Look back on a roller coaster of a year in politics in review 2019s brexitcast. This is cassie adler in westminster. Know when has a clue what brexit is. Im at borisjohnson once. Know when has a clue what brexit is. Im at Boris Johnson once. The doubters, the doomsayers, they will get it wrong again. Remainers and leivas. That will end well. Levers. This is katya adler in westminster. It is adam fleming in westminster. And laura in westminster as well. The three wise people. And were empty chairing, not an Ice Sculpture melting. Ourfriend chris. He is on holiday. In new zealand. So he has gone as far away as you can possibly get from brexit. For anyone who is just tuning in and has not seen brexitcast is a podcast that feeds multiple times per week. The tv show on thursday night and we just talk about brexit. We also talked a lot about a big giant election in the uk. And a bit of porn. I mean, we are talking 2019 and looking back over the year. And that was a big moment for us, the danish np advertising on a porn aggregating website. Right, ok lets rewind swiftly. The start of the year was a different cast of characters and in completely different context talking about different stuff. I suppose the big moment at the start of the year was the mv one. The meaningful vote one. It was when theresa may had a deal with the European Union and she tried and tried to get it through parliament, but it was a total unmitigated disaster. Notjust because the opposition did not like her deal or not going to vote for it anyway, but she had a large tribe of eurosceptic conservatives who did not like herand did not like the deal. And that did sink her in the end. And she had all of the remain mps as well. So no one was going to be happy. I remember you saying and over again. How do you make everybody happy when everybody wants so many Different Things . Yeah, and the eu sort of, she went to the eu and said we agreed this deal, and it was argued over and discussed, you just give me Something Else to persuade people to vote for in parliament . And really, i mean, they went to the motions but frankly, it wasnt very much, it was not enough. And then there was another couple of meaningful votes and they were not as disastrous as the first one, but still pretty bad for her and the most really disastrous was the European Parliament elections, which we had to have because we had stayed in the eu beyond the original exit date of march, one of the conditions were that we had to be a part of the elections and the conservatives super badly. And the brexit party did extremely well and lots of people saw that as the straw that broke the camels back for theresa may not long after that, with the lovely sound effect of adam, she was toast and she was done and the conservative Prime Minister who had tried to keep her Party Together, very much tried to keep her Party Together and tried to keep the country together in an extraordinary period after the referendum, her time was up. And a famously unemotional woman, she cracked. So i am today announcing that i will resign as leader of the conservative and Unionist Party on friday the 7th ofjune. So that a successor can be chosen. I will shortly leave the job that has been the honour of my life to hold. The second female Prime Minister, but certainly not the last. I do so with no ill will but with enormous and enduring gratitude to have had the opportunity to serve the country i love. At downing street come at that moment was quite, british politics is always brutal and that was a particularly brutal moment and there is no question that theres a small number of people in the tory party who tried to bring her down since the day she moved in. Some of them were supporters of the person who followed her in next. When we look back at this and of course, the whole brexit chapter of uk history is going to be poured over for many years to come, but already with the benefit of hindsight, you could, im often asked does the eu regret not giving David Cameron more when he asked for reform . Does the eu regret not giving theresