Consumer, which continues to be driving the rally. I think you heard this from ceos last week. Im curious to see if we get more earnings this week. Ise you said, even if there a little bit of week this, the fed will bail things out. Atoline we are looking also what is happening in terms of thirdquarter revenue. 3. 9 5 billion. O 3. 84 billion, in the middle of that range. We are starting to digest this as a bellwether to have the chip industry is performing. Scarlet up 3. 3 . Optimism. , upng the day up about 0. 8 1. 6 today. You wonder what this means for the rest of the chip sector. You heard this from ams overnight, they raised their guidance and said asian demand was not being is impacted as thought. One of the biggest suppliers are huawei, apple, samsung. They were noted a bit of a recovery in the chipmaking second. Nearterm concerns. Fiveyear longerterm recovery for the chip sector. Caroline shares holding a after hours, too. What are you watching . Apple, im looking at which reached its high since early may, saying it will purchase. Intel rose the highest since late april, divesting of a noncore business. It would be around 1 billion, so it wont have that much of an impact on financials. Bernstein says that apple is the most natural buyer. Intel may haved been higher today, but one area of the market that was really struggling with the homebuilders. The homebuilding index, every one of its 16 members today was in the red. If you look at this chart, you can now see that the index has fallen just about to its 100 day moving average. What is going on here . For one, earnings were reported this morning and did beat the top and bottom line but executives warned that Profit Margins could continue to come under pressure because of price discounts and tariffs. You had existing home sales data out this morning, which did missed estimates. We will continue to hear about the health of the Housing Market but for now, those who watch charts will be paying attention to the 100 day moving average. Value is struggling on a longterm basis. We are looking at the ratio on value stocks versus growth stocks. Bubble, into the tech the height of it, we see the value underperformed growth stocks. Then, coming out of the crash, we see value outperforms growth. Next financial crisis question, calling into into whether we could be shifting into a big risk off move at some point. Caroline weve got some more breaking. Visa, the eighth most valuable stock on the s p 500, beating estimates beating expectations. Dollars is8 billion where we see it. First quarter earningspershare also beating expectations. A company that is on the rally when you look at it after hours. Ges have reports on finance unit. 4 billion unit of ge. We know that ge has been under so much pressure recently with their turnaround, trying to selloff unprofitable assets and focus on three new areas of growth. Texas instruments of course reporting earnings right at the close. The stock is higher in after hours trading. The thirdquarter earningspershare midpoint beats the consensus estimate. You are seeing Texas Instruments now up by about 6 . And back in Brian Jacobson lou,. Luke kawa. A company like Texas Instruments, beating the consensus estimate for its forecast, what does it say about the amount of risk you are willing to take . It depends where you look. There are a lot of valuation diversion. Within those indexes, we have seen an increase in the dispersion of opportunities. It also depends what measure of valuation you like to look at. Sometimes it might be more relevant to look at what our expectations for the longterm Earnings Growth of these companies. Across the board, where we are seeing more of the opportunities is really a little bit more on the value side relative to the growth. More importantly is about that country allocation. Right now, we are overweighting emerging markets relative to the u. S. Onis not because we are sour how the u. S. Looks. Investors looking on three fiveyear horizons, we would rather place it there. It is really a question of where you want to allocate the risk budget from a marginal perspective, not necessarily making big shifts to your average allocations. For the closing bell and for me. Whatd you miss . Is up next where we will be looking more into texas germans Texas Instruments results. sroline we have snap earnings out. Better than expected. Daily active users, much more than had been expected. Second quarter active users 205 to 207 million for the Third Quarter outlook. The estimate had been 193 overall. Building on membership. Also seeing revenue come in at 388 million, again beating estimates. Just six cents versus . 10. We are starting to see the forecast look strong. Taylor we are also taking a look at shares of chipotle. Earningspershare coming in much higher than expected. Adjusting adjusted earningspershare, 399. Second Quarter Sales up about 10 , also beating estimates come up about 8. 