Shatyrs hello on the air program sasha is authorized to declare i am its host nadezhda sas i greet you and remind you, this is a program for those who want to better understand what is happening and understand how these processes , events, people will affect the life of everyone and the life of the country, and the main events of World Politics this week. Lets tell you right now. At the summit of the Economic Community of west africa, it was decided to activate the reserve forces to restore Constitutional Order in nigeria, where a military coup has recently taken place , the prospect of military intervention has become more real experts. They say that a military operation, if it starts, will be extremely it will not be possible to quickly achieve victory , the main military burden will fall on the shoulders of neighboring nigeria, and Financial Support for france the Nigerian Armed forces, according to experts, are ready to give a serious rebuff. In addition , the moths and burkina faso are supporting the new military government. At the end of 2022, the world bank included russia in the top five largest economies in the world in europe. The Russian Federation, in terms of gdp calculated taking into account purchasing power parity, became the leader, overtaking its own however, experts warn germany, the Main Financial competitor on the continent, against inflated expectations. The main guarantee of russian business and trade success was the successful market situation, which allowed last year to sharply increase Energy Exports at high prices. Now, russias Energy Exports are under enormous pressure from sanctions and logistical restrictions, which is unlikely to allow us to count on such a high place in the World Bank Rating for 23 years , us president joe biden. Signed a decree prohibiting Us Investment in socalled sensitive technologies in china would affect chinas development of semipros. Coffee and microelectronics Quantum Technologies and Artificial Intelligence from investors will also be required to report to the government on funding in other sectors of the prc, but you usually only touch on future, not existing investments. In beijing, they subjected the biden decree. Sharply criticized. Bidens executive order. Seriously deviates from the principles of a market economy and good faith competition that the United States has always promoted , the representative of the ministry of commerce of china said in a statement to the Sports Capital of the commonwealth of independent states in 2023, minsk hosted the second games of the cis countries in 20 sports in the spirit of the olympic truth, not only in minsk, but also in 10 cities of belarus, the Largest International competitions were met by the president belarus, Alexander Lukashenko announced the sanctions pressure of the west to which athletes are subjected, as well as the development of sports in belarus, sports have long become big politics, so they put pressure in all directions. We survived , the guys survived us, they perform in all sports and give good results. We should not Pay Attention to this, unless the human well. Hey, thats the head. If only you loaded yourself with these sanctions. Well, then you dont have to work. You can refer to the fact that we have difficult sanctions, uh, and so on. Well, what will make it easier for you, therefore, no sanctions. Not just but difficult. And when it was easier for us it was always difficult, because we are competitors, putin and i the day before yesterday we talked, including touched upon this topic, and i supported him and praised him for initiating the brix competition in the legendary story by Boris Vasilyev who will change their minds, and now this wisdom, as relevant as ever for our region, over which clouds are gathering more and more, and the war of nerves between belarus and its western neighbors and how preparation for a fight allows you to avoid it, and todays program will be discussed to help understand topic. Andrey bogadel will be for me. Deputy head of the faculty of the general staff of the armed forces of belarus, candidate of military sciences. Hello i am glad to welcome pavel feld already present in our studio. Deputy director of the institute for strategic studies of forecasts candidate of Political Sciences associate professor, russia hello, good afternoon. Thank you very much for talking with us today about sore and urgent problems that we can ignore. We cant traditionally start our discussion with millet blitz. Do you think you can achieve climax in tensions between nato and an allied state or still ahead Andrey Petrovich you know what was said correctly at the beginning of our program, who will change their minds . Because if we lose at the tactical level, then some units will die. That is, we will lose some minor epreferences that we have, if we are talking about the operational level, then the formation of the military units of the association is dying there. But if we say that we will lose strategically, then this will really jeopardize existence of our entire people and state. And this is certainly very, very important today. Look at the situation that is being created around, if we take, indeed, this global strategic level, then a fun time. We live today. Look how africa is on fire, what is happening today in asia and in asia, what, after all, our borders on the southern borders on the western borders. Everything literally stretched out , stretched like a string, and in these conditions we exist. If you want peace, prepare for war. Now the end is relevant, of course, i have no doubt about it. We need to see who is striving for what. Today, the strange collective west, they are really preparing for a serious confrontation, it is no coincidence that this counteroffensive, which everyone is trying to talk about today. He will already fail, everyone was waiting for this , no one thought that there might be some really guaranteed results, but the question is how to continue all this. And how to stop this evil russia in quotation marks this question before west is very, very sharp. Thank you very much Pavel Yakovlevich for your answer to the brit question. Well, about the military, politicians, political analysts. Such work. We must consider any potential threats. How realistic, however, despite the wests aggressive plans that it has historically always had against russia , the russian empire of the soviet union. Despite the fact that they live by the principle, prepare for war. We are nonetheless. We can be relatively calm, if only for the reason that in minsk in moscow there are National Leaders supported by their peoples by society in the broad sense of the word, our western partners in quotation marks are well aware that as