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Candidate for governor in North Carolina, calling himself A Black Nazi. Thats the reporting uncovered by cnns kfile what that candidate is saying today and what it could mean for trumps chances in that Battleground State. Also new details about a tragic killing a judge killed inside his chambers as sheriff now behind bars, charged with Firstdegree Murder and escalation after backtoback operations targeting king has hezbollah terrorists with exploding devices, israel destroys 100 Rocket Launchers overnight. Sara is out today. Im Kate Bolduan with John Berman. This is cnn new central this morning, hide the kids are at least cover their ears. Weve got new fallout this morning after the shocking revelations uncovered about a candidate for governor in one of the most who crucial swing states. All from cnns kfile about the republican candidate for governor in North Carolina, Mark Robinson, K File reports that robinson posted on a born Site Messaging Board starting in 2008, described himself as quote, A Black Nazi in calling for slaver to be reinstated. Now thats in addition to lou incredibly explicit and graphic posts. Robinson has denied making these posts get into but new Sheriff House on my manufacturer, this all these salacious tabloid lives. But i can tell you this. Theres been over 1 Million spent on me through ai by Billionaire Son whos bound and determined to destroy me. But things that people can do with the internet now it was Incredible Robinson is a close ally of Donald Trump and has made numerous campaign appearances with him the former president has called robinson, quote, Martin Luther King on steroids, seen as Jeff Zeleny joins us now with the latest on the fallout here, jeff hey, john, good morning. There are 16 reasons this story and this Race Matters nationally. Those of course, are the 16 Electoral Votes in the Battleground State of North Carolina. And this Governors Race is reverberating throughout that campaign. There is No Doubt former president Donald Trump will be going to North Carolina morrow to campaign. We will see if he mentions this or appears alongside the Lieutenant Governor that is unlikely. But look, the reality of this is this was already a very challenging race for republicans, but North Carolina is emerging in the late chapter here of this president Ial Campaign is one of the closest swing states, and here is why it was the narrowest margin of victory for Donald Trump in 2020, just 74,000 votes were separating. He and Joe Biden. Now republicans are worried that this is going to sort of hurt the entire slate of candidates. The republican senator in the state at Thom Tillis made this very clear in a tweet last night. Lets take a look at that. He said it was a very tough day. We must stay focused on the races. We can win we have to make sure President Trump wins North Carolina and he goes on to say he is worried about that, just support others for candidates. Have harris takes North Carolina, he says she can take the White House. We cant let that happen. So look, the fallout from this as slightly unclear. North carolina has a history of splitting the ticket. The democratic governor roy cooper. He won in 2016 and 2020, and Donald A Trump also won those years, so we dont know the fallout of this, but republicans are worried that Mark Robinson and all of the baggage he is brought to this certainly it will hurt their ticket, john, those comments from Thom Tillis those are the sounds of being cut loose by your State Party anymore, at least he didnt mention robinson in that, right . Right. By officials and well wait to see what we hear from trump directly on that. In the meantime look, Vice President harris is focused on earth carolina, shes also focusing now on georgia with a message on Reproductive Rights she is john, she was scheduled to be in wisconsin today. Of course, she was in michigan last evening and shes still will be but shes making a detour to georgia to talk about Reproductive Rights. Its really been one of the anthems of her candidacy, but shes going to specifically weigh in on this a case of a 28yearold woman in georgia who died a couple of years ago after the states restrictive Abortion Law and the Vice President talked about this and very emotional terms last night in her appearance with Oprah Winfrey i want it to go through and silence but i realized that it was fail Fish And Watch also know amber with not a statistic. Im just so sorry. Courage that you all have shown is extraordinary. She on Deaths Door before you actually decide to give her help thats then youre on deadline literally a doctor or a nurse has to say she might die at any minute better give her now care because otherwise i might go to Prison Issue that is weighing heavily on this president Ial Campaign. The first president Ial Campaign in the wake of the supreme Courts Decision to overturn roe versus wade. So lets president harris clearly believes this is a message and an issue she wants to speak forcefully on. Shell be doing that today in georgia before returning her campaigning back to wisconsin tonight, john Jeff Zeleny, great to see you this morning. Thanks so much, kate. Lets talk about both of these important aspects of whats going on