Sure i dont like the way in which it was done it feels like they were between a rock and a hard place. The fed when i say panicked the fed took a victory lap a slew of Airlines Warn of head winds with lufthansa canceling 7,000 flights. Brent trades below 50 a barr barrel russia needs to get on board as iranian minister says there is no plan b. We are trying to reach to our colleague in other countries good morning, welcome to street signs. There is a lot to talk about in markets going on first, i want to bring your attention to substantial moves 10year yield in u. S. Has broken through basis points we have rallied about 15 basis points this morning. To put it into terms, rallied 30 basis points this week that is gigantic move in fixed income let me take you back through equities you can see almost every single stock in the stoxx 600 is under water. We had another 1,000point decline in the dow small cap in bear correction territory. About 80 of s p are also technically in correction territory as well. This is the picture for the stoxx 600. Down 2. 2 . A lot of the sectors and International Travel getting hit. That is the stoxx 600 down raising the gains now on the week stoxx 600 trading in negative territory. Down 100 points lower. In terms of the names underperforming. Very much a story of the airlines the Parent Company of british airways, maybe even a little more now a lot of the airlines are getting hit. Also coming under selling pressure central dax, you guessed it at the bottom, we have lufthansa. Another airline sinking. Cac is down 2. 2 banks are under pressure there seeing declines of 2 to 3 . And the ftse mib in italy down 2 we had a very heavy session for the u. S. Banking sector with some major names like Morgan Stanley and goldman sach down. Deutsche bank down across the board, lower Interest Rate, lower growth an environment of fear is not helpful at all for the Banking Sector all eyes on that ecb decision next week and whether they go for an Interest Rate cut which wouldnt be good for the Banking Sector either. Switching to oil we have the second day of the opec meeting going on. A lot of expectations as to how much cuts theyll push through, recommending 1. 5 Million Barrels a day in cuts. This is the picture for some of the oil majors you can see most of them are trading on the back foot not as negative as some of the other stocks we saw on expectations that perhaps opec would surprise and go for a deeper are a longer cut. That is something to keep an eye out for. Ive been mentioning airlines lets talk about what is happening there. Lufthansa is down 4. 3 after they said they will be suspending over 7,000 flights. That is roughly 25 of the companys total capacity it blames cancellations on the waning command the picture is very, very negative with many of these Airlines Trading in deep territory. Yesterday, we had American Airlines down. Delta also a similar move. Yesterday, we had warning that revenue losses would be three to four times bigger than anticipated for 2020 lets get to annetta in frankfurt and talk us through the announcement we are seeing big, big moves in the stock today. Yes, actually lufthansa is as you were saying informing us that they are cutting more than 7,000 flights just in march. We have to think about what the magnitude could actually be if they were to count for the same amount of flights also in april. The estimate is that they could cost them up to 1 million euro all together they have less revenues and costs with the staff situation currently, they are asking staff to go on unpaid leave or shortterm working schemes the term of how bad it will be depends on how long the labor crisis will be there especially the business side of travel. They are empty on these flights. There are a lot of cuts in capacity in addition, some destinations are canceled all together. Flights between germany and israel are completely canceled because israel has an entry ban of people coming from germany because we had an outbreak hereof the coronavirus if this will abate soon, we dont know a lot of how bad it is going to be for lufthansa and other travel operators such as tui will depend on how long it will last lufthansa is down 30 . Tui shares are down more than 40 , 45 drop. Where you are europes biggest travel company we dont know if the situation will unfold and get life threatening for Companies Like tui. Back to you. Very serious price action there. Some analysts yesterday were saying this industry as a whole has become whole on the global session. Nikkei 2. 7 weaker topix decline 2. 9 , the kospi declined 2. 1 and in south korea down as well wall street and european markets as well. A lot of markets stress in the Greater China market as well i do want to talk about the relative resilience in the chinese stock market when we are talking about for example s p 500 index down actually shanghai composite is close to breaking even and shenzhen is up year to date. Although we dont see any better performance on the day shenzhen down. 10year Government Bond yields, we are talking about that around the world. Chinas fell to its 18year low. As they are talking about zero annual growth for the First Quarter for china this year. Well see how things go. Tomorrow, well be talking about it on monday chinas january and february trade data will hit the wires. We are watching what kind of surprise there will be because of covid19. As we started