long as two such people are at the head of russia and belarus, nothing shines for them, but the west is the birthplace of Strategic Planning. Their plans are extrapolated into the future for 101520 years. Therefore, alas, yes, in peacetime, we will have to live by the principle that if tomorrow there is a war with all the ensuing consequences, yakovlevich, one of our experts, once said you write to nato with shavume. Here, what do you think today, and such countries as poland, or the baltic countries were perceived as puppets in the hands of the collective west of the United States of America Today we are seeing a situation where they are key instigators. Do you think this is still their personal initiative , such an encouragement, or is this the situation when the collective west makes such decisions. I think that the politics of the collective west is, of course, an abstraction, if we look in more detail on those interests that are pursued by individual European Countries or the United States, we will see that they often do not coincide. Or even contradict each other. Lets say. The same germany is basically interested. The problem is to maintain the achieved level of comfort for its citizens and not to interfere with any peoples problem. Italy solves migration problems. Uh, spain in general is a resort sunny country, which is in general, uh, page two questions. No, well, here, poland of the baltic countries is a special, history, more than the baltic countries. Always feel a little strangers. In this large, not very closeknit family. E, which is called the collective west, so they always need to justify their significance and belonging to these big european or western, but the center of power with something. In addition, after all, the Baltic States and poland lag economically on average behind the collective west, therefore, the only thing. In what capacity can they sell themselves to brussels by their senior curator of america. Its like an outpost against russia as soon as they start yelling loudly, a threat from the east. Scary the lords who move towards them immediately receive funding from the european linatian treasury. Yes, i completely agree with you, Andrey Petrovich well, can a nation really throw itself into this cauldron of war with such ease, because the stakes today are so high red lines, about which we recently spoke about some possible hope for a peaceful existence. Today, probably, they have dissolved, and it is unlikely that we will return to our former life. Well, first of all, it should be noted that it can no longer be considered exclusively, as soon as an outpost against russia is the same outpost so that countries such as germany really also take their definite place, and some political role is assigned to them. And its far from a priority. And if you look at what is happening today in europe, then by and large at the first stage, when we are talking about this conflict in ukraine, which has matured, this deprivation of not only the political independence of germany, but also economic independence, which does not allow further development of this federal republic is undermining the northern streams is an interruption of economic ties between poland and the Baltic States, too, in this situation, a role is assigned to isolate from russia, god forbid , some kind of union, at least an economic one, in the slightest degree, can be formed. Here, the second thing that we are now seeing is what is happening in africa. Yes, this is the next one here, which we are talking about, which got a job in the European Union this is france, too. I think she is ready for a far from unenviable role, so the poles, who today occupy a position between germany and russia they have a far, unfavorable geostrategic position, and on the one hand they are afraid of the germans, therefore they have bases. American lithuanians are afraid of the poles why because they have these lands in the vilna region, which, believe me, the poles have not forgotten about it, or the sheep remember about it, and therefore the germans are there in this way. You look how everything was divided, that is, it was right, it was noted that the collective west is such an ephemeral concept, it is often a competitive west in all aspects of its manifestation. And today we see poland or leo who are friends against one opponent. This is our union state, if you go and dig deeper, then in his speech, Vladimir Vladimirovich putin said and warned one state. We clearly know that it was designated in the form of poland and perhaps romania for subsequent military operations is most likely in western ukraine, then lithuania, even here , you can probably breathe to some extent with relief that in this situation, as it were, the president russia, including under, took figurative and part lithuania, stating that it will not allow this state to remake or reshape european borders, including warned germany because the questions are about furniture. They are also open german, never just came to the lithuanian land. He always came there as an occupier, and today, article 137 of the lithuanian constitution states that foreign bases should not be located on the territory of lithuania, which makes the germans their sovereignty. But we are absolutely right with this , these peoples are against their neighbors. Everything is clear. Indeed, talking about the collective smell and we usually perceive it as a certain association of states that have a special form of support for each other, but this is amazing for those who interact with the United States of america, for example. Today is also the European Union. He completely became a victim of this commonwealth, and this is surprising, as the leaders of one or another. It seems they dont understand it. About, of course, the current situation, lets talk. More intends to deploy a total of 10,000 troops on the border with belarus, the minister said defense. Poland maariusz blaszek. She parted in a military threat from poland to the baltic countries. More details in our story about the buildup of natos military potential in the east. More and more like a direct threat. Now, in the immediate vicinity of the borders of the union state, there are about 360,000 military personnel , 8,000 Armored Vehicles and 650 aircraft and helicopters. Began to behave more and more aggressively thousands of military and hundreds of pieces of equipment, including two combat helicopters, pilots, which are ready to use weapons in the near future in the plans. Poland to further strengthen the military contingent. We are carefully strengthening the eastern part of our country. We are deliberately creating a new unit, we must be ready for various scenarios, we do not rule out any of them, for