welcome to our viewer in the united states and around the world. i'm omar jimenez. it is wednesday, november 8. and it is a great day for democrats. they may still be celebrating victories that they notched in elections across the country. in ohio a decisive vote in favor of enshrinie ing the right to abortion in the state's constitution. this has been a proven winner for democrats since the supreme court overturned roe v. wade. >> there was no choice. we had to win. we had to end the ban. winning was our only option and we did it together. >> abortion was also a major factor in virginia where cnn projects democrats will now control both houses of the state legislature. in the governor's race in deep red kentucky, andy beshear fended off his republican challenger daniel cameron. >> this wasn't my win. this was our victory. it was a victory that sends a loud clear message, a message that candidates should run for something and not against someone. >> so with all of that good news for democrats, republicans also scored some wins tuesday. in mississippi tate reeves beat back a strong challenge by brandon presley. yes, second cousin of elvis. and new polling out for president biden that is not exactly great for him showing that donald trump is narrowly ahead of biden in a hypothetical rematch 49% to 45%. wrap that in with tonight's gop presidential debate, once again minus former president trump, and we have a panel, plenty to talk about. we have matt mowers, former senior white house adviser, former republican nominee and now president of vowcor. and we also have karen finney and jackie kucinich. and welcome everyone. great to see you. glad that you are up with us. matt, let me start with you. you were a gop congressional nominee. given what you saw last night, how should republicans running for re-election next year interpret what we saw last night? >> first and foremost, raise a heck of a lot more money. you can look at the political dynamics, but it is fairly tough to draw a thread between mississippi to kentucky to virginia to new jersey to draw too many conclusions. but one thing was crystal clear, democrats outspent republicans in every single race and by a significant margin. you look at kentucky, you had campaign to campaign andy beshear outspent cameron 5:1. in new jersey races, 4:1. and virginia youngkin raising money for the republican candidates. so i say start raising money because that is what it will take next year. and other thing, you have to keep it focused on local issues. you actually saw some bright spots for republicans even in the northeast. you look at new hampshire, republicans took control of the manchester mayoral race. he kept it focused on local issues, crime and taxes. he says i don't want to nalts alize the race, i want to focus on what my voters care about and he succeeded. so stay local and raise a lot of money. >> one factor we saw play out is abortion is driving voter enthusiasm and it builds on what we saw during the midterms including a place like michigan, wisconsin. and in arizona activists are trying to put a similar measure on the ballots. jackie, so my question to you, not that these elections weren't important, but they weren't part of a presidential election cycle. how big of an impact do you had expect abortion ballot measures to have on voting next year? >> i think one thing we're seeing in ohio, it wasn't just democratic voters who came out to vote for this. you saw in areas where trump actually won, it outperformed biden in that state. and it really did show across the country beshear campaigned on the fact that he thought that cameron's stance was too extreme on abortion. in virginia across the board you saw a lot of these candidates use abortion front and center as part of their campaigns. so it would be shocking if this wasn't front and center in the presidential race and across the country, we're seeing ballot initiatives starting to gather signatures, places like assist a assist potentially florida, potentially iowa. this is going to definitely be a part of the conversation in 2024. no doubt. >> and of course there were questions how much would that enthusiasm carry over from the results that we saw again in some midterm races. but i think that it is clear based on what we saw, it is still very much front of mind for not just democrats. karen, big night for democrats, but they still have on confront a bit of reality when it comes to 2024 at least as far as polls go. it is still early, but polling does show challenges ahead for the biden campaign. could last night's results provide some momentum for biden or do ayou see that as separate? >> i think it gives us a view into where the voters are and what issues are mobilizing voters. all due respect to matt, i knew that he would talk about being outspent because if you can't win on the excuse, talk about how you were outspent. but let's talk about that for just a moment because in kentucky, you know, beshear also not only was he contending with his opponent, he had five super pacs running ads against him largely anti-biden ads. and look how handily he won by focusing on the issues. he didn't just talk about reproductive freedom, he really talked about what he was doing with the infrastructure money, what he had been doing around the hurricanes and other issues that they had in the state, around jobs, around building communities. so i think that part of what it tells us is that stay connected to the voters, talk about what they care about. and, yes, reproductive