dealing with covid19, there were a lot of surprises to the down turn reuters was talking about 14 of drop and 15 decline when it comes to imports well see what kind of numbers well get and what kind of Market Reaction on monday as well it is interesting in terms of an update, hubei province, they are saying if things improve things will ease that day may not be far off. Certainly looking like china, just when the rest of the world is dealing with the negative impact or the fears is now talking about getting back to normalcy at this point thank you for bringing us the latest out of chinese equity markets. Lets look at u. S. Futures ahead of the market hope, looks like another early heart with negative sentiment looking at the dow jones opening 250 points down. To our guest you are seeing an impact to the strength of u. S. Currency. What does thatmean in terms of their own strengths and their ability to export . For Monetary Policy if you think from an economic performance, it is two types of shocks it is a direct Global Growth shock but also a risk premium shock. It is why you are seeing the fed act and yields around the world falling sharply. For em, the picture is much more complicated. Implying a more dovish outlook and having to respond to that as well from our perspective within goldman sack, we have cut our rate profiles. It is a much more mixed picture. Do you actually see any rate hiking the polish have left rates unchanged already. I would describe it more as a wait and see environment to see how the situation evolves and how currencies respond weve seen the lira selling off and coming back the last couple of days in russia, the currency falling sharply. On balance, we have introduced more dovish views. We have lower the our rate profile for russia, for south africa lets say for egypt, we expect the central bank to be more cautious Going Forward so it is a mixed picture i was watching governor mark carney and he was talking about how the objective has evolved. That Central Banks need to keep in find price stability. Given that in mind and how much disstrupgs weve seen this week despite the cut and further easing out of other Central Banks, is there value in saying theyve lost control in maintaining stability at this point . That the markets have come to expect so much out of them that there is only so much that they can do there is definitely only so much Central Banks can do. This is a crisis that clearly hasnt emerged from the monetary sector so the offsetting of the facts that they are having will only limit to some degree the pain that the Global Economy is going to face we expect there is a lot more to come thank you, well leave it there. Coming up, opec agrees to the steepest Oil Supply Cut but the real challenge will be convincingusto rsia participate. Well go to that meeting in v vienna shortly thats what happens in golf nothiand in life. Ily. Im very fortunate i can lean on people, and that for me is what teamwork is all about. You cant do everything yourself. You need someone to guide you and help you make those tough decisions, thats Morgan Stanley. Theyre industry leaders, but the most important thing is they want to do it the right way. Im really excited to be part of the Morgan Stanley team. Im justin rose. We are Morgan Stanley. Can you help keep these iguys protected online . . Easy, connect to the xfi gateway. What about internet speeds that keep up with my gaming . Lets hook you up with the Fastest Internet from xfinity. What about wireless data options for the family . Of course, you can customize and save. Can you save me from this conversation . That we cant do, but come in and see what we can do. Were here to make life simple. Easy. Awesome. Ask. Shop. Discover. At your local xfinity store today. Welcome back to street signs. Oil prices continue to fall. Russia has so far remained reluctant to back plans for 1. 5 Million Barrels a day in rate cuts. How confident are these members sounding about russia getting on board then we have been canvassing that is russia also agrees to cut by 5,000 barrels when looking at the pricing action we have seen sounding confident as he made his way to the meeting listen in. As soon as we reach the aggregate. What is at stake if you dont reach a deal today you said there is no plan b yes, there is no plan b no plan b so is there a risk that this opec could fall apart today . We have trying to reach colleagues in other countries. The minister there saying there is no plan b we also spoke to his excellency and he said hes confident russia will get on board i look forward to the discussion it is not going to be easy it will be a long meeting. Are you confident russia will get on board they are an important member theyve been working with us for a very long time we look forward to a good meeting. I cannot comment on the options. I cannot see us not agreeing because that is very important for the market and everyone is key. At the headquarters, we understand the Energy Minister has arrived. Just like yesterday, we heard from the secretarygeneral that told us he too is feeling confident that this group is going to be able to come together and cut a deal to stabilize the market well make our way over now to find out more. Thats how the situation stands right now. Back over to you thank you for breaking it down all eyes will be on that decision and whether russia will be on board for the cuts