this we decided to transfer troops closer to the belarusian border in order to strengthen the border to scare away the aggressor so that the aggressor does not decided to attack. In poland, such military activity in poland is explained by a threat from belarus for the presence of pmc wagner , allegedly the mercenaries are planning to occupy the suvorov corridor, a land corridor along the border of poland and lithuania that could connect the territory of belarus with the kaliningrad region of russia, listen to the dump corridor. We were not moving in belarus, so we have not needed a corridor for a thousand years. The main thing is to be calm. I joked there that they were whispering among themselves, we were already on the way to go on an excursion. Why because polished equipment and weapons, where they fought hmm under Artyomovsk Bakhmut . Those wagnerites died there. Thousands of their guys died, and they wont forgive them for that. And let the belarusians say more, and thank you for inviting these fighters to our place. These are guys charged for war, offended by many crippled many dead. They dont ask for forgiveness, so let them pray that we keep them somehow provide otherwise, without us, they would have leaked in there and broken the same fur coat and warsaw that they wouldnt show enough, while still at the beginning april warsaw began construction of an electronic fence and on the border with the kaliningrad region, the total length of the fence will be 200 km for equipment consisting of a camera and motion sensors will detect and identify any person approaching him in total , 2,000 poles will be installed on the wall to accommodate 3,000 allweather video cameras and thermal imagers for all this 84 Million Dollars allocated it will be a lot of day and night vision cameras unprecedented in its modernity motion sensors also full monitoring of everything that is done on the border with russia im sure it will be the best protected border of the European Union in the meantime. Lithuania announced the closure of two checkpoints with belarus earlier president gitanas. On the seat allowed the complete closure of the border with our country. He also called on poland and latvia to act together. And the other day the baltic republics and poland announced the possible closure of rail freight transportation with our country, there is some kind of intimidation and feeding. Although im not into it i believe that they are trying to intimidate us, but the fact that it is impossible to intimidate us. This i promise you. I dont want my people, especially when i was at war. You see what is happening with our neighbors close to us. Not strangers, but i want you to understand that we are not taking weapons, but we are preparing to defend our country at any moment. Lets talk about the situation in the kaliningrad region, and lets talk about the mood in society. Now it is certainly worth noting in more detail that now the kaliningrad region is actually sandwiched between enemyminded lithuania and poland, the excommander of the land troops of poland, who declared polands territorial claims to the russian kaliningrad region in an interview with one of the polish publications, said that the kaliningrad region is the occupied territory of poland and poland should raise the issue of belonging to the kaliningrad region, which has been occupied by russia since 1945 well, this is quite understandable, probably position in their coordinate system. Well, of course, and the representative of the Russian Foreign ministry, Maria Zakharova , answered briefly how she would raise and lower, well, right now we have kaliningradskaya with us area in touch anastasia local resident anastasia please share your moods and your reactions that prevail today. In society, regarding the aggravation of the situation by the polish, do you feel a certain threat of fear and fear . Hello, threats, fears, fears, but they are, of course, present, uh, and uh, in conversations, uh, and in sensations. E, but it turns out that we, in principle, feel some kind of support here. We are still living our lives. We, uh, go to school. Children. We go to work. Works for us the shops. Yes, this already pleases anastasia tell me please, what kind of relationship do you have now . Perhaps you have polish or lithuanian relatives or acquaintances. I know that there is a certain part of the tourists who are now in the kaliningrad region. We understand that the injection is present from the side, and the polish authorities. Rather, so, but what kind of relationship between peoples . I would say so, but i cant accurately answer about the search. I can speak for myself. Almost all of my family lives with me, uh, my sister and my my nephews live in spain and if before the main reason for my move was that i could move around and see them often. Uh, across the borders on the ground. Eh, that is, it often becomes impossible, and i cant even imagine whether it will be possible in principle. Well, in their families. Well, that is, today from the kaliningrad region. Uh, getting to europe is extremely problematic. That is, what he is talking about, er, certain polish authorities. What they say about the termination of the same transport communication. All you are see in practice now its hmm what is difficult is impossible. Anastasia i want to thank you for taking the time to join our program , of course, wish us all a speedy peaceful settlement of all those conflicts that cause tremendous stress to us all, we were once again glad to see you in our program. Ah pavel well, this is the opinion expressed by anastasia. I think many people today are experiencing really extremely negative emotions people who were apolitical and would never have thought that the degree of tension would be so high and will touch any person. Yes now, if you are not involved in politics, politics will sooner or later deal with you. Wow. Well , i think that while still peaceful people. Rather, they faced discomfort. Rather than with direct military aggression from poland and the baltic countries, like ours, dear guests of the studio. Indeed, it has become more difficult to obtain visas. It became harder to cross the border. But this is not yet a direct confrontation. Here are the poles. Of course, they react very reactively to the sparkling humor of Alexander Grigorievich lukashenka and what is called ate his joke, and the wagnerites, although inside the wagnerian environment, anything can be discussed, including a march on warsaw, but still, let s be honest. I know the Belarusian Society has a certain concern about this , the wagners, firstly, they are not desperate madmen , and secondly, these are not convicts, as they are said about in the liberal opposition