in the president ial race right now, joining us is cnn, political commentator, former White House Communications Director under Donald Trump is farah griffin, democratic Strategist Antwan see right. And former white House Spokesperson under george w bush, pete pete seat. Lets start with what weve heard. Whats happening in North Carolina right now. First, alyssa as a communications specialist, what would you tell Donald Trump to say today when it comes to Mark Robinson and everything thats come out listen the deadline has passed for him to get off the ballot. This is who the republican party has stuck with. Now if this were a normal politician and not Donald Trump, id say disavow him. Its worth it. Its better to lose the Governors Mansion in North Carolina, than risk hurting yourself. Frankly, more North Carolina, a Neck And Neck Battleground State where Mark Robinson as a drag gone the ticket, but also because its the right thing to do. But listen, this is a character Mark Robinson, who weve known for some time, has engaged in holocaust denialism, antisemitic rhetoric. He had a long record and was vetted in the gop in trump world, decided to go with him. This is honestly just the most predictable outcome and its just indicative of trump wor the trump era, where theyd rather go with who the base loves the most than the actual electable candidate who doesnt have these salacious things following him. I want to play what some republicans are already saying and reacting to this reporting about Mark Robinson, let me play this far along and then to the people who supported him, all the money that hes raised. And i think he needs to drop out today. I definitely want to read what the allegations are and the comments on it. I myself Cant Support Anyone if that all turns out to be true know those those comments all made yesterday, Ralph Norman saying he drop out today and as alyssa was making a point, there was a reason why not . Why Ralph Norman was saying he should drop out two Day Meeting Yesterday because now hes on the ballot elliot, what do you think will happen as this settles in further among elected republicans as alyssa pointed out, weve known for a long time that the Lieutenant Governor in North Carolina hes radioactive and now that has just expanded beyond what it already was in a problem, but i dont think this is going to have a huge impact. If any impact at all on the president ial election ill say what Nate Silver said on the lead with Jake Tapper yesterday, which is we rarely see reverse coattails. You see the top of the ticket, which in this case is the president ial race, can have a Trickle Down Effect below the ballot on downballot below them. But its very rare for the reverse to occur. So i dont think that voters are going to take it out on donald prompt that theyre extremely loyal to Donald Trump. Republican voters are, and theyre not going to be upset over this latest Revelation And Vote against him because of it. And from what do you think i mean, right. Just some of the simple facts, right. If this is a Governors Race, hes long controversial. Thats been established. Hes down by lots against the democratic nominee for governor. The State Hasnt History of voters splitting the ticket what do you think well, we, as democrats have an opportunity and an obligation to earn every vote, and we must take North Carolina race by race from the presidency to the precinct. It just so happened. Candidate quality still matters in a place like North Carolina. And then the country like america. And sadly enough, those of us who do politics for 11 or do campaigns, one of the first things you do is what we call opposition research. And the fact that this candidate was able to sail through the republican preference primary. If you will, make his way to the top of the Ticket Statelevel and no one raised a red flag about this says everything i think about the modern day republican party. And ill just say, look, we have 99 problems and the democratic party, but Mark Robinson, a11, borrowing words from that Modernday Hip Philosopher jayz. And so i think josh stein, i think the north gone democratic party i think democrats in the state must stay focused on the task at it. And thats winning up and down the ballot. I agree. It may not have impact holistic impact on the president ial race, but we do our job as democrats. Its certainly can mean shifting the narrative about the extremism thats now hijack the republican party as Jeff Zeleny points out, Donald Trump is headed to North Carolina tomorrow, timing, man, it is often a lot when it comes to when it comes to politics. Lets see what happens. Well, so lets talk about what else Jeff Zeleny and John Berman were talking about the Focus Today for Kamala Harris. She is detouring, rerouting, going to georgia to focus in on Reproductive Rights to highlight spotlight that especially one of these tragic deaths that have been reported by propublica. Theyve today, mother of Amber Thurman was at that event. That Streaming Event with oprah last night talking about what has happened to their family the focus in on this that is not that is not surprising. It is what democrats have said they need to lean on because they know that voters care about it. What do you think about the