4 at least. For now, you can see shares rising and we will get more on all of this. I want to turn back to another company, Texas Instruments. One of the biggest bellwethers for semiconductors was out with results. Joining me from San Francisco. Thank you for joining me. It was very interesting, second quarter, we had some cautious guidance and revenue outlook. Did that seem to all turnaround this quarter. Looking relatively strong in your opinion . Mitch the forecast came in about in line with our expectations. I think the big debate, if this is the bottom of the revenue decline. If they are able to keep it up and it is pretty positive for the stock, that will be the debate. What i am looking for is where we are in terms of the cycle. Flow isrange and cash that it will show you investors are willing to play willing to pay and they will ignore the revenue line. I think even though the stock is up after hours, you have to Pay Attention to what they say with the semiconductor cycle. Caroline what about the involvement in the u. S. China trade war. How much are you expecting that to be a factor . I think it is a pretty big deal. You have people on the huawei list, like 35 entities that could potentially shift to them if they clear waivers. Theoutside benefit of memory space. At the end of the day, i think it will be better for the memory players. Day,nk at the end of the you are looking at memory outperforming versus Something Like a ti. I wonder what are your takes where we are at within the chip cycle. Signals of a hint of a recovery underway. Otherwise, i have heard this is a 2019 story or a 2020 story. Mitch we think we are already through with the cycle. Q3, q4 is when we expected everything to bottom. After that, you are looking at dram. After that, supply demand constraint memory after that. The markets, automotive and industrial, exposures have not been good. You havent seen good auto or industrial numbers, so the question is, can they remain more profitable even though they are going through a down cycle . Caroline are you surprised by . He pop higher in the shares mitch it is pretty rare to have a company have revenue declines of 10 while the other thing goes up. It looks like it was pretty substantial so maybe the multiple is around the low 20s. Not a lot of upside in multiple. Xpansion you can see this is the bottom of the cycle and that is why we are little more moderate over the analog guys at this point. I wonder what you think Texas Instruments can do in the meantime. What would you see them do as they utilize this time wisely as we are in a bit of a slowdown in the chip business . What would you want to hear from them about how to use the time for effectively as you await a broader recovery in the chip cycle. Mitch i think they are doing what they ought to be doing, generating more profit instead of spending ahead. Essentially, if they can maintain or increase profitability through a down cycle, they can show that Free Cash Flow generation is a lot higher for the industry. I think they are doing everything they need to do. I just dont know why you pay 7. 5 times sales when the Software Company is trading five or six times sales with greater Revenue Growth. Caroline that question on how to evaluate Texas Instruments. Coming up, anothers not another stock rallying after hours. Snap reporting latest earnings. This is bloomberg. Middle ofin the earnings season. Some of the breakouts, the health breakout, the e. Coli breakout. It looks like chipotle has turned a corner. Up 10 , beating estimates. All the way down the income statement with adjusted earnings per share beating that as well. The most important thing is that fullyear restaurant sales, forecasting that out to be high single digit. Know some producers are listening to us who like a chipotle or two. Down 15 , missing the lower end of estimate. To 1. 31. En 1. 28 growth setting price up and it seems as though they have some significant headwinds. One in the firing line. You had mentioned trade. Comments from over at Texas Instruments highlighting the valuation. For now, the lumbers the numbers look right in line. Earningspershare, pretty big beat, which is why you are seeing an increase in that stock. Caroline these upbeat in its net revenue visa beat in its net revenue and values are higher. I want to get all the analysis with Bloomberg Intelligence analyst. Up 11 , the stock is up something phenomenal like 180 since december. If you look at the expectations versus what they delivered, 48 Revenue Growth against 47 . This is a very strong result for snap. On the User Engagement side, there are Innovative New filters, the face swapping filter that people love, improving the android app, those things showed up in the numbers. On the monetization side, they are making the tools easier for advertisers. The selfserve platform is Getting Better so it becomes easier for smaller businesses to scale. They are controlling the costs better as well. As far as Revenue Growth, there is room for growth here. There is room for growth and i wonder though what is the balance between User Engagement and if growth were to slow. See userso need to growth coming in as well . More of a Revenue Growth story. Pivoted towardly building content and all these filters. The engagement remains strong. They want to be sort of holding that engagement strong. The average revenue per user is about one third of that of twitter, 1 5 of that of facebook. If you can hold the engagement, steady user growth, while delivering Revenue Growth, they can manage the expectations. Caroline they recently signed a deal with shop if i, how you where youhopify, might be able tobuy on instagram. Every social network is going into this. Jen snaps advantages advantage is gen z, millennials. If they can show the differentiated way of buying things on the platform, then they can hold their own. Having said that, there are a couple of partnerships they have struck. Those partnerships will also help with secondhalf results. Not really a user growth story but they are delivering better than expected on user growth. I want to put the equation to the expense side of the balance sheet. You say cost has slowed more than expected. What is the