press. And thirdly, these are people. Brilliant military professionals. Mostly veterans of the armed forces of the Russian Federation with the instinct of selfpreservation. They dont go to those countries where they are not waiting for todays moment in the world there are five states that would be happy to invite these people to work for themselves. Well i pay for a business trip. Under these conditions, some kind of suicidal maneuver is thrown in the direction of the polish or lithuanian borders. Of course they wont, its unreasonable. This would be irrational on their part, but the fact that reacting to one word to one joke of Alexander Grigorievich a dedicated to the wagnerites is our western partners in quotation marks. They tense up so much and react so quickly to it, highlighting colossal funds, e from local budgets, formed at the expense of taxpayers money to strengthen the border. It costs a lot. This suggests that we will say frankly that we have also succeeded in the hybrid war. The word can be a wonderful weapon and we know how to use it, but fears are justified, yes, and certain fears of the same polish authorities regarding the presence of a dude. Wagner do you think professionalism is growing in the ranks, and pmc wagner certainly . What kind of interaction . What are the fruits of interaction, and the armed forces of the republic belarus pmcs into barbaric, well, before i say now about the dude, what is happening anyway is against the backdrop of some political militarypolitical events, that is , the situation that has been created on our western and southern borders, it must be said that looking at all periodicals. Republic of poland i want to say such braur statements that waldemar and klyuchak offer us. Yes, well, such a difficult pronunciation of a little surname. There are not so many of these nimble statements. And what actually represents today in general more who are already declaring occupation or some people are declaring occupation. The exclave of the kaliningrad region, well , firstly, the polish army itself is at the stage of modernization and reequipment. She gave up all her weapons. Now the main soviet has transferred to ukraine you have not yet managed to get far what you planned. Look, she is in a hurry trying to buy, where possible, to make the americans promised abrams, which will come incomprehensibly, most likely in the second half of 23. And then, probably, there are one and a half companies, max. Its generally nothing you can talk about their aviation, in fact today they dont have, the once balanced air defense system, which was inherited from the soviet union, is also full of holes today in all respects, and we saw how missiles fly and found this x50 missile on the territory of poland we we remember how the s300 rocket flew from ukraine everything that they cannot today. They put forward only two formations on the border. This is the 12th and 17th mechanized tank divisions, this potential is not enough to really ve enter a fullfledged war. And if you already unleash a war with poland, then it needs to be unleashed today, tomorrow or in a year. Do they think it is irresponsible enough, what then is the motivation to behave this way more, if they also assess the risks. You understand, they are practically sure that today no one is going to fight with them. There are much more important problems, but today poland is behaving exactly as if running up in order to receive additional funds. Look at 11 billion a year, they Just Got Paid free of charge from the European Union today, this amount is doubled, or even 2 1 2 times; this allowed them to increase their military budget to four and two tenths of a percent, and everyone knows 2 . This is maintaining the combat readiness of the armed forces. 34 , this is the modernization of everything that goes above four percent. This is preparation for war, that is, an attempt to quickly and quickly buy these weapons somewhere, so they are pulling right from south korea, and many samples of south korean fighters are the same. They dont even match so quiet technical characteristics that the same immigi could show, 29, and andrey viktorovich, you know, i want to draw. The attention of our esteemed viewers to the schedule prepared with colleagues by the nato military presence in europe, the bases, the number of troops, by countries, we see this is the picture, of course, i look forward to your comment. Well, we often talk about the confrontation between the west and the east. This is really the border of that very confrontation. Thats exactly what the world looks like today, which is divided into the two parts are primarily ideologically at odds with each other. Well, look instead of the forces that are represented today by the National Armed forces. There are also two main areas or two operations that nato countries and the United States are conducting, these are the atlantic presence and the forward presence as part of these operations, operations are carried out on a rotational basis, the creation of various groupings of troops are conducted against this backdrop of exercises. At the moment in europe , they are concentrated precisely within the framework. Here are these order operations, 17 battalion tactical groups. Here it is on the territory of poland. At the moment, there are 10 10 such groups, created by battalion tactical groups, in addition , rotation is underway. We know this famous airfield in zakyai in exmo, which is on the territory of this exmori, which is located on the territory of estonia, that is, on a rotational basis, which today really begins to cause concern for the group, in fact, they are small and insignificant in order to conduct largescale military operations. But the first thing that starts to call fears, aviation has now been transferred from conducting Police Operations to conducting military operations. That is, now it does not consist only in patrolling. But even when it is necessary to conduct military operations , the number of exercises conducted in adjacent territories begins to increase. What is here . That is, yes, weapons often come, military equipment and personnel. But the weapons equipment may remain. And in this situation, it is precisely the armed forces of intelligence that play an important role. To determine and not to oversleep the moment when these strike groups can be created in any directions, and in this situation , for example, today, for example , five such exercises are being conducted in our direction , five exercises involving various forces and means. How right is all this interethnic again, going back, what threatens it, for example, the same kaliningrad region, by and large , this is a semiexploit and today is an attempt to isolate