impact of this new element of but as these deaths deemed preventable in georgia listen, i think its potentially hugely impactful and its a smart place for Kamala Harris to play, listen the debate around Reproductive Rights. Democrats have wisely framed it is something much more broader than simply access to Abortion Abortion is an issue that the countrys pretty 50, 5050 on related to just whether they support or dont. But this is much more about the full suite of Reproductive Rights getting lifesaving care. If youre somebody whos losing a pregnancy, access to ivf, access to Birth Control in this story, i dont know a woman left, right, or center that it doesnt break their heart, it doesnt resonate with them. And frankly, i dont know that i know a prolife woman who thinks that you shouldnt get lifesaving care even if it requires an abortion, if its going to protect the future fertility in life of the mother. So these are the stories that plays so well with swing voters, with moderate republicans and the people she needs to win. And it makes it less about the radioactive issue of ondemand aboard portion that sometimes isnt really whats going to motivate swing, swing voters. Its much more the broader aspect of Reproductive Rights. And heres the thing, pete, weve seen Donald Trump has a real problem in talking about it, he struggles with talking about one, his stance on abortion, Reproductive Rights, anything around it. He struggles to say the least what you saw, no matter your politics of how Kamala Harris handled that conversation. So different well, i would say republicans are challenged in talking about this issue right now because we have nothing to fight against it so much easier today to fight against things. And thats why abortion is an animating issue for democrats because in 2022 and now in 2024, there fighting against the repeal of roe v. Wade from the supreme court, which republicans for 50 some years, or fighting against roe v. Wade itself and trying to get it repealed. So Kamala Harris is smart to go there. This is a margin of error race. The Atlanta Journal Constitution came out with a poll this week. It shows that this race between Trump And Harris is a statistical tie in georgia georgia. And the issue of abortion is high on the list for young voters. And i also found interesting in that poll that black voters and young voters between 18 and 29 are the most likely to potentially change their mind. Very small percentage, about two or 3 , but those are the folks that Kamala Harris harris needs to reach. And this is the kind of issue that you can reach them up at margin of error election, those kind of numbers can matter. Its great to see you all. Thank you very much for coming in. John all right. This morning, a sheriff is charged with gunning down a District Judge inside the judges own chambers, growing Security Concerns in springfield, ohio, the mayor claiming Emergency Powers after violent threats over those false claims that immigrants are eating peoples pets and quote the reckoning will come hezbollah threatening a crime rushing response on israel as israel Defense Minister warns a new era of war is beginning reaction to the Birth Oneonone was overwhelming. 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Breathing problems or other eosinophilic conditions, allergic reactions may occur, dont stop your Asthma Treatments without talking with your doctor, tell your doctor if your asthma worse . Headache and Sore Throat may occur. Tell your doctor if you have a parasitic infection, step back out there with theyou feel the winds tnt. A kentucky sheriff is behind bars this morning, accused of shooting a judge multiple times inside his own chambers in the Courthouse State police say that there had been some kind of argument between Letcher County Sheriff shawn stines, and the victims . District court judge, kevin mullins. Cnns Ryan Young is following this and hes joining us now ryan, whats the latest here kate, were still looking into the details, but even as youre reading that story, its still somewhat unbelievable. We dont have any details about what the argument was about, and you can think about the panic that was set into this community because of this shooting this happened around 3 00 in the chambers and apparently, No One Else was in chambers when the judge and the sheriff got into some sort of heated argument that ended up with that sheriff apparently pulling his Gun And Opening fire on that, judge. Now, of course, the courthouse was putting locked down schools nearby was putting locked down. Theres all Happening Letcher and when you listen to the state trooper, you understand how tight knit of a community this is what we know that there was an argument between the two that led up, but what exactly transpired prior to the shots being fired still things that were trying to get answers to. This community is small in nature, and were all shook yeah judge. Kevin mullins was just 54. He is now dead no discussion right now. Kate, in terms of what led up to this, wasnt personal, did they have some ongoing argument . But all we know is around 3 00 yesterday, he walked into that judges chambers. That argument was and there were several shots fired still a Head Scratcher hoping that investigators lets give us some more information as they look into this case, but right now, the headlines just almost unbelievable it absolutely sure is much more to learn. Thank you so much, ryan, i really appreciate your reporting ahead for us. New polls showing a dead heat between Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in Battleground States. But what has those polls are off . What could that mean for this Race Area . Ive taken a look and springfield, ohio on edge as it faces continued threats over the false claims about immigrants from haiti the mayor now claiming emergency once you powers to better protect the town, that mayor is our guest saturday syscall, cnn is taking a break from Breaking News to air. 