rights continues to be, not surprisingly, about the seventh time people have gone to the polls and made it very, very clear where they stand. and i also think in virginia the fact that glenn youngkin, it was a bad night for glenn youngkin who put a lot of his own personal political capital on the line and really came up short. so again, i think that there are some tea leaves that democrats can take a look at and say, look, these are not great polls, but we are a year out and how do we use this time over the next year to make sure we are doing the work to win the election. >> matt, you can respond to some of what karen said. yes, spending is one thing but obviously how do republicans get around the issue of many of their instances on abortion here? >> every state will be different. let's not forget that brandon presley, the democrat in mississippi of course was running as a pro-life democrat and there was even a lot of coverage about how democrat voters would respond to that. but it has to be tailor-made. we do a lot of work in new jersey for the down ballot races. and there were a number of republicans actually win districts that joe biden won by 18 points. so it is going to be incumbent on every republican to navigate the dynamics of their district. you won't see one overarching national answer on abortion. roe v. wade won't permit for that -- overturning, dobbs decision, won't permit for that. it will be a state by state issue. so every republican has to navigate the dynamics of their own district that way. and look, for andy beshear, i give him credit. he was incumbent governor who ran a smart campaign and he won. there is a lot of benefits to that. again, i'm not trying to discount some of the other issues at play. i will say that incumbent governor with a bigger war chest nine out of ten times does win re-election and that was the case in kentucky. >> and one thing that i want to make sure that we try to get through, jackie, you can take this, that over in virginia republican governor glenn youngkin obvious spent a lot of money and political capital to try to get a republican majority in the state legislature. do you see any reverberations nationally for republicans there? >> i mean, the entrance of glenn youngkin as dark horse presidential candidate was sort of fan fick to begin with. but what does happen to glenn youngkin after his tenure as governor? perhaps this will quiet the 2024 talk. but we'll have to see going forward what he does and where he goes. but certainly his ambitions are pretty clear. >> we'll see how that affects things moving forward. look, believe it or not, we didn't get to a lot, we'll run this back a little later this hour. thank you all for being here. all right. coming up for us, still ahead, the stage set for tonight's gop debate in miami. what is different this time around? plus a new window to get out of gaza. the announcement just a short time ago from israel defense forces. and just hours from now, ivanka trump on the witness stand in a new york courtroom. israeli military has opened up another humanitarian corridor but just for four hours. given the widespread electricity and internet outages, it is not clear just how many people will learn of the chance to move. gustavo valdes is live in tel aviv. good to see you. what more are the israelis saying about the humanitarian window? >> reporter: this is an important part of the day because it is when they allow the people who have been registered, who have been vetted, who met some kind of special criteria to be allowed out of gaza. a lot are injured or have illness that required urgent care. and also yesterday in this window only 600 people were allowed to get out of gaza. so there are thousands of people waiting for this opportunity, but only a few get the chance. and also the question and mood in gaza informed that they are seeing trucks with aid going into the gaza strip. >> and we are following some comments from secretary of state antony blinken out of the g7, and he talked more about the long term prognosis for the area. and potentially life after this war. what are you hearing on that front? >> reporter: yesterday benjamin netanyahu said that israel is ready to take over security in gaza, at least for the foreseeable future. but not even seemed to agree that this is a good idea. >> one, gaza cannot continue to be run by hamas. it is also clear that israel cannot occupy gaza. now, the reality is that there may be a need for some transition period at the end of the conflict. but it is imperative that the palestinian people be central to governance in gaza and in the west bank as well. and that, again, we don't see a reoccupation. >> reporter: antony blinken meeting with g7 leaders and they all agree that they don't support a ceasefire in the israeli offensive but they are calling for a pause for humanitarian reasons. >> gustavo valdes, thank you. stay safe. coming up for us, the congresswoman just censured for what she said about the war. and people in philadelphia waking up with something that the city has never had before. that is next. c'mon, we're right there. c'mon baby. it's the only we need. go, go, go, go! ah! touchdown baby! -touchdown! are your neighbors watching the same game? yeah, my 5g home internet delays the game a bit. but you get used to it. try these. they're noise cancelling earmuffs. i stole them from an airport. it's always something with you, man. great! solid! -greek salad? exactly! don't delay the game with verizon or t-mobile 5g home internet. catch