it. It will certainly lead to war. Why is military science, like any science, it lives according to certain canon principles and laws. So thats the law of any blockade or isolation. The exhead is always one hundred percent war and indeed. Russia will not stand aside yet greatly admires to provide linatovs defenses security to its Three Sisters by the three Baltic States there is a high probability that both washington and brussels will renounce them as soon as they smell fried. So, latvia, lithuania, estonia need to think 10 times before supporting the aggressive plans of poland or nato regarding the kaliningrad region, by the way, was genuinely surprised when the poles started talking about the fact that, as a former konigsberg, it belongs to them. It would be nice if the germans said Something Like that, but after may 9 they no longer open their mouths on this topic. They have learned all their historical lessons to the poles, apparently, still to be, although they are in some special military heroism. I dont know, a colleague will not let me lie in history, not to note. And when i look at this map, of course, everything looks threatening around us , a ring of enemies is tightening around us, south east flank. Nato is getting stronger militarizing europe but there is one problem for them all. Today, eastern Southern Europe has only a people who, for the sake of some mystical , nationalistic and geopolitical ambitions, are ready to go and die , this is a ukrainian, and all these wonderful guys who are now training at nato bases in lithuania, latvia or poland have passports in their pockets for citizens of the European Union and residents of the European Union unlike the ukrainians. Somehow, the ukrainians, who were initially ready to go and die, do not run very well. For your land. There are no more of them left, and it seems to me that the very principles of the Democratic Political structure of some european states will painfully hit the hands of their aggressive military plans, because as soon as the polish militarypolitical leadership decides on military madness against the allied state. And this will threaten thousands of losses for local residents. And probably, their society will still rise and sober up especially. Hotheads, but also instill in them the need to withstand all the same from such kind. I want pavel to join our broadcast of an expert on security policy, a military historian from hungary, balin, kutya himself has been in touch with us for a month. He is cool, thank you so much, thank you very much for being with us today. Greetings appreciate the invitation polish military buildup makes me think that politicians in warsaw do not rely much on solidarity when it comes to a possible clash with the wagner group do you agree that a confrontation with your private military company in the border zone will not lead to automatically conflict the alliance and not force the poles to fight on their own. Yes, we definitely need to understand that nato is a military alliance, and a militarydefense alliance, but this is not a frightening character from childrens fairy tales and at the same time not a fairy godmother who will come to the rescue. If you Pay Attention to the confrontation between turkey and greece in 1947 nato then did nothing. Basically , each step must be taken first. Having had many discussions on each issue, which makes this organization very slow to make decisions if poland decides to play by its own rules. This will not mean a fullfledged nato operation on the other side. You should also understand that elections in poland will be held soon and pmc wagner looks like an external threat, but at the same time it is an internal political issue, which is being manipulated and any actions against nato member countries will be perceived as the beginning of a war between the two blocs i repeat, this will not automatically be considered as a military conflict, but if wagner commits an act of aggression against polish territory, it will most likely be an act of war. Well , you see, what opinion was really voiced , the first aspect that is worth highlighting is that in the event of polands entry into the war, nato will remain on the sidelines. Even despite the fact that poland is a member, that is, the Atlantic Alliance as such , what do you think is not . How can this be interpreted in your opinion. Look here, uh, probably, we can talk about some kind of peacekeeping, supposedly activity of pumping, which itself she came up with herself more in general, poland has been very gushing throughout the 21st century. Eh, by creating various associations around themselves. Remember there about the Eastern Partnership and about the lublin triangle and hmm the sea and everything else. That is, she always tried to create some kind of association within herself and together with herself , allowing them to resolve some issues , she is no longer able to independently conduct largescale military operations at the moment, especially against such a serious rival as the russian a federation, or even more so a regional grouping of troops and forces that are located here, poland is able to do this only in alliance with other states. And you will remember this summit, which was recently held by nato, where they clearly said that it is necessary to create some kind of coalition. So, this coalition of these three seas, three seas, yes, and you need to look very carefully at this aspect of the dominant role. Yes , more is allotted, well, more time is needed now to really create a fullfledged armed forces. Moreover, even these fullfledged armed the forces that are trying to create more say that we will become a European Military superpower. It will not even reach the armed forces of the polish peoples republic that was in 19. 