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Theres something that suggests the shares could go even higher when the Company Reports earnings next week well break it down. And heres what shares of roku are doing beep beep if you missed the move, well tell you how to get long for less the action begins right now. Lets get right to it, were letti heading into another busy week the big moves could come from the big box names, the Options Market reporting a 6 move for target mike is taking a look at walmart, an alltime high today. Number one, it hit an alltime high. Number two, the thing is trading 20 times earnings. This is really the haves and have notes in retail, isnt it the final thing is what you just talked about, the relatively high implied move, this thing implying a move of just under 4 , normally a good deal lower than, 2 , 4 is what we could normally expect. People do feel like there could be a little more of a move i dont think its going to be a huge surprise, most likely well look to try to sell some of that near dated premium i think the best way we can do this is looking at a calendar spread i was looking at the november january 92 1 2 spread, you can sell those novembers at 110 against it, youre going to spend just 1. 40 to do that trade. This is going to obviously make some money if the stock does drift higher to the striking long or even a little bit through it otherwise that shorter dated call will roll off and youll own that other call for a relatively low price thats a nice way to maintain a long position in name thats had really quite a run it has quite a run, really in the last month or so if you think about it, it was consolidating pretty well, outperforming the rest of retail, especially most of the big box guys when you have a stock trading at an alltime high, after such a sharp rally in such a short period of time, it makes sense to define your risks i like the idea of a call spread here if youre wrong, youre risking a little more than 1 of the stock price, especially at a time where a lot of retail acted very poorly. Youre choosing one that actually is a leader, x amazon even ones that have done okay lately, target obviously bad on the year but a little bit better lately, trades at a big discount to where walmart is. Theyre getting a lot of credit basically for trying to go into the online space, despite the fact that the company has a brick and mortar presence. We tried to remove you forcibly from the set. Its your loss or my gain or Something Like that. Can we talk about walmart . It traded up to levels that it failed at. The end of 2014, beginning of 2015 if you recall, because i do, you saw a pretty precipitous drop throughout the year. Not to suggest were on the precipice of that. Look what happened then. Why do i mention it . Because walmart does trade at a premium, walmarts at a huge move over the last six weeks and target trades at a discount. I would submit, and we said this on july 13th when you were sitting in the middle at 6 32 in the morning, you came out and announced to the upside. I said at 52 bucks theres something going on here, i think the stock goes higher. Stay with target, take money off the table on walmart ive got a question about letting it go through january. Do we get any indication from walmart about holiday sales that could be another opportunity for the stock to move . Are we going to get an example from walmart specifically or from retail generally . Yes, you definitely get clues on whats going on in retail before the january Expiration Date of this option. Well see retail Sales Numbers a couple of times between now and then obviously well get boots on the ground analysis as well. Just one thing on the actual trade structure. Hes selling that near dated premium, a lot of times the way i think of it, if this stock were to move up or stay around here, then he ends up financing, owning that jan call which may be a great time to run it especially after that big run if its going to consolidate. Theres two things you could do after this november separati expiration rolls off you could sell a higher strike january call against it and if it trades slightly lower you can sell the decembers to finance that trade through january since youre here, guy, youre the straddle between options action and fast money. I think this is like my seventh or eighth time on this show so in my world im lying a regular. Whos counting . I am. Anyway. Of these big box retailers which one would you likes most interearnings target. Ctg. They finally got their act together and on valuation target makes sense. We talked about jwn on fast money that airs 5 00 to 5 30 on friday dan, stop making faces at me youve got about a 5 pop. I think theres more room to the upside do you like target too . I do, its trading 13 1 2 times earnings, your room for error in that name is obviously a lot better they do occupy a similar space i think the issue, walmart is getting a lot of credit for doing things, although i dont know that thats translating in terms of magnitude its a big shift, they have to do a lot of things right i do think target is compelling at the discount. Lets move on to General Electric, the stock getting a boost ahead of its investor day on monday. Despite the rally, shares are still down 35 this year, shedding 99 billion in market cap. Thats put the state of the stocks dividend into question will they announce a cut Morgan Brennan is in the newsroom morgan reporter melissa, thats the biggest question on wall street. Thats the one they want answered will ge cut the dividend John Flannery himself called the