it on the dear moms and dads,. what you have achieved here today is going to help us and our futures. it is why we're coming up on stage to collect your diplomas. mom, love you always. vo: when you graduate, they graduate. visit finishyourdiploma.org to find free and supportive adult education centers near you. the house has voted to censure rashida tlaib over her comments over the israel-hamas war. just before the vote the first palestinian american member of congress rose to defend herself. >> the refusal of congress and the administration to acknowledge palestinian lives is chipping away at my soul. over 10,000 palestinians have been killed. majority, majority, were children. but let me be clear. my criticism has always been of the israeli government and netanyahu's actions. it is important to separate people and governments, mr. chair. no government is beyond criticism. >> tlaib had posted a video of protestors chanting from the river to the sea which is a long rallying cry for those seeking destruction of israel. proonlged w in rhode island black person ever will represent the state in congress. and not far from there, former philadelphia city council member, the first woman to lead the city. the fourth black mayor and first woman. warm weather beiacross the southern tier of the united states. more than 45 record high temperatures are possible. so let's go to derek van dam. what are we looking at here? >> good morning, omar. you know, i think that we're trying to hold on to summer as best as we can. the weather maps have anything to say about it, we are. for the next couple of days, we'll enjoy the warmth while we can, but things will change and that will happen quickly from west to east. in the meantime, wednesday to friday, so today through early parts of the weekend, 45 record highs. look where that is located across the southern plains, mid mississippi river valley and into the tennessee region. so check it out, this is impressive mercury in the thermometer. we're talking about lower 90s in the middle of november. this high temperature in texas shattering the record and also the hottest day for that particular location in the month of november. so that puts it into context how warm it has been and of course that will change. cool air will sweep eastward thanks to a cold front and we'll see a dramatic drop in our temperatures. the mercury and thermometer will take a nose drive by nearly 30 degrees in some locations. 80 degrees tomorrow, 51, more of the same for lubbock, dallas, shreveport to little rock about a 30 degree temperature degree today versus tomorrow. so you can see the extended forecast for larger city, st. louis to chicago, atlanta, we all cool down through the course of the week and it is thanks to this cold front here that is moving eastward that will allow for the change in our temperatures. by the way, that is a bit of snowfall on our map northern michigan. marquette, yeah flakes are flying. winter is coming. >> and reminds me that there is a fake fall where it feels like fall and all of a sudden it is super hot. >> i'll take it. >> derek, thank you. coming up, brand new cnn polling just hours ago, biden versus trump in a rematch. not great news for the president. at least as far as what the polls show. and ivanka trump will take the witness stand at h her fathther's civilil fraud t tria. thanks for getting up early with us. i'm omar jimenez. a good night for democrats with election victories driven in large part by abortion. it was a major issue in virginia which democrats won by adding control of the house of delegates and state senate where they already had the majority. in ohio abortion was literally on the ballot, and they approved to enshrine the right in the state constitution. and andy beshear beat his challenger. and one big cloud over democrats was another discouraging presidential poll, this one cnn's showing donald trump narrowly ahead of biden in a hypothetical rematch, 49% to 45% among those polled. while it is still early, trump also casting a shadow on the gop primary debate tonight as these five republicans take the stage in miami. you will notice not a single one is named trump because the former president is polling better than all of them combined. steve contorno is on the ground in miami for the debate and is joining us live. so we're down to five. much smaller graphic than in the previous few debates. but how is this field shrinking here and when you look at trump's continued absence, is that affecting the dynamics? >> reporter: to that point, omar, former president trump will be just down the road holding his own rally where he continues to do these counter programming events during the debates. but for those five on the stage, it is a smaller field and that gives them more space to share their vision for the country to speak directly to republican voters. and to engage with each other. and we have seen florida governor ron denikki haley, they will signalled had they can mix it up. haley, a poll out of iowa, she is now tied in second place with desantis. desantis has put a lot of resources in to iowa and that has been -- yet he has struggled to break out there. he is hoping that the endorsement he received monday from iowa governor kim reynolds will be a shot in the arm for his campaign. but we have seen these two going at it on social media, in advertising, in statements on the campaign trail. and it is all going to come to a head tonight. for the rest of the field, this field as you said has been