pressure on these , the losses slowing and perhaps turning positive. What are the pressures to written to remain profitable . The pressure is to not run out of money. They have shown discipline in expense management. Going forward, you have to look at the gross margin number. Snap ipo, they had negative gross margins. That was not heard of. They quickly bounced back and made sure after scaling users and revenues, that number is coming in line with what Comparable Companies are doing. Burn,an manage their cash manage these losses so they dont run out of money and while doing that deliver better and better Revenue Growth hopefully give them the leverage to come out sooner than expected. Those are how to look at snaps bottom line. Thank you for that good analysis right after earnings. It is time now to look at what stories are trending across the bloomberg universe. Douglas hogg, the former pimco chief accused of using a teach his kids way to cheat into colleges. He made donations, not bribes. Said the payments to brett singer were just like large donations he made over the years to support education. Another victim of the trade war in china, napa wine. Chinas latest round of tariffs with the tax rate on an american bottle of wine and 93 . California whiners california viners rc their work undone are seeing their work undone by the trade dispute. A new study using u. S. Census data say Millennials Want to live in cities with high wages and overall high cost of living. The Top Destinations include portland, seattle, and denver. I was in portland just this weekend. You can follow all the stories on the terminal, bloomberg on blumberg. Com, and on twitter. Caroline taylor, you are so on track. A digital token crumbling after warrenreneur buffett fighting kidney stones is the issue. The question, was this the full truth . Where their Money Laundering allegations. He has put out a video from San Francisco, showing where he is. I really like that, sort of defending himself that he was in San Francisco as condo, not in china. Caroline the aim is to convince him. More next. We are heading over to london. This is bloomberg. Mark im mark crumpton. Fbi director Christopher Wray told senators today that china is trying to steal economic dominance. The director told the Senate Judiciary committee that there are more than a thousand investigations underway on intellectual property theft, almost all leading back to china. He noted that no country poses a more severe counterintelligence threat. And former Defense Industry level list industry lobbyist has been approved by the senate to be secretary of defense. Mattis quit in december and didnt respond to the president s announcement that he would withdraw troops from syria. Guatemalas high court blocked an asylum deal with the u. S. Thepresident spoke at turning points usa summit in washington. Pres. Trump that is a good thing for us. Tariffs,ther doing the a form of tax, or use our ban. Mark the socalled safe third agreement would have required migrants seeking asylum in the u. S. To instead apply for those protections in guatemala, even though the guatemalan government said it never agreed to such a deal. Forrest johnson spoke to Boris Johnson spoke to parliament after he was elected the new conservative party leader. He says he will not call an election. He will have three months to make good on his promise to lead the u. K. Out of the eu by october 31. Mr. Johnson today, at this Pivotal Moment in our history, we have to reconcile two sets of instincts between the deep desire for friendship and free trade and mutual support and security between britain and our european partners, and the simultaneous desire, equally deep and heartfelt, for democratic selfgovernance. Mark johnson won two thirds of the votes of about 160,000 Party Members across the u. K. Global news 24 hours a day on air and at tictoc on twitter ,powered by more than 2700 journalists and analysts in over 120 countries. Im mark crumpton. This is bloomberg. Taylor we are clearly in the middle of earnings season. Chipotle, my first takeaway, not only did secondQuarter Sales beat estimates, it is about the fullyear guidance. Oflooks like the ceos run better results continues. Caroline check out snap, up 12 again after hours. Second quarter daily active beat. 203 million, a big taylor Texas Instruments, key semiconductor chipmaker continuing to rise in line estimates. Starting to see bottoming out of this chip cycle. You are seeing the readthrough of other chipmakers like analog devices. Caroline visa getting a boost. Nonus consumers helping overall. They were down 1. 3 . Growth in overseas spending on visa cards bounced. Lets look across the pond, to the u. K. Incoming Prime MinisterBoris Johnson has 100 days of delivery on his promise of leading the u. K. Out of the european union. Johnson has ruled out a new general election. Likelyess the most outcome of all the potentialities is another election. That boris is unable to get it done and Parliament Works to stop him from going the no deal brexit because of the economic hit. There are lots of ways you get to another election, including boris calling himself. The likelihood that they get a deal by the end of october seems to be very slim. Caroline joining us for more insight, the director of the euro program for the center of strategic and International Studies in washington. Do you believe that the only real course is a general election . Boris johnson says do or die, we are leaving october 31. Yes, of course, a general election feels like it is going to be part of the