cash flow, quote, horrible after last months earnings, the expectation is increasingly that it will. To put that potential scenario in perspective, the last time ge cut was in 2009 during the recession. The only other time since 1899, this would be a big deal flannery is looking to cut 3 billion in costs through 2018. Will that target get more aggressive as more layoffs seem to be coming according to reuters, layoffs in ge digital today what would comprise flannerys pledge of 20 billion in divestiture . Transportation health care . Lighting baker hughes these are some of the companies that have been tossed around in speculation. Lastly, in light of all of this, whats the new Profit Guidance ge still technically has a 2 per share target for 2018. Its outdated. Analysts have disregarded that for months now the current consensus on the street, 1. 14 per share for 2018 so there is a lot on top from flannery as well as new cfo jamie mill and her the ceos of aviation and power all of this will start at 9 00 a. M. On eastern on monday. If you take a look at shares of ge, they did close this week higher, they rallied today theyre still down about 20 since flannery announced this event back in late july. That was right before he took the helm as ceo, melissa morgan, thank you Morgan Brennan in the newsroom dan is making a call on ge into the event, why dont you head over to the plasma, please i will. Morgan brennan did a nice job describing what has been going on with ge you okay, guy im all right massively underperformed, theres obviously been management changes, obviously been a lot of uncertainty about what that earnings power is going to be. What this company is, this big conglomerate, how do you value all these different pieces of it i think november 13th, thats monday you have this event. John flannery seems to be the right guy to kind of reright this ship. It could be messy in the near term thats why it just sense to be contrarian, using options to find your risk heres a fiveyear chart of ge, pretty much a disaster this was the flash crash back in august 2015. Look where the stock seemed to have at least stopped for now. Its consolidated a little bit over the last week here as investors start to kind of think about what could come out at this meeting next week i just want to kind of Flash Forward to the oneyear chart, okay this is that 35 drop that weve kind of described. This is a year when the s p is up 15 this what i want to focus on, all the earnings coming out in q3, the stock was 24, it went right down to 20 its consolidated a little bit to me, i think it makes sense to target, looking at out a couple of months, but target some sort of bottom in this stock and getting back to the 24 level where it broke down. This is implied volatility the price of options its been moving higher as the stock is moving lower theres a lot of uncertainty here heres the thing buying premium, long premium, buying calls is an expensive way to do it i think you want to sell something against it today when the stock was trading at 2050, look out to january expiration i wanted to buy an is vertical call spread. I want to define my risk to the premium im spending today when the stock awas 2050, you could buy the january 2024 call spread paying 1. 10 and buy one of the january calls for 1. 25, im semming one of the january 24 calls at 15 cents my match risk is 1. 10 i can make up to 290 at 24. Thats a pretty good level to target until the near term one other reason why im looking at the january expiration is, again, its going to be a little messy between now and the end of the year as far as what investors get comfortable about with this company, the future direction of it. Its also down 35 of the year, the worst performing stock in the dow, maybe we see some new year action. To me, i like the risk reward of this trade its already 50 cents in the money. I basically have the potential to make close to three times what im risking all right mike, first, do you like dans trade in light of what he believes about ge, that the stock is near bottom and do you believe that the stock is near bottom first of all, i definitely think the new Management Team and the changes theyre making are on the right track this is one of those situations, though, this company has to make a lot of changes these problems are not going to be easy to fix its not going to be quick to fix them some of the businesses theyre talking about selling and spinning off, the locomotive business, is just one example. Its not that easy so if you are inclined to make a contrarian bet, this is definitely the way youre going to want to do it youre rifkdz less than 5 of the stock price right here it could easily move that much we were talking about the high debt level the company has, shy of 140 billion in debt. The higher the debt level is, the more volatile the equity level becomes. Options premiums havent come down quite enough to go with that this is the way to play it guy game on on monday monday is General Electric investor meeting were going to learn a lot more, i think. Weve seen in the last couple of months, Company Reports earnings, two weeks later they speak in a meeting and Say Something totally out of the blue we can rattle off the companies, maybe celgene being one. But i digress. Youre going to know a lot more this time on monday. I hear what dan is saying. But you have to ask the following question what is the right multiple for General Electric, a company with basically no earnings growth, as compared to a honeywell thats going to grow from 11 to 13 should they be trading at the same multiple . Ive