slingisling slinging oig every week and it will get tougher to make the stage for the fourth debate. so this is a lanclast chance to voters why they deserve to still be a part of the conversation. and lastly, i'll say last night's election results is something that the candidates might need to talk about. the fact that all these candidates have staked out anti-abortion positions, given the message we heard from voters last night, we have to understand from governor desantis why his six week abortion ban makes him viable in a general election race when we saw voters shoot down abortion bans across the country. and nikki haley has taken a more of a middle of the road approach, can she convince voters that she is on their side. so it will be interesting to see. >> certainly a dynamic that we'll be watching to see of course in real time how it affects maybe some of the prepared answers a lot of the candidates may have had. steve contorno, thank you so much. so let's bring back our panel. matt, karen and jackie. karen, john if you've heard, but we have a debate tonight. >> yeah, i have heard. >> and do you think the dynamics of what played out in the elections will affect some of what these candidates answer the questions here? >> absolutely. i mean, look, we saw nikki haley actually try to plot the same path or chart the same path that they tried yesterday in virginia in terms of talking about a kindler gentler approach and 15 week ban instead of the more restrictive six week bans. and that may have worked, although i think what we're seeing now, it may have sounded good on the debate stage, but i think the results from virginia show us that people aren't buying it. a ban is a ban is a ban and americans know it. and the other piece i'll say, stakes are a lot higher in 2024 on this issue because one of the issues americans are deeply concerned about and continue to be concerned about is that republican president would pass a national a abortion ban regardless of what is happening at the states. so interesting to see how people try, if they try to modify their language on this issue and whether or not they call on donald trump for switching positions on this issue. >> obviously one notable name who won't be on that stage, donald trump. and that is slightly related to his influence at least to the race in kentucky. and so mats, i want to bring you in for this. andy beshear, yes, he won re-election in kentucky, a red state, over his opponent who was endorsed by trump. that listen. >> daniel cameron, i've known him right from the ginling. he beginning people bring lower taxes and safe communities. he's done a fantastic job. he loves everything that has to do with kentucky. >> do those words hold the same weight that they used to? >> everybody has to push their own message. and i do think that you saw the cameron campaign to some degree fall back from the trump endorsement and also fall back on national talking points and folks who are nationalizing the race with a relatively popular incumbent gorsuch. and so the results though that that is limited effectiveness. especially for executive positions. you are voting for that individual at the end of the day and how they will handle certain perspectives. if there is a national disaster or tragedy of some sort. and so every candidate has to run on their own message. i think that that is really what republicans have learned from yesterday. you can't just rely on one endorsement or one talking point. you have to start talking about the issues that your voters care about. >> and interesting again to see how the current nominees take some of the data from last night and potentially it influences their campaign. jackie, in the most recent cnn poll, just 25% of those polled say biden has the stamina and sharpness to effectively serve as president and 53% say trump does. they are not that fafr apart in age. how big of an issue do you think it will be for biden as we get into the maeteat of his campaig? >> you have seen voter concerned about it, you are seeing it across a lot of different polls and the white house is trying to counteract some of this by getting the president out on the road. they are touting the various projects that his initiatives have funded. but it will be a challenge to overcome if they do overcome it in the next year. because that concern hasn't really gone away and only gone up in several polls of late. >> and we talked about it earlier, karen, but abortion and voter enthusiasm around the issue and virginia, ohio, kentucky no doubt a factor here. but how do you anticipate democrats will use that as a strategy here? i guess in other words how long does that enthusiasm last and how much do you anticipate democrats using that to their advantage in the presidential cycle we have coming up here? >> as we look at the recent polling and results of some elections, i think the path for 2024 is about the issues. it is talking about the issues that people care about. and really drawing a sharp contrast between - - i don't think that the contrast is not as sharp as it will be certainly in the spring of next year. there were numbers like 51% think that trump is a good world leader but 62% says not one who you would be proud to have as a president. so there is dissonance here. and i think voters are telling us that they are not happy with their choices. next year there will be a binary choice of two different voices and i think that we'll see a difference in those numbers. >> and of course that plays out over time as choices