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I could just shut up the fact is i Cant Car saturday, October 5th on cnn where i breaking this morning, we are just seeing a brand new oped written by the republican governor of Ohio Mike Dewine and the title of it is, im the governor of ohio. I dont recognize the springfield that Trump And Vance described in it. He writes, as a supporter of former president Donald Trump and senator j. D. Vance. I am saddened by how they and others continue to repeat claims that lack evidence in despairs the legal migrants living in springfield and the mayor of Springfield Rob Rue joins us now, mr. Mayor, thanks so much for being with us. Again, i just read through this oped for the first time Governor Dewine actually sites you and your efforts in the city of springfield really last many years of your life, what do you think about what hes written this morning i read it this morning as well, and i thought i just it just reflects the support that Governor Dewine and his staff have given the city of springfield. I will say that our City Manager and our team are working tirelessly we are a Council Manager Form of government. So the five commissioners are the ones that are like the board are kind of overseers of that staff and the staff City Manager and his staff are working phenomenally. The Police Department working collaboratively together with other agency. So really kudos to their efforts to make every effort to keep peace and worked very well in our community. Hes talking about keeping peace. Youve given yourself some Emergency Powers to help keep everyone safe. Why is that necessary . Safe from what . So if i can just clarify that as a proclamation of emergency. So the city can move in a way to secure our community to secure contracts. So we can move swiftly to, like you said, Briggs Security and safety to the Community Muna do it allows our staff to move in a way that needs to answer this kind of situation. What does this protect yourself from . What, what is the situation but just the just the threats you know, up until today, the threats that we have been receiving, a bomb threats, threats, and our lives, things like that. So additional Security Contracts and things like that that we need to put in place are the reason for this proclamation of emergency. We are not in a State Of Emergency theyre just able to function as one that needs to answer the wrist. Youve talked about your 7yearold son. What does he think about all this think just like the other kids in our community, theyre just wondering why this is happening. Wonder why people are saying the things about our community in this way. And so just like any other parent like me, we find ourselves and unusual space to have to answer questions like this. Donald trump, as you know, has said he plans to visit springfield in the next two weeks. You have said if ppe were able to change plans, it would send a message of peace. What do you mean by that . I think ive said several times in different interviews that just because of the climate of our community, right now, its a very quote, Unquote Hot Nature right now. And if he was if a president ial candidate was going to come and bring a message of coming together, trying to work through problems. Talk about the real cthat why were in the middle of this debate, Immigration Concerns and Immigration Reform, that would be great. We would just like to see those words from any president ial candidate that they came to our town so my concern is what weve seen on the national stage. I really wouldnt want that repeated from our community from a in our community i mean, obviously, you saw the messages from j. D. Vance. You saw Donald Trump repeat them on a debate stage, which was seen by some 67 Million people what were you thinking when you saw that well, it was startling. I mean, you know, i choco just in like were all tired. But it was it was difficult to see. It was difficult to hear at that level we knew it would bring a lot of criticism into the cumulus unity. And at what level we didnt, no, but weve all seen in the last two weeks what its done. Well, difference would it make if either Senator Vance or former President Trump came out and repudiated the things that they said. And said, you know what, we were wrong, sorry. You know, i dont know what that would do. I mean, like i said, the real issue is whats being around this being set around the rhetoric is the Immigration Reform is the porous border, but we need to just talk about that. There needs