said no for quite some time at a certain point, youre going to find equilibrium in ge, i just dont think its 20 bucks dan is giving himself time, which makes a lot of sense in the here and now, theres going to be some murky waters. Just real quickly, on the event, you know, youre either going to get a capitulation, everything sounds nasty and youll see a stock in the high teens, or the thing will continue to solidify and youll like these sorts of trade structures playing for a move back to the 20s. Check out our website, while there you can sign up for a newsletter, what guy reads every night before going to bed. Damn straight heres whats next. Roku shares are running wild if you missed the move, well show you how to get long for less plus calling all options action fans reach into your pocket, grab your phone, and tweet us your question optionsaction. If its nice, well answer it on air when options action returns. Logical you start trading. You start trading. Yeah, 5 years already. 5 years, hmm. You ever call your broker for help . Once, when volatility spiked. And . By the time they got me an answer, it was too late. Td ameritrades elite service team can handle your toughest questions right away with volatility, its all about your risk distribution. Good to know. Thanks, mike. We got your back kate. Does he do that all the time . Oh yeah, sometimes he pops out of the couch. Help from real traders. Only with td ameritrade. Well, itsonce again. Eason yeah. Lot of Tech Companies are reporting today. And, hows it looking . I dont know. Theres so many opinions out there, its hard to make sense of it all. Well, victor, do you have something for him . Check this out. Td ameritrade aggregates thousands of earnings estimates into a single data point. That way you can keep your eyes on the big picture. Huh. Feel better . Much better. Yeah, me too. Wow, you really did a number on this thing. Sorry about that. Thats alright. I got a box of em. Thousands of opinions. One estimate. The earnings tool from td ameritrade. Welcome back to options action. Shares of roku skyrocketing this week after blowout earnings. The stock is up nearly 150 since its public debut in september, making it one of the best performing tech ipos of the year if you want to get in on this rally, how can you do it for less mike is at the plasma with the call for action. To buy a stock after its had a sharp rise, were going to take a look at how we can do that selling the put, the stock has risen sharply. We would like to buy it at a price lower than that. Because the stock is moving around so sharply because its a recent ipo, the options are extremely expensive. We want to take advantage of that were try to avoid the next earnings, because we probably are going to see another big sharp move we can take a look at how big this move was. We may get a move as large as this one when we look at the next one well look out to january. When i was looking at this today, you can sell the january 35 put for 6. It closes with a 7 bid you can sell that for 7 at this point. What does that mean . You could be forced to buy the stock at 35 but net of the 7 you collect, your Purchase Price will be just 28, which happens to correspond with the not updated analyst target prices for the stock. This is a way that you can try to get in at slightly lower level than where its currently trading. What do you think of mikes trade . Then do i get to comment on roku yes okay. The trade makes total sense. Weve look at these situations over the years when we have these small floats, new issues, high short interest, then you have an opportunity to sell a put to effectively get involved, at much lower levels worst Case Scenario between now and january is this stock goes way through the difference between the strike and the premium at which you sold, then you are losing money but i dont think thats likely to happen. The next opportunity for that to happen would be some sort of competitive announcement thats where i want to talk about roku or some type of earnings miss which will probably happen after the january expiration this is a good way to get the premium over the next couple of months substantiation the worst thi the worst thing that could happen to you, it closed today under 34. One of the things the company said, i happen to agree well all be streaming, they do have a huge secular tailwind. The valuations, we cant talk about valuation in a company like this. When the fitbit and gopro came public, the ceos told us that everyones going to be using health bands and everybody is going to have a gopro it seems kind of similar it does seem similar. Where are you gopros and fitbits right now . In my drawer, which is hard to say 6. 7 million, i think there were 11. 3 million or so last year at the same time. Thats pretty Significant Growth so i get it, theyre doing something right. This is the deep end of the pool trade, folks all the people who watch o. A. Understand to mikes point, all with anywhere from 22 to 28 price targets, theyre all going to have to rachet it up so the level that youre going to wind up being long the stock, worst case, is probably do you no. [ simultaneous speaking i will bet you that six months from now you will be subscribing. Still ahead, shares of General Motors have been in reverse, falling 9 since its high weeks ago thats good news for dan well explain why. E t us a tweet, if its nice, onofhe traders will answer it later in the show much more options action after this i think its terrific. Your kids go to college and you start trading. Yeah, 5 years already. 