start to become real. it will be interesting to see how some of those opinions may or may not shift. have to leave it there. thank you all. former president trump's eldest daughter ivanka trump set to take the stand this morning at her father's civil fraud trial here in new york. sth she attempted to challenge the subpoena without success and her testimony follows appearances by don and eric and also monday's testy exchanges between the judge and her father. so what does ivanka trump bring to the table? >> it will be interesting to hear from ivan ask a. we have to remember that's van ask a unlike her brothers is not a defendant in this case. the judge had to get rid of those charges because they were time barred. but her testimony is still very important because she was very critically involved at least according to the a. gf's office with the preparation and discussion of many of the financial disclosures.g gf's ofe with the preparation and discussion of many of the financial disclosures.gf's offi with the preparation and discussion of many of the financial disclosures.'s office with the preparation and discussion of many of the financial disclosures. she was very involved before she went to the white house. so the a.g. will want to get her to commit to the involvement that she had. and some of which she won't be able to contest because this case does have a lot of documents. so i think the big thing with all of the trump family testimony is really for the a.g.'s office to reveal the inconsistencies and some of the past statements of the witnesses in order to show more of a concerted effort to commit this fraud that the judge has found has existed in the filings. >> and just to give people a sense here, will the prosecution likely delve into ivanka's tenure in let's say white house adviser for example or do you anticipate this being pretty narrow in focus to any involvement she may have had in some of the business dealings going on? >> i would anticipate her testimony will be focused on the business dealings. but not particularly narrow because there is so much involvement that ivanka personally had. she doesn't have personal liability on the line here, but obviously as the heir to her father's property and fortunes, that is technically still on the line. but i think that you will see they will into a lot of the does uses about some of the disclosures that she was personally involved in, the amount of debt that existed on certain properties. so some of the things that she won't be able to give a particularly different answer to because an attack on any witness' credibility is between past inconsistent statements. but the focus is always to show the amount of coordination that they believe existed, trying to commit the frauds. whereas the trump family on the other hand is going to back off their personal involvement and claim that they relied on the experts that they hired and accountants and other such individuals while they were somewhat involved, that that was kind of where the numbers came from and again, these numbers are ultimately subjective. >> well, we'll see how it goes. she is billed as the prosecution's last witness that they are calling. so we'll see if that potentially frames things up as the case moves forward. katie, thank you so much. now, five republican presidential hopefuls are preparing to spar tonight in miami. spar with words of course. we'll look at what is on the line in this third presidential debate and if you are just waking up, new cnn polling on a possible trump/biden rematch in 2024. c'mon, we're right there. c'mon baby. it's the only we need. go, go, go, go! ah! touchdown baby! -touchdown! are your neighbors watching the same game? yeah, my 5g home internet delays the game a bit. but you get used to it. try these. they're noise cancelling earmuffs. i stole them from an airport. it's always something with you, man. great! solid! -greek salad? exactly! don't delay the game with verizon or t-mobile 5g home internet. catch it on the xfinity 10g network. it was a big night for democrats in virginia, ohio and kentucky. they are hoping the momentum translates to the national level in 2024. but signs that it could still be an uphill battle. new polling shows 39% approval rating for president biden and he narrowly trails donald trump in a hypothetical match-up. let's bring in our political analyst ron brownstein. good to see you. in a statement biden praised the passage ever ohio issue one which enshrined abortion rights into the state's constitution saying democracy won. it has been a tough look for the president with polling, but still a year out from the election date. can last night's results for democrats provide a spring board of momentum of sorts for his campaign? >> maybe more of a blue print and pathway. you know, as i say in the "atlantic" this morning, democrats continue to perform better at the polls than in the polls. the results last night look a lot like 2022. the polls are showing us something real, that there is significant discontent with president biden's performance and there are significant doubts whether he has the physical and mental capacity to execute the duties of the presidency for another term. but the elections are showing us something else, which is that even when those conditions are present for a significant slice of voters who are dissatisfied with president biden, it is still a bridge too far to empower republicans to impose their agenda, their kind of trump era cultural agenda. and you see this