lets get back to the guest from goldman sach. Many think tanks have come out with a downward position how are you seeing that in areas you cover as well . As a global level, we estimate the hit to gdp in the First Quarter to global gdp to be at minus five Percentage Points that is a big hit another assumes the limited thread to what extent does that move globally with a higher level in the scenario that hit to q one and minus 10 Percentage Points getting to the detail seeing that initial case there in a dozen countries those are still uncertain as well we had a more bee nie scenario and it is clear weve moved from the baseline to the way the spread will be evolving. I dont think it has moved yet but clearly the risk has skued as of yet. You mention the shock in the Second Quarter that would be certain information we havent seen as well those little signs and the Global Growth, what do you do . It is much more complicated you have seen ems having been able to act but also in the low yield, they are talking about central yields in europe now talking about inflation that is well above the targets we have to operate a wait and see approach for us that we believe, our baseline despite this negative hit that they are likely unchanged. We think they are skued to the down side. With warehouse and luxury, in the markets that you cover, is it likely to be hit like this . It is interesting you come back to the assumption that the Global Risk Community that critically affects that if that remains much bigger than it is elsewhere, then it is commodity producers. The russias and the south africas that have large direct commodity exposure, if it turns into a Global Pandemic, you have tourism that will be a huge hit for the likes of egypt that will be large tourism shares becomes a more all encompassing hit. Thank you for that. Joining us here in our london studio joining us is darren woods at 12 00 cet. More on the oil topic there. Stay with us on the show Elizabeth Warren backs out but has the Massachusetts Governor endorsed anotheran cdidate yet find out after the break thatss sleep. Our liquid has a unique botanical blend, while an optimal melatonin level means no nextday grogginess. Zzzquil pure zzzs. Naturally superior sleep. Heres a razor that works differently. The Gillette Skinguard it has a guard between the blades that helps protect skin. The Gillette Skinguard. Robinwithout the commission fees. So, you can start investing today wherever you are even hanging with your dog. So, what are you waiting for . Download now and get your first stock on us. Robinhood. When you take align, you have the support of a probiotic and the gastroenterologists who developed it. Align helps to soothe your occasional digestive upsets 24 7. With a strain of bacteria you cant get anywhere else. You could say align puts the pro in probiotic. So where you go, the pro goes. Go with align, the pros in digestive health. And try align gummies with prebiotics and probiotics to help support digestive health. Welcome back to street signs. These are your headlines european equities extend their losses after a wild week seeing the dow sing an average of 1,000 points a day. The yields on the u. S. Treasury yields a new record saying the outbreak has created a fork in the economy. Cutting rates was justified for sure i dont like the way it was done its like they were between a rock and a hard place. When i say panic, the fed took a victory lap. Several Airlines Warn and lufthansa cancels more than 7,000 flights due to the Virus Outbreak opec plans to make the biggest output cut since the 2008 crisis but russia needs to get on board as Iranian Oil Minister says there is no plan b. We are trying to reach out to our colleague in other countries. It has been a heavy session so far. You can see these are trading in the red. Majors trading south of 2 with the dow down yesterday in trading. 80 trading in correction territory. This is the picture for europe the stoxx 600, almost every single stock and ftse 100 is down the selloff is escalating from an hour ago. The sell off down 2. 1 the airlines are under pressure today. On the basic resources germany is down. Lufthansa is at the bottom today as well. So that is having an impact on that particular index. Cac is down 2 banking weakness sheer as well as media ftse mib in italy is down 3 all of these indices are on the week trading in negative territory. Now they are firmly in the red lets talk about what is happening with the yields. We are seeing huge moves now trading over 80 basis points just in the last 12 hours. So ahuge flight to quality that is really gripping the economy. The 10year having a strong session today. Trading at negative basis points 10year guild, 26 basis points 75 basis points, so this is completely inverted now trading at historically low levels theyll be cutting rates and yet the money keeps pouring in you would expect there to be a bid for the fixed income here. Not the case perhaps the light of some of the cases we have been seeing. Still hanging in it was only two days ago that the italian was trading at the same as the u. S. Credit. Now we are seeing prices get in as well. The 10year note trading at below 80 basis points. You can see the dollar is trading on the back foot wouldnt call that a safe haven but that has been trading weak as for the actual safe haven, gold is making a come back shy now and up almost 7 on the week