lets say, your favorite wine from europe as an example, because theres no other way to get that. Hear your favorite piece, the piece of furniture that youre wanting to buy that may not be here as well because thats also waiting to be unloaded. I think you also told our producer that the Car Industry will be the most impacted. Could you elaborate and what does that mean for people who are in the market to buy a new car . Yes. So the Auto Industry brings in Tens Of Thousands of containers of auto parts, its numbers that are really difficult to comprehend and with auto production, we dont bring in a lot of inventory of parts ahead of time and so a lot of the parts, that would be needed to produce vehicles. Lets say towards the end of this month will be on those boats right now if those dont get on loaded, you start having sporadic plant slowdowns. And at that point that could mean workers even being put on temporary layoff, that thing cascades further upstream to Domestic Parks its suppliers and youd have some of these ripple effects like we saw in 2021. Albeit its important to understand, were not looking at a disruption unless this is a very, very long strike anywhere near the degree we were experiencing and 2021 or the first half of 2022, then i have to ask because the holidays or not that far away, could it impact our Holiday Shopping fortunately Holiday Shopping should not be that impacted what we since this was an event that we knew could potentially happen, water retailers, were bringing in these Holiday Items ahead of time. And so a lot of the inventory of toys and chris dismiss items is very likely already sitting in warehouses or its right now being routed, planned, rerouting through the West Coast. And if its showing up here in october, it was planned to arrive on the West Coast got it. All alright. Well, well watch this closely. Jason miller, i appreciate you breaking down all of this for us. Thank you we will be right back president pezeshkian joint again, joints for week for his first interview with western media, amid rising mideast tensions, he takes on Israel And Hezbollah women its writes in his Country And War for Weed Zakaria gps this morning attend this was the Highest Rated oprah Winfrey Show of all time. Were still talking about it she opened the door to have discussions about way in a way that we had not before tv on the edge, moments that shaped our Culture Tonight at nine On Cnn. Can you do this as early as your 40s, you may lose muscle and strength, proteins supports Muscle Health in Shear Max Protein has a 30 grand blend of Highquality Protein to feed muscles for up to seven hours so take the challenge, Insurer Nutrition for strengthened energy our right to reproductive Health Care is being stolen from us. The rights for ourselves, our kids, and our grandkids gone just like that. 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Tuesday at Nine X Crew Dragon Spacecraft successfully launching from Floridas Cape Canaveral yesterday, a two Man Team is now on the way to bring two Nasa Astronauts home from the international space station, astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore have been stranded on the iss since june after their Boeing Starliner Capsule was deemed too risky for the flight back to earth a Nasa Astronauts and russian cosmonaut will now join williams and wilmore for five months of work aboard the floating lab. And all are due to Head Home in february well, this Weeks Episode of tv on the edge looks at Diet Culture and how Oprah Winfrey and Daytime Tv was reflective of Societys Fixation with losing weight. Heres a preview i have concerns when it comes to the ozempic era, and i wish that one of our favorite question askers would be asking more questions in this oh man. This Diet Culture has been around forever were just experiencing a new iteration of it. And i do think its important that oprah is on both ends of it. She was there in the beginning and shes here now be sure to tune in to a new episode of the tv on the edge, moments that shaped our Culture Tonight at 9 00 p. M. Eastern, right here On Cnn. All right. That is our time. Thank you so much for being with me this morning. Ill see you back here next weekend alongside Victor Blackwell he will be back feeling good after his lovely vacation Inside Politics starts after a quick break, Manu Raja will be joined by former House Speaker Kevin Mccarthy tim Walz And J. D. Vance in their first and only facetoface debate. And cnn has covered with the best political team in the business, a cnn special event. 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