dynamic again last night most clearly in the big population centers. that was the consistent thread in virginia, ohio, kentucky. some of those races democrats did okay and small town rural areas. and others they didn't. but in all of them, they dominated the largest population centers. that is what we saw in 2022 in the swing states and that i think is clearly the pathway if biden will find a road to another term, it will run through the large population centers where republicans struggled again last night. >> and a lot of that enthusiasm we saw at least glimpses of it come out in the midterms of last year's as the first electoral test after roe v. wade was struck down. you wrote a piece yesterday giving fascinates insight into the geographic shifts in states like virginia where democrats got some wins last night. and also pointing out that of course the democratic emphasis on protecting legal abortion is part of why the party is so competitive there. so do you think that geographic shifts actually did play a role and what is your takeaway, your analysis on what we saw in virginia? >> i think the geographic realignment that we're playing through was a decisive role just as it did in the democrats' ability to avoid the worst in 2022 and overperform by far not only expectations but traditional results for the party holding the white house when the people are dissatisfied with the president. i think what you have is that there is as i said a slice of suburban voters who don't really believe that democrats have yet delivered for their interests, who still would not vote for republicans in 2022 and would not vote for republicans in 2023 because they consider them a threat to their rights and their values and in some cases to democracy itself. if you look at the virginia legislative races, democrats won key contests in the suburban rings outside of richmond and northern virginia. if you look at ohio, they won i believe it was 17 of the 20 largest counties voted to restore abortion rights, including two-thirds or more in each of the three largest counties. if you look at pennsylvania in the state supreme court race which are similar to the wisconsin supreme court race that concerned on abortion, democrats dominated philadelphia, pittsburgh and the philadelphia suburbs. so this is similar to what we saw in the competitive spring states in 2022. that is where the biggest con send trag of voters are who may be disenchanted but extremely resistant to the donald trump cultural agenda. >> and it is not that -- again, not that the election wasn't important but it also wasn't one that was on the presidential cycle. so as we know, there are many on both sides taking notes trying to see what their blueprint will be. and we'll see how that plays out. thank you so much. just minutes ago, secretary of state antony blinken speaking at the g7 in tokyo. what he is saying about gaza and israel when the fighting ends. c'mon, we're right there. c'mon baby. it's the only we need. go, go, go, go! ah! touchdown baby! -touchdown! are your neighbors watching the same game? yeah, my 5g home internet delays the game a bit. but you get used to it. try these. they're noise cancelling earmuffs. i stole them from an airport. it's always something with you, man. great! solid! -greek salad? exactly! don't delay the game with verizon or t-mobile 5g home internet. catch it on the xfinity 10g network. could aaron rodgers be back in time for christmas? andy scholes, people are getting their hopes up. >> that is bais basically what said. aaron rodgers is trying to be the first ever to make it a three month injury. and he was on the field monday night before the game. just launching 50 yard passes. and after the game, cameras caught him telling the safety that he'd be back in a few weeks. he says that is not far off. >> more of, you know, a phrase that didn't have a specific time ta table. but yeah, i said it smiling. obviously more than a couple weeks. >> so a couple is two, a few three, a reqush is -- >> yeah, it will be a few fortnights. >> all right. you can do the math. fortnight is two weeks, a few three. rodgers saying he could be back in six weeks. of course jets would still have come be in contention for that to happen. right now they are 4-4. no changes in the top four in the college playoff rankings. ohio state, georgia, michigan and florida start are in with washington sole undefeated power four now at number five. and michigan will be at penn state. and so hurricanes with a couple stellar saves. he sprints out of the net to knock away the potential fast break and immediately diving back to make another stick save. this is in the third with the game tied at two. the effort paid off. carolina would win in o.t. and there was a spiderman sighting at the mls playoff game in atlanta. silva powers home the goal in the win over columbus. and he will do this best impression of shooting imaginary webs into the stands. and finally, a kelce was named finalist for sexiest man al alive, but not travis. about the title went to patrick dempsey. what do you think, should it have been kelsey ice or dempsey? >> well, dempsey. but i will say the kelce stock is up. >> unbelievable. >> yeah, honestly, i envy them, but jason kelce oig just being a finalist, i'm waiting for my call. >> maybe next year, omar. >> yeah. andy scholes, thank you so much. thank you all at home for joining us on some slow news day. of course a joke. there is a lot going on. and even though i'm leaving, "cnnnn this mornrning" startrts now.