to be formed and ive heard both sides of the aisle say things like that throughout the last several months thats what we need to be talking about. Not defending our community from a false claims. What do you want people to know about springfield springfields a wonderful place to be at. We are coming together even now within this difficult circumstance to work together. I do believe that what ive been hearing from committee, we we were a year ago, the City Commission was put into a situation that weve never faced before, and people were coming out and explain the desk, their concerns were realistic his name and i know there has been frustration thats built through the buildup throughout the last year. But i think the citizen needs to know we are listening and we are trying to figure out how we can come together and work through this influx. Concern mayor rob rue, i know this has been an unbelievably challenging time. Thank you so much for being with us this morning and being willing to talk about it okay. What is the plan now . That is the question in the hands and before the house speaker, Mike Johnson after the republican Government Funding Bill that they put on the house floor, it failed. Where is this all headed . And does it feel like deja who when it comes to a possible Government Shutdown needs a safe space you have a show. Were right and left. Talk to him cnn presents an Encore Presentation of hbos realtime with Bill Maher Tomorrow at 8 00 on cnn helping with comes Gummi Bites and love back what do you talk about the news sports a little family, gaza, maybe. You dont do that, right . Heres another topic for you as they get older, their risk of getting really sick from a respiratory virus like flu, Covid19 And Rsv goes up a lot so talk to them about getting the seasons vaccines because youve still got so much to talk about advil targeted relief. 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The tv moments that took culture over the edge, people are watching and then our World Change he had an explosive Reverberation Tv on the edge premieres sunday at nine on cnn we just spoke with the mayor of springfield, ohio caught in the center of this dangerous lie from people connected to the Trump Campaign and the former president now says he is planning a visit there but the mayor just explained to us that he wants real discussion over Immigration Reform. Not more rhetoric with me now is congressman Warren Davidson, a republican from ohio congressman. Thank you so much for being with us. I think he might have just heard Mayor Rue from springfield who said that if the former president is going to repeat the same things, he has been, he really doesnt want him coming to springfield. Your reaction look springfield a phenomenal town. I used to represent it before we were redrawn with redress redistricting. And unfortunately, ohio lost one Member Account Congressman that and the lines shifted, but its a great community. Theyve really been vibrant, theyve done well, theyve had massive investments in the workforce has been the challenge to sustaining the growth rate. So look, i think the people of springfield would welcomed Donald Trump and j. D. Vance anytime. I saw Vivek Ramaswamy went there and had dialogue with the community and i think thats the thing people want to know that theyre being heard. And i think Thats Part of what this has been elevated to look some of the cat memes were hilarious. People got to laugh i thought of them, but i think the part thats being dismissed is there really are serious concerns in earlier going back over a year ago, the City Commission and the County Commission have said together everything isnt fine. Do you need help . And that help is finally coming more abundantly from the state. But the federal government is still basically like never mind, everythings fine. It isnt. And thats what the community is frustrated about. There not being heard yeah. I get it. I will say that governor mike dewine, the republican governor, wrote in an oped that the verbal attacks against the haitians in springfield poor legally president in the u. S. Dilute and cloud, which would be a winning argument at the border. And then he goes on to write this springfield, i know is not the one you hear about and Social Media rumors is the city made up of good decent, welcoming people. They are hard workers. Both those who were born here in this country in those who settled here, because back in their birthplace, haiti, innocent people can be killed just for cheering on the wrong team and a Soccer Match will look initially when the community brought people in, they brought legal refugees into the town who came there to work and so the right kind of people with the values and Work Ethic that is needed and frankly fits with the community and really where did it escalate was really chain migration. So you saw any one person could bring six people. Im not saying Theres None of those people have the exact same values, but thats where it went from something that was manageable to just blowing up. Then there are federal policy sees that are dysfunctional like theyre being told to use google translate to try to teach math. High School Math to kids who cant even get directions in english how to find the