discussion this fall. Both labor and conservative party are preparing for that eventuality. Boris johnson says he doesnt seek it. He wants this to happen after the u. K. Departs the european union. To be, i think it is a question of when a no confidence vote is held and a portion of the conservative party, would they vote against their own party to bring Boris Johnson down . Taylor you mentioned a noconfidence vote. Does that happen . If so, i wonder if that means more stalemate continues and what Boris Johnson can do that perhaps theresa may could not. Heather this is going to be the most interesting part, when Boris Johnson gets his new team and goes to brussels, they will face the same brick wall that theresa may faced. How does he manage that . He has based his entire premiership on doing what theresa may wasnt able to do, dare them to go over the brexit cliff edge. He will have another go at it. Then, again, what happens at home . Vote was noconfidence successful, there are still 14 days where they can see if they would find the vote to continue on. A measure of socalled peruvian parliament. Which would be a no vote. I think we will be wellversed in British Government procedures in the next 100 days. Caroline i am interested in what the eu side is like here, looking at Boris Johnson. They know he is willing to walk away. Newhinks he can pull a double teal rule. Will they not want a disorderly brexit not enough to give away something . Heather it was very interesting. Michel barniers tweet. You have to respect the withdrawal agreement, we will not negotiate that, but we are willing to retool the political declaration. I think they are showing willingness to go a little bit farther on the future trade relationship between the u. K. And eu, but that backstop is not negotiable. That is what Boris Johnson is going to run a do. Yes, he feels there is a little blackmailability here. The brexiteersof have underestimated is the European Unions resolve and unity. They are not willing to give one more opt out clause or exemption to the united kingdom. Although gatt 24 will be trending for the next 100 days, this would be devastating to u. K. Agriculture, devastating to the Northern Ireland economy. Before we loosely say they are willing to go over that edge comedy economic ramifications will be significant for the entire global economy. Taylor we forget that Boris Johnson faces some other key domestic issues outside of brexit. What is the most important domestic issue you to tackle first outside of brexit issue he needs to tackle first outside of brexit . Heather he will put down some markers tomorrow. The u. K. Deficit, a bit of a spending spree. The verycall, some of same quotes of the brexit referendum will be more spending for nhs. They are struggling with an increase in domestic crime. I think you will see Boris Johnson opening up spending caps. They were keeping it tight in case of the brexit reserve. He will want to spend that a little bit more, build some domestic support, then he will fully turn to brexit if they decide to leave on october 31 with no deal, they will need all the budget money because it will be an extreme situation at least in the early days of the withdrawal. Taylor heather conley, thank you so much. Caroline i want to check in on some afterhours movement. Facebook is firmly is currently falling after hours. This is after the apartment of justice is said to be opening a the department of justice is said to be opening a broad review of Tech Companies for antitrust. Clearly, the ongoing regulatory threat continues to build. We will keep tracking the story for you. This is bloomberg. Taylor we are in the middle of earnings season. Chipotle is one i am looking at. Just to recap the numbers, second Quarter Sales beating estimates. More importantly, full year restaurant sales growth still looking to rise high single digits. I want to bring Bloomberg Intelligence senior restaurant analyst, michael. He said, it is a good beat, good story, they just need to keep on doing what they are doing. Is that the right strategy . Obviously, it is working. It is working because it is a 10 samestore sales number. So it is working. What is boring is kind of nothing has changed since brian got in there. He has talked a lot about the marketing. They are paying dividends. Caroline what are they doing that they are not aware of . They are clearly getting big queues, getting people to come back. Michael we were talking offcamera, people on the coasts can talk about, i dont ever have to go to aaa again. America, where many chipotles are located, that is a quality food option. It is a place that you can eat healthy if you so choose. People are into with the sustainability and the fact that they are trying to do better for the planet and serve better food. Taylor i think what caught my eye, in new york, we think about the chipotle around the corner where you go into the store. They have a partnership with doordash, which to me seems different. Often we would think of aaa as somewhere that you of chipotle as somewhere you go in store. Michael it has been huge. Digital sales were up 99 yearoveryear on the quarter. Food travels really well. That is really important. If you have a good experience sh or whoever it a be, you will want to order it again. It definitely helps. Makealso have the second lines in the stores. Easiers for an experience, for people to go in and pick up the food themselves. It expedites the process. Easier experience, makes everyone happier, Customer Service better. Now, from chipotle to cannabis. For investors