this is the best Weekly Performance since 2016 for gold. We are seeing the yen just shy of 106, half a percentage point firmer it was trading at 108 earlier in the week, so money has been pouring in as well let me get a check on futures and how markets are fairing. It looks like another heavy session. The dow pointing to a negative start. S p seen opening about 50 points lower. Bare in mind, we have data to watch out for later today but in light of the fear gripping markets. Perhaps this time around, it is a little less impactful. Sudden jump of coronavirus cases. That has jumped significantly more than the 138 people diagnosed a day earlier. Insisting the Global Pandemic after the outbreak continues to worsen wuhan confirmed 126 new cases but hubei has reported no new cases over 24hour period for the first time in the United States, the number deaths has risen to 12 u. S. Vice president mike pence has warned that country does not have enough testing kits President Trump tries to calm and says authorities are taking appropriate actions. Right now, it is a lot but it is 11 people versus thousands of people that have died all over the world. We have 11 we have 149 cases as of this moment this morning was 129 right now, it is about 149 cases. There are 100,000 cases all over the world. We are giving tremendous marks, a decision i made, to close the border so that people from china, they stopped coming in very early the coronaVirus Outbreak has killed more than 100 people in iran saying today, that the strict u. S. Sanctions are making it even more difficult for the country to cope. I believe that we are announcing or declaring a situation and some countries doesnt say anything about their situation. Does the International Community trust the data out of iran we havent received any important assistance from any company, especially United States is lying. United states doesnt allow we to buy drug, food for iranian company, iranian people. When he says, the secretary of state iran we have no sanction against food and drug, it is not correct. With which money we are going to buy food and drug when all our exports is under sanction, food, oil and oil production, petro chemicals, iron, copper. All are under the sanction with which money we can buy food and drug for iranian people. The spread of the virus in europe has sparked efforts to contain the outbreak italy has the most cases on the continent and has curbed gathers. France has spurred on the sale of face masks. The uk has its first death as total cases has risen to 100 bringing downing street closer to a plan with a recall of retired workers and a call to work from home the royal bank of scotland told sky news that the bank is working across its clients base to stem the head winds it is a lot of uncertainty and disruption that can happen around supply chain and businesses affecting confidence. Looking to the medium to longterm impact we are being very proactive. We have reached out to over 5,000 businesses with our management teams, there on the ground making sure liquidity is available and making sure they are working closely. Also our customers to make sure we are aware we are keeping a very close eye on it and being very proactive bringing in our chief economist. Which countries are you seeing to be the most heavily impacted in terms of their economy. The main source which means exports to italy, germany, france and the uk will feel the pain of course on the other side, domestic demand is starting to weaken across europe as well. The main transmission channel might be transportation and tourism. That is the most activity in spain, portugal, france, italy, austria and greece we now expect or anticipate gdp at 5 this year, up 1 previously italy is expected to experience recession this year. The German Economy is expected to stag nate so thats this year how far out are you having to change your models based on this outbreak well, so we will have definitely a contraction in activity over the months of march and april. Then we might see some ushaped recovery starting. But this is a fragile assumption now both on the logical and financial fronts that are very fluid. We see some rebound starting in midspring and probably the outlook for gdp growth 2021 will be higher than it was before we forecast 1. 5 growth for the eurozone next year versus 1. 2 before but probably even with this, the level of Economic Activity and the end of next year will be slightly lower than previously expected. You have eurozone growing and you mention that italy will be your projection. What assumption are you working on when it comes to coronavirus. If you assume the chinese template which effectively stop the economy and applied those measures to the eurozone, would you necessarily have to down grade even further than what they are right now it depends, right now, we have revised scenario down on the assumption that the chinese activity will resume next month. For now, we have encouraging figures from china not from all the chinese economy. All production in the large state owned enterprise is improving but that is probably not the case completely for small enterprise in china. As i said, we are looking at how the virus spread across the world and europe you have two of the biggest two trading partner of the european union, both china and the u. S. Being hit with the virus should the situation worsen in the u. S. , we might have