79, if we are talking about a rather complicated and acute situation between poland and the republic, belarus yes , we constantly hear statements referring to the presence of the wagner pmc in the border areas of the republic belarus but bordering with poland, and this is what the hungarian expert says that only if chvakovagner, yes, there will be some kind of encroachment on the territory of poland on their part. But in this case it is very difficult to separate real actions from provocations, which, again, the polish authorities can organize. How to be, how are you at this moment to maintain, uh, common sense and cold , this part of the information war is inevitable, a component of any modern international confrontation. Well, my colleague perfectly confirmed with his statement the thesis that the mechanisms, and the militarypolitical regulation of processes in the nato bloc, work so slow. And with a creak, lets imagine that poland and the baltic countries ran into such a serious, impressive response from the union state, how their nato cover will continue to function. The first mechanism starts consultation only consultation. How many days these consultations in the nato bloc will last is a big question further after the consultations within the nato bloc, nato notifies the Security Council that allegedly someone has committed aggression against these countries, let me remind you that russia is in the un Security Council china and how quickly the Security Council will respond to this kind of information occasion is a big question. In general, the americans, when they contributed to the expansion of the nato bloc, made a colossal mistake and seriously framed their western european partners. They accepted there those whom they do not want to protect, a and b they cannot, because they do not have such means that would allow them to adequately respond in a timely and rigidly symmetrical manner. If suddenly with the strange baltics, something happens, what happens to say no will be, but dude wagner is not the structure that the columns are in unison. All of a sudden it will go in the direction of warsaw if suddenly a really big hot war starts on the territory of the european continent. As a special operation force, as brilliant thin military professionals, they will be involved, but i can reassure my polish colleagues, definitely not assault infantry in the direction of their border. No, they are so naive here it can be noted that a private military company. This is the only company in the company that participated in a major Armed Conflict and, moreover, proved to be a fairly powerful connection. Let it be tactical, but powerful , there are about four, in my opinion, four and a half thousand total private military companies in the world today, but of them only a good dozen of gfs and blackwater literally stand out there. Academy yes and today there really appears such a serious competitor to them, a private military company. Wagner is no coincidence. She, i think, was taken from here to the territory of our republic. I think it is prepared very important historical role because suddenly random. Today we see again. How to the left, which is being deployed on the african continent, namely the private military company wagner, has shown itself very well on this, and with the positive from russia in africa, they will most likely still show themselves. Because there is an anticolonial government recently, the incoming power is mainly represented by the local military. Who asks dude wagner to come and help them in the colonial war against the west, who still has not moved away from ideology neoimperialism. Uh, well, what if the dude wagner today is a symbol of confrontation with the old decaying european powers, then to me as representatives of russia in this sense . Well, even somehow joyfully. I feel proud about this. We again , as soviet times, free africa to our esteemed foreign guest and about appetites more with regards to western ukraine, together with a dream. Ah, the scenes are quiet visa itself, saint my love squestion. For you in middle lege. Hungry and pull and computering middle ages hungary poland competed for control of the territory of modern western ukraine how are ordinary citizens and in political circles in budapest treated the obvious polish ambitions in one way or another to take control of the sub. In minsk, such ideas are met with fierce resistance. Basically, we have a common perception of each other as brothers poles, although we are not so close, there are disputes in families about this. Many hungarians. They think that the eastern border was drawn artificially after the second world war, but we have no intention to change this and especially the Decision Makers in the western countries of europe and in america make it clear that they do not support any redrawing of the eengers borders, ambiguous feelings in hungary are therefore an issue, but there are less issues regarding nonobservance of rights. In ukraine, the restriction of the free use of the language and many things that cause us concern, and i remind you that a military historian from hungary, an expert on security policy, was in touch with us, and mr. Belarus and its western neighbors with developments, the International Situation around belarus has put in the forefront the strengthening of the republics defense capability and the main steps. In this direction, more details in our story against the backdrop of growing tensions near the belarusian borders. One of the main priorities in the domestic policy of our country has become National Security, as russias special operation in ukraine showed , armored soldiers. Ka and tanks as part of the training of the armed forces are one of the most important events now. Maintaining combat migration readiness issues of building the development of the armed forces combat training, based on the experience gained by our colleagues in the Armed Conflict in the south of our country, is an important part of the National Security system. Also is Territorial Defense. These are troops that are convened only during the war or during a tense militarypolitical situation. As it happens now, in the training of such soldiers, the experience of the past is always taken into account, for example, the great patriotic war, when partisan detachments created it was local residents who knew their forests and swamps very well, therefore the Territorial Defense troops carry out combat missions in the same area where their number of belarus about 120,000 people now live. This is twice as much as the regular army. At the same time, belarus plans to develop a contract army. Where the experience of the wagner pmc mercenaries is useful, our conscripts served a year and a half and left. I see. He was so green himself, boys, 18 years old, they came , they served, they left, and there are experienced people there, mostly officers are their profession fight or defend the country. These are real fighters who went through a war that lost many of their friends. They are completely free. Though they are mercenaries they are everywhere for money and fought and worked for free help. We are passing on the experience of the joint exercises of our soldiers in avagner. It began literally from the first days of their arrival in belarus, so in belarusian, army special forces, together with pmcs , were stationed in a wooded area , fired from machine guns, and also controlled drones. Here there will be transmitted the unique experience that a person has these fighters, against the heroes, which is in any way. I will say, uh, we will prepare the use of artillery and our specialists, and our groups will be. Here they are