willing to work in the weed industry, the market is large. The market is set to grow by nine times by 2030. Lets bring in the morningstar director of retail, christopher. Bunch . The best of the py and cureleaf the best. For us, the u. S. Market is going to be the best Cannabis Market in the world. Canopy is a Canadian Producer but they have a standing agreement to acquire u. S. Based Acreage Holdings as soon as there is a change at the federal level. Exposure will get pure to the best market in the world. For our tv audience, this chart is showing that it was a pretty big rise in all of these stocks. When we look back on a normalized basis. I wonder if some of the optimism is the fact that maybe canada seems tapped out. If you look to the u. S. , it is not legal here on a federal level. What is the risk that may these companies dont get a federal legalization here in the u. S. Kristoffer ultimately, it is a risk for the u. S. Exposed companies. In canada, legalization has already happened. While legalization happened six months ago, distribution is just getting off the ground. This past april, we were at toronto, there were only one or two dispensaries open in the city. The distribution just hasnt read a level where we would be able to reach all of the customers that will be there in canada. For the u. S. , right now, even though there is a federal policyement, largely the of the federal government has been to step out of the way. As long as companies are meeting state laws comedy federal government has largely chosen nonenforcement. We think that will be recognized through a law where state governments will recognize laws more formally. Ofoline the sheer scale increase, extraordinary. How are the valuations not already reflected the opportunity . Kristoffer i think the market is discounting the fact that legalization may or may not occur. We are pretty confident that it will occur. I think, for canadian companies, the story is a little bit mixed. That is why we see some opportunities in Companies Like canopy or aurora. Other shares, we see those as roughly valued or a little overvalued. Taylor we can pull this back into fundamental analysis and just take a look at the balance sheet. For now, are you happy that they are growing, really spending to gain market share and expand, or do you need to start to see some of these companies turn profitable . Kristoffer these are all Growth Companies in a growth industry. That is the number one priority. Trying to judge these companies by profitability this early in the game, it is kind of way too early in my view. It fails to really capture the fact that this is really in the early stages of what is going to be a much bigger industry going forward. Taylor it is one that we will be watching. Inton. S kristoffer i want to stick with canada. For cannabis, the canada headstart might weathering. Legalization of this industry spreads across the country. Perfectly sort of to what our guest was saying about some of the discount being placed on the companies on the risk that legalization in the u. S. May or may not happen. What he was saying and what our story says, this is all becoming a u. S. Story. Caroline goldman sachs, j. P. Morgan, credit suisse, they are all coming on board to service these companies. A boutique thing run out of wall street. Just on tuesday, we had an unexpected committee looking at cannabis and the banking practices around canadas. Around cannabis. Taylor coming up, we will go over to china. A move on daimler. How the luxury carmakers chinese ownership is nearly 15 . This is bloomberg. Asia ahead. W to daimlers chinese partners with a 5 stake, which brings the chinese ownership to a cool 14. 7 . For more, lets bring in bloombergs shery ahn. Quietly it started happening as they announced last year they had quietly been announced quietly been in daimlerre than 9 already. These were transactions they didnt need to report to german regulators. Worthe talking about 9 , more which comes to 14. 7 . We saw shares search more than 5 at one point it the ceo saying, this step reinforces our successful partnership. Of course, some people, as you know, there could be some concerns over chinese influence. Taylor daimler as a company clearly liking the move but i wonder what this means for europe . Now theres more and more chinese influence in the automotive sector. Shery they are not taking it too well when it comes to daimler itself. Decca investments holds about 9 million shares in daimler and they were saying they dont want to see a chinese dragon on the hood of a daimler. They want to see the mercedesbenz star. This isnt sitting well with everyone but it is also because of the very tense trade environment. Already taking a hit as they make suvs in the u. S. And take it to china. Caroline what is in it for beijing automotive . Shery chinese auto market, technical expertise, credibility from the german name. Caroline fascinating. Always great to get your expertise. For more, domestic daybreak australia and daybreak asia. Tomorrow, secondquarter earnings after the bell. Taylor former special Counsel Robert Mueller will testify before the house judiciary and intelligence committees about his probe on interference in the 2016 election. Bloomberg technology is up next in the u. S. This is bloomberg. Emily im emily chang in San Francisco and this is bloomberg technology. Big tex under antitrust scrutiny big tech under antitrust scrutiny. Opening a broad antitrust review. Facebookazon, google, all in the crosshairs. Softbank looking to launch a second tech fund on top of