bathroom down the hall . So it really isnt workable. And people who have been slow to listen now i get it. They need federal resources, state and federal resources to help teach and educate the legal residents who are now there theyll many of them who were this haitian population that you said the cat memes were hilarious are they hilarious . If theyre hurting these people who are there legally who fled. I know youre a person of deep faith. I mean, the place they fled is haiti where theres a lot of Missionary Work trying to help those people living horrible lives. Do you think cat memes or funny to them i. Think some, of them probably looked at it. I talked to somebody who said, look, were getting money for food 600 to 1,600 a month depending on Family Size we dont need to eat cat, you know, so theyre. Being supported in that way. And i think thats one of the things that people should understand what is going to refugees, why its going there of the obviously there are people from haiti who are legitimate fugees. But the thing thats being done here willfully is to dismiss everything that the biden administration has done, not just what the Refugee Program where theyre flooding the country with refugees, deeming everyone legal and skipping a lot of the process to adjudicate that and not putting any caps on the number of people. And youre overweight whelming communities. Springfield, ohio isnt the only place thats being overwhelmed with an influx of migrants, whether theyre legal or illegal i want to shift gears to federal funding and the budget and the possibility of a threemonth Stop Gap Measure here. Now, you voted for speaker johnson, i think if im not mistaken last plan that failed, which would have included the Save Act and funded the government. How do you plan to vote if he puts on the floor a threemonth Stop Gap Measure that does not have the Save Act yeah. I mean, im against the Status Quo, you know, members of congress spend most of august in their districts, as i always out and about, i found no one that said, gosh, keep everything in the way it is. Everythings fine just keep the Status Quo going so look to Save Act was pretty modest bit of reform, but ill take some, some level of reform but im not going to. Take no. Reform. Its also particularly bad to put kick this into december. Its a Lame Duck where theres maximum level of unaccountability for elected officials. And so if theres any excuse to ever miss a deadline fine, September 30 is the actual deadline. You would see in a president ial Election Year where there are wildly different promises from Kamala Harris and her team between President Trump and his team in terms of which direction were going to go. So if youve got that under the first hundred days and the next administration, i think therell be a reasonable compromise. I think its a terrible idea to go to December President former President Trump says, if you dont get the Save Act, basically, if you pass the measure that seems to be the ones are presented, this seems to be the one that put on the floor. He says republicans should not agree to a continuing resolution in any way, shape, or form. Basically suggesting shut the government as soon as next week. How do you feel about that well, of course we just put a measure on the floor that says we would like to fund the government but the idea that just because you wont go along with whatever Chuck Schumer says, it means you want to show but down the government know theyre the ones saying now, wed rather shut down the government then allows citizens to be limited to voting to make sure that states like arizona, which just got caught with 97,000 people that didnt follow the State Law that you have to show youre a citizen to be two registered to vote. So this is happening and yes, it is technically illegal to vote, but they dont have a mechanism to catch it or prevent it. And so thats what the Save Act is important for and right now, one of the biggest things i heard in my district across Party Lines was we need to have trust in our election and we need to have Election Integrity all right. Congressman Warren Davidson from ohio, we appreciate seeing you this morning. Thank you so much for your time. All right. Breaking overnight, the idf claims it hit about 100 Hezbollah Rocket launchers in lebanon. Weve got new reporting on what the escalating tensions could mean for the hostages still inside gaza Have I Got News For You are pretty awful. Yeah. What are the kinds we could run out the news . More than would never happened if i got news for you tomorrow at nine on Cnn And Streaming next day on max recipes recipes that are more than theyre ingredients hes. 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Super man, the christopher reeve story, theaters at 13 more and liebermann at the pentagon go, this cnn today, Kamala Harris is headed to georgia and Wisconsin Polls since the president ial debate have shown her gaining momentum and tightening the race and keep Battleground States all shown in the polling, friends. But a past elections have shown us anything. It is that sometimes pulling can be off or at least not tell the full story. Those questions linger. This year. And thats why Harry Enten is here. How close is the race yet how start there . Lets start just sort of where the race is right now. My goodness, gracious. Could the race be any tighter in these Battleground States, look in the great lakes, you got harris by two in michigan, wisconsin, and pennsylvania. Well within the margin of error. How about in the sunbelt though, its even tighter, you got a one Point Race in nevada favoring Kamala Harris. You got a less than one Point Race in North Carolina, trump ahead, but were talking about like 0. 2 percentage points arizona, a Onepoint Advantage, georgia, a Onepoint Advantage for Donald Trump, the race very, very close. Now lets just say the polls were exactly right. What does that mean for the electoral map . What it would mean a really tight race. Look at this. Kamala harris getting 276 Electoral Votes to Donald Trumps 262, mostly on the basis of winning these great lake Battleground States, despite the fact that trump carries three of the four sunbelt Battleground States. But the Bottom Line is Kate Bolduan in deir audience. This race is tight tight, tight. Now, in the realm of playing the hypothetical, yes. So lets do that. Yes those comparing how if the polling is off, if the polling is off, like it was in 2020, what would that do to the electoral map . So what get Donald Trumps Electoral Vote total right now, the polls are exactly right, 262, but lets say the polls are off like they were back in 2020. Look where he goes, he goes to 312 why is that . Because the poles underestimated Donald Trump in 2020. So the Bottom Line is, instead losing those great lake Battleground States. He wins all of them. He obviously holds on in North Carolina, georgia, and arizona, and he gains nevada. So if the polls are as good as they were in 2020, despite the fact that at this particular hour, Donald Trump trails in enough states to give Kamala Harris the victory. The polls were off like they were in 2020. Donald trump would actually win the election. There are big elections since 2020 that involved 2022 midterms. What if it was off, then now compare it to the pulling off edge of 30. Look, i think a lot of people are focusing on on the 2020 polling her and believing, oh, the polls always underestimate republicans not always because look at what happens if the polls were off, like they were in 2022. Well, Kamala Harris goes from losing that election to winning it with 319 Electoral Votes why . Because the polls underestimated democrats in 2022. So Kamala Harris gets back all of these great lake Battleground States, but she adds to her column North Carolina, georgia arizona, and nevada. So the Bottom Line is this race is way too close to call and the past election show us its way too close to call because polls are a tool. They are not know stir domus it is interesting to look at it this way though, just reminding us all. In summary just standby to standby, stand to standby, voters make the difference, not the pulse. Good to see you. Nice to see you. John. Harry makes all the difference right this morning, just 45 days until the election. And one of the big things that harris campaign is focused on is hard harnessing the energy of black women in some of these key Battleground States, cnns rene marsh, explores this Grassroots Movement historic candidacy has ignited a surge of activism among black women. We often talk about this idea of black Girl Magic and or the secret sauce. Its the work is the work that black women have put in june. Take it ed, founder of win with black women, organized the Zoom Call that she says netted 90,000 Black Women In Support of harris in the hours after president Joe Biden exited the race two in july, she also organized thursdays virtual rally with a Vice President hosted by oprah. There have been over 140 zooms for kamala that have raised collectively over 20 that many of them have said that they werent inspired by our call we are here in these states black women are crisscrossing Battleground States to mobilize voters in places like North Carolina where Donald Trump won by a little more than a point in 2020 at this political House Party South of Charlotte Janice Robinson is Training A Kitchen full of suburban women, how to boost Voter Turnout and flip the state blue. We call them troublemakers. Were training them how to talk to their friends, family, and acquaintances about the issues that are important in our carolina when it comes to convincing people the vote and become consistent voters people will listen to the people that they trust after trumps 2016 victory, the occupational therapists turned political activist, made it a mission to prevent his reelection. Are pulled those lists of democrats and independents who democrats and we went knocking on doors making phone calls. She flipped her historically republican precinct blue and hopes to replicate the strategy statewide in 2020, black women were key to Joe Biden winning the presidency, backing him over Donald Trump by roughly 80 points harris is counting on their support in november. And while she has not leaned into the Historymaking Aspect of her candidacy, she has embraced her ties to black sorority these including her own Alpha Kappa alpha, which is one of nine historically black fraternities and sororities that boast 2. 5 million members. The sorority recently launched its own political action committee, allowing it to support candidates the Driving Force for these black women are the issues why is this so important for you to do this work . I went through one of those Back Alley Abortions at 15 im im lucky to be alive today. Thats personal to me, not only is it historic, but theyre pivotal issues that are on the ballot that black women are paying very close attention, paying attention, but also clear eyed about the challenge ahead. This fall were going to work i as is often makes sure that this election turns out the way that we wanted to turn out. And if it doesnt, then it wont be because we did not direct thing we could black female political Organizers Way spoke with they are targeting often overlooked voters in rural black communities in places like North Carolina and georgia, leaving no votes on the table in this very close race. And as you saw in the piece there going beyond communities of colorg to expand the electorate in this race of margins. John, i made so much of a difference for democrats in 20202022. Well see the impact in 2024. Rene marsh, great report. Thank you very much, kate. Thank this morning, israel appears to be preparing for a potential for escalation with hezbollah overnight israel destroyed 100 Rocket Launchers in lebanon. The idf says also that 130 rockets were fired from Southern Lebanon into israel all this coming in the days after that sophisticated and coordinated Pager And Walkietalkie attack targeting the iranbacked Terror Group in lebanon. People fearing that this is opening a new front of the war for israel. And the Wall Street Journal is reporting exclusively now, this about the war against hamas after months of saying a ceasefire and a Hostage Release Deal was close at hand, senior us officials are now privately acknowledging they dont expect israel and hamas to reach an agreement before The End of president bidens joining me right now is Adi Alexander the father of Israeli American hostage . You don alexander audie. Thank you so much for coming in. I saw this reporting in Thed My Stomach Ju dropped. I mean if that is the u. S. View now how do you react to that longer in our vocabulary, but we have to stay hopeful. I dont think the u. S. Government will stop trying and with approaching hamas and to get kind of a yellow light from them to get back to the israelis. I know that this is something that in the process right now. And we have to remain hopeful look when when we spoke back in july, i mean, you had been hopeful then that netanyahu would be announcing a Ceasefire Deal in a matter of days. I was looking back to our conversation that was that was in july and now were here. I mean, what would you youve met with president biden multiple times in advocating to try to get your son released, what would you like to say to president biden now, in this moment in light of this its just really sad reporting about their view and their lack of hope, if you will i think we need more decisive actions. We kinda stuck in the midst of the u. S elections and limbo of the israeli politics. But we have to put it aside. And by The End of the day, as director burns stated, a couple of weeks ago in london we can only put so many words and a blue ink and blacking on the piece of paper. But at The End of the day, both parties, they need political willingness to say yes, lets go and this is not happening want to make sure to were showing pictures. I want to make sure we are showing pictures of idan to not forget, he is still in hands of hamas today. I mean, you said its optimism is tough, but you have to hold onto hope, but is hope getting hard to hold onto yeah, its really its has been too long lets not forget, we have 23 nationalities among them, seven americans being held for almost a year 100 hostages 60 among them are alive and those precious lives, they need to be bring back home as soon as possible add into all of this. Now this escalation with hezbollah to the north. Now the device attacks targeting hezbollah members than the promised retaliation. When you started seeing this, when you started seeing this happening, i mean, what do you what do you think the impacts . That all of that how all of that impacts the chances of getting your Son Home actually is waiting for that for the global escalation i dont think its helpful but this is something that had happened. And i guess well have to deal with that but this cycle of violence needs needs to stop immediately yeah. I mean, youre getting to what a lot of the fears are that if this goes further, the fears are increasing that, you know, 11 months of exchanges of fire between Israel And Hezbollah then becomes all out war. I mean if that happens, what does that mean for your family and all of the families of hostages still being held by Hamas Issue which is humanitarian issue, will stay front and center. And not being shifted to another front to another conflict which is far away from the, from the south and we have, we have to hope for a decisive mediation from the u. S. Government to just calm down the whole area. And to deescalate all the activities. And just get this deal done. Audie. Thank you for coming in we k

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