to revise the scenario further down for now, it is speculation and we are looking day by day at the developments very clear. The chief economist. Coming up, the u. S. Jobs hot Streak Continues now if the threats increase, how will the economy there fare in the future well discuss that after this break. But now quickbooks helps me get paid, manage cash flow, and run payroll. And now im back on top. With koala kai. vo save over 40 hours a month with intuit quickbooks. Hey, our workers comp insurance is expiring. Should i just renew it . Yeah, sure. Hey there, Small Business owner. Pie insurance here with some sweet advice to stop you from overpaying on workers comp. Try pie instead and save up to 30 . Thirty percent . Really . Sure get a quote in 3 minutes at easyaspie. Com. That is easy. So, need another reminder . No, im good. Reminder for what . Oh. Ho ho, yeah need workers comp insurance . Get a quote in 3 minutes at easyaspie. Com. Welcome back to the show jamie dimon is recovering after having heart surgery he experienced a tear in his main artery but it was detected and dealt with quickly he is reportedly awake and alert and recovering well. In u. S. Politics, Elizabeth Warren has ended her campaign. Former Vice President joe biden and vermont senator Bernie Sanders will now go head to head warren has not yet backed either gundlach points out that the outbreak could tip the u. S. Into recession. One of the most predig tiff aspects for recession is when youget unemployment range. If they go above the fiveyear moving average, you are done you can almost put a fork in the economy. You have to watch. If this slow down of Small Business of travel and leisure and the like will lead to big problems Consumer Confidence has been resilient at historically high levels u. S. Government will release nonfarm jobs report. Unemployment rate is forecasted at 3. 5 as average rate is seen rising 0. 3 on a monthly basis joined now by our guest. Isnt this a point that wont show some of the things investors are focused on now i think that is right people eagerly anticipate the nonfarm payrolls the jobs report is backward looking and wont be much help to investors so each day bringing fresh news of the conference being handled, the impact on a jobs market in a country where one in nine workers is working in hospitality, those numbers may be huge. We may not see those results for a while. Remember, it is always backward looking. Job numbers are always backward looking. As investors we need to look forward and not just over the next few days and weeks and months that are likely to be dominated by the news of covid19 assets will go well past the point. It is all about the timing. Do you think well stabilize at those levels from a covid perspective, im not an epidemiologist. We are seeing an incredible change in behavior of consumers and in companies and we are seeing investors shorten the time horizon we dont know where that will lead in the short term as investors, we have to think about the long term. As we look at the numbers and as we look at what is happening in the markets, we pick up the opportunities rather than what will happen in the next few weeks . Is. Are you looking at the portfolio here we are defensively positioned going into this because to us, asset prices look inflated and had too much good news priced in this is a great opportunity. Clearly, well see markets perform from here. Things are cheaper than they were looking at the specific sector here. Maybe airlines or hotel groups you are thinking this will go too far. Will it happen potentially pulling back, we look for volumes. Longterm valuations the questions we have to ask is where they have holdings with past risks so highly leveraged. Businesses may not get to the future and so, youve got to be aware of that path risk that comes with highly leveraged businesses generally, if you are buying good balance sheets, it is a question of price. Thank you for coming on the show today a quick look at markets given the roller coaster week weve had with the dow up and down today, it looks like it will be a negative picture as well it looks like the dow also opening lower. A quick look at the u. S. Yield curve. Well be talking the emense rally there. A good 15 basis points some record moves in the u. S. Here as for european markets, the picture is pretty negative as well the cac is leading here at 3. 3. All eyes on that opec meeting today and whether or not those cuts could get improved. So far, that hasnt been that positive can you see those trading down north of 2 in todays trading a quick housekeeping note. We want to tell you due to daylight savings, Worldwide Exchange will be coming to you at this time the next few weeks. I will be off for a few weeks. And willem will be off for a little longer. Thank you for watching awesome internet. Its more than just fast. It keeps all your devices running smoothly. With builtin security that protects your kids. No matter what theyre up to. It protects your info. And gives you 24 7 peace of mind. That if its connected, its protected. Even that that petcamera thingy. [ whines ] can your internet do that . Xfinity xfi can because its. Simple, easy, awesome. [ barking ] breaking news, Global Markets in turmoil investors bracing for the worst as the number of total coronavirus numbers near the 1,000 u. S. Mark. I think we are pretty near the low. A health scare for one of