in this situation, joint they have artillery. They have everything, lets say. So for its application. And right here. Here they will help us. At the same time, the wagner pmc mercenaries highly appreciated the training of our military personnel, very adequately trained, as it were, well, that is, people who, in principle, do not have much work to do here, as it were, that is, as if people are almost ready from rudely speaking to our point of view of some specific experience. We will share of course we will show people what we can do. We for our part, but in general. I think the work will be interesting very productive. Well, and uh, we ll see the results later. Also, work is now underway to reequip the troops with new modern models of weapons of military and special equipment. So the armed forces. Belarus has already received new armor, transporters , modernized tanks and other types of weapons and military equipment. Also, Unmanned Aerial Systems for war we dont try and think everything will be fine. If the enemy sees that we will respond and that they will suffer irreparable losses unacceptable to them, they will never attack. Yes, absolutely wise words of Alexander Grigorievich and Andrei Petrovich military operations on the territory of ukraine they allow military experts. I think, just like you, you should already draw certain conclusions about the priorities for modern armies. And, for example, it is already clear that unmanned aerial vehicles. Both reconnaissance and shock today play a huge role on the battlefield and armed forces. The same Russian Federation has to make up for the corresponding deficit and quite successfully. Yes, we already see that the state has become more likely on a military footing, how things are with drones in the belarusian army, because i know that Alexander Grigoryevich raised this issue with the minister of defense. Well, speaking in general about the operation in ukraine, the specifically military operation that is being carried out there, it really taught a lot of interesting lessons. Moreover, it consists of several such stages. This is the first stage where we really saw a manifestation of modern warfare with deep detours , reaching in depth and, in fact, already posing on the brink of defeat for ukraine. Well , then the second stage taught us that politics, it will always prevail over military art. And what is happening today clearly fits into the understanding of what is happening. Just battles of tactical significance, if earlier in their speeches. Levitan said when he announced during the great patriotic war, it was called so, local battles are being fought. And here we say loudly that a contrast is being waged for some village for some kind of height, etc. , of course, no major operations are being carried out today, but, nevertheless, it was correctly noted and said that that army will always win, which is more technological. It is an axiom why. Because the everchanging forms and methods of introducing hostilities are based on the means of armed struggle, the one who has a chance will definitely win and definitely will not win, the one who does not have these chances, therefore the Russian Federation has chosen today. Here you go such is the method or, rather, the forms of warfare that we see today by and large. Russia is a powerful state and, in all likelihood , it is precisely the creation of the prerequisites for reflection. It is precisely such offensives that it is needed for some more important and active upcoming phase, what Alexander Grigoryevich lukashenko said that today he attaches truly global importance to the rearmament of our army. We can say about this, yes, we have prepared a whole line of modern rocket weapons. That is, we in fact, using our air defenses. We can hit the minima there. Uh, heights to the nearest space Electronic Warfare, well, i think we are probably among the good ten world state with precisely our Electronic Warfare and the directions of its development. Here is an interesting point. I always say this. Our minister of defense, the general is fucked. Now, lately, i began to resort to such creative hints. Thats all witnessed how he presented Alexander Grigorievich with a model of a bomb. Yes, and every military clearly i understood what it meant that Nuclear Warheads and Nuclear Missiles were deployed on our territory. Here, the second. You. Remember, before leaving just the week before last, the minister of defense for iran, before that, he congratulated on the holiday on the anniversary, and he did. This is the publicly controlled Unmanned Aerial Systems of the general staff and left for iran where negotiations began. And everyone knows what is glorified today in the course of modern Armed Conflicts, the slave republic of iran. Here, as it were, it is necessary to understand that yes, this is cooperation in this direction, it will go along different vectors. Of course, i cannot but give the opportunity to hear the opposition of the minister of defense of latvia. Therefore, lets hear it together. We must be able to manufacture essential products ourselves. Including ammunition, perhaps within a month the government will consider documents that will strengthen the military industry of latvia. We want the us to understand that the best deterrent for russia is the presence of us troops and military technology. In latvia, it is very important that after one rotation of troops , the next one immediately begins, so that there are no failures. Yes, the arms race in practice is obvious pavel please, well, here, listening to the respected representative of latvia, it is impossible not to be surprised at the contradiction that sounds from her lips on the one hand. She proposes to develop the militaryindustrial complex of her country, which is , well, frankly, in decline, but on the other hand , as it is customary for the strange baltics , it relies entirely on protection from the United States and the bloc are necessary. They say, of course, we will invest in the development of drones of missiles of our own production, 19 americans, but they are dying for us. Let the ukrainians suggest no, a wonderful woman, by the way, an interesting survey regarding belarus was conducted by a Ukrainian Company in a group of ukrainians who were offered to answer the question. How do you assess the likelihood of an attack by belarus on ukraine 70 read this is unlikely . We are 17 believe the possibility of this scenario. It turns out that ukrainians mostly do not believe in an attack from sides of neighbors. At the same time, a third of them are verbally ready to intervene in Belarusian Affairs with weapons in their hands. Well, pavel it seems to me that this is again, yes, such a very skillful stuffing