5 years, hmm. You ever call your broker for help . Once, when volatility spiked. And . By the time they got me an answer, it was too late. Td ameritrades elite service team can handle your toughest questions right away with volatility, its all about your risk distribution. Good to know. Thanks, mike. We got your back kate. Does he do that all the time . Oh yeah, sometimes he pops out of the couch. Help from real traders. Only with td ameritrade. Well, itsonce again. Eason yeah. Lot of Tech Companies are reporting today. And, hows it looking . I dont know. Theres so many opinions out there, its hard to make sense of it all. Well, victor, do you have something for him . Check this out. Td ameritrade aggregates thousands of earnings estimates into a single data point. That way you can keep your eyes on the big picture. Huh. Feel better . Much better. Yeah, me too. Wow, you really did a number on this thing. Sorry about that. Thats alright. I got a box of em. Thousands of opinions. One estimate. The earnings tool from td ameritrade. Welcome back to options action. Time to take a look at our open trades mike made a bearish bet on snap on earnings. This is not a good looking picture, one of the fundamental reasons is theyre competing with facebook. Facebook was one of the names that actually did well as the earnings progressed because the company was doing well i think theyll have a much harder time. What im looking to do is sell those very expensed november 10 weekly 14 puts, collect about 65 cents for those, then use those proceeds to help finance the purchase of the same strike, the january 14th puts were 1. 10 the stock fell more than 16 this week. Mike got the direction right on the trade, wrong structure, though so we paid 45 cents today it closed, the short went off, the trade was made 75 cents over 45, 30 cent profit, not that big the magnitude was even bigger than the bearish move i had anticipated. You can roll that position, though, out to a basically the same strike, a little longer dated. Gm, last month dan said it was time to pump the brakes on the stock. To me i think its gone a little too far, too fast here. When you think about it from an earnings standpoint, earnings are expected to climb next year, year over year this is a very cyclical story. Theres obviously some huge secular headwinds. When the stock was trading 4480 today, you could buy the november 4440 put spread paying 80 cents for that. The stock actually rallied to a new high but then fell what do you do now, dan . You have one week expiration, the trade is up 50 in premium terms. At one point it was double this week thats when i probably would have looked to have taken it off because the risk reward isnt so hot there, down to the short 40 strikes. You probably take profits early next week in this one and move on what happened to gm i think this is the stock that went from 35 to 45 in basically a month. In trader parlance theres something called a back and fill why are you shaking your head . Get him on camera doing that,s mean 50 retracement of that move is 40 bucks i think gm will thats what i was going for, thank you. Thank you coming up, your tweets i think its terrific. Your kids go to college and you start trading. Yeah, 5 years already. 5 years, hmm. You ever call your broker for help . Once, when volatility spiked. And . By the time they got me an answer, it was too late. Td ameritrades elite service team can handle your toughest questions right away with volatility, its all about your risk distribution. Good to know. Thanks, mike. We got your back kate. Does he do that all the time . Oh yeah, sometimes he pops out of the couch. Help from real traders. Only with td ameritrade. Well, itsonce again. Eason yeah. Lot of Tech Companies are reporting today. And, hows it looking . I dont know. Theres so many opinions out there, its hard to make sense of it all. Well, victor, do you have something for him . Check this out. Td ameritrade aggregates thousands of earnings estimates into a single data point. That way you can keep your eyes on the big picture. Huh. Feel better . Much better. Yeah, me too. Wow, you really did a number on this thing. Sorry about that. Thats alright. I got a box of em. Thousands of opinions. One estimate. The earnings tool from td ameritrade. Welcome back to options action. Time to take your tweets ian asks, what is the best way to play the rumored acquisition of mattel by hasbro, mike . The most classic trade in options for this is the buy right. You buy the stock, sell the calls at the strike where you think that acquisition is going to take place. Thats the way the guys play it. Time for the final call mike rather than buying roku the stock, sell that january 35 put for 7 bucks. So ge, obviously its a little dicey here, you could have the stock back towards 18 if the news isnt fantastic. You have some time to play it out. I like long january calls. A joy for me to be here can i give you a little History Lesson on the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month in 1918, major hostilities of world war i ended. What did that create anybody . Veterans day thats tomorrow. So you know what thank a vet tomorrow, fos. Lk looks lik my mission is simple to make you money. Im here to level the Playing Field for all investors. Theres always a bull market somewhere and i promise to help you find it. Mad money starts now hey im cramer. Welcome to mad money. Welcome to cram america. Orr pant want to make friends im want to make you money call me at 1700 cnbc or tweet me jim drarm. We too often invest for the day

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