of information, which again such people are trying to warm up this degree of distrust of fear even among ukrainians who have suffered so much from todays military conflict. Well, uh, ukrainians are thus stimulated to go guard their northern border. This is a purposeful defense policy of the zelensky regime, which suggests that the entire line of contact of ukraine and the union state is one large , very extended front. We know what ukraine is doing on the line of this contact the total destruction of transport routes, the total laying of mines and the deployment of Territorial Defense artillery. Well actually. This is their problem. They defend their state in ways that seem rational to them. It seems to me that it is still interesting to talk about the fact that certain regions of ukraine are quite at risk of becoming part of poland and thus already closing all their concerns about the threat outgoing north from the allied state. Here it is very interesting to look at the actions of warsaw, because you periodically hear that they will include eight western regions of ukraine in the future. How should we react to this . Its composition the eight poorest most subsidized agricultural regions. Ukraine then, personally, i will not speak for all of russia, all of russia, the great immense, i strongly regret not will. We all know what happens when another diseased organ is sewn to a sick organism. The European Union today is a sick, suffering organism. Add eight subsidized ukrainian regions to poland or as a separate regional entity. It will become even more difficult for them. We are witnessing the fire and the ukrainian authorities, which are ready to protect their territories from the Russian Federation. By the way, to give more of them free of charge, i wonder what is in this subjective dissonance. What will happen to western propagandists because they have there will simply be a break in the template, a break in the brain, a break in everything that is possible. Uh, how are they going to use the wording before neigen then. Russian invasion or russian aggression, how will they incorporate their society five and a half seven millions of ukrainians, according to various estimates , who remain all of europe will be there to download rights. I am much more ready to believe that poland really claims the western lands of belarus because the grodno region, because, uh, the brest region is really an industrialized region with excellent infrastructure. What is called a brilliant ablebodied hardworking population. These are the regions the poles could potentially lay claim to. As for ukraine, i strongly doubt that they are interested in these eight impoverished regions. They are interested there, and these are ukrainian fighters who are ready to die for the ambitions of the collective west with polish passport. Believe me, they will not do this and are interested in access to the black sea, because if ukraine is partially or completely. As a result of a special military operation, it will remain under the control of the collective west or a single warsaw, then poland will turn into a unique western country that will have access to the baltic in the cold european sea and to the warm south to the black sea, respectively, to the mediterranean. This is polands longterm Strategic Plan well, you know, pavel , i want to share such a nice insider. Recently i talked with my friend, a member of the European Parliament, representing an alternative for germany, she said this, but in a private conversation, and with a member of the European Parliament from poland, here, i said i read dostoevsky in russian, maybe it will come in handy in the future. This is actually a pole. He voiced this position, that is, we must understand that there is this aggressive rhetoric in public. Is there a private one, when everyone understands what it is going to . About what . It is most likely that a congress of alternatives for germany took place recently , which was mentioned, you know what was the main thing decision of the congress to run for the european . Parliament with one point of the program to liquidate the European Union quite right, by the way, many of them are convinced that today there is no point in being a deputy of the same bundestag, because, despite the fact that the car is in germany, the Steering Wheel is still in brussels, so it needs to be destroy from within. And, of course, at the end of the program i would like to hear your comment Andrei Petrovich but first. And i want to give an opportunity to hear the opinion of the leader of belarus Alexander Lukashenko regarding that in spite of everything that happens. We peoples should not, and we will hear direct speech to be at enmity and feel a certain anger, hatred for each other. Our western constellations of flying are going crazy. I just do not know why they need to live peacefully calmly, no one strained each other to power. Mad people came and began to name and everything went flying, but awareness is already coming poles are not fools. The people there are like us. They took over. Now the current leadership. And now before the elections, or in october. Its in november they have already begun to move. Well, i arrived in latvian. These are ghosts. I dont even want to talk about them. There were 4. 5 million exterminated in the country. There are people left in lithuania. Well , about two, where people are their problems. We dont get into their problems. We want to have normal relations, belarusians, poles, lithuanians. Well ive always been armed. At the same time, i often visited lithuania, poland, not so often in latvia, normal people are normal, russia and now they are normal, we do not close the border from them. Come. Fingers if you want buy us something. The final word of todays program, as we said, the head of state is still open to the whole world. And this, probably, is our strong point , the one who once tried to carry out a coup detat in the twentieth year, acted very recklessly today, elections are approaching for 24 years. Already in february in the twentyfifth. It will be a president ial election. And for sure. All this picture, which is created more by the Baltic States of ukraine, it was created primarily in order to form in the future namely, the loosening of the situation during this election and the election campaign. I think that today the west is preparing for this more than ever, because in 1920 it broke its teeth in belarus. And what i would like to note today is this vector, which was inside the country at one time, was born in the twentieth year, and begins to shift beyond the borders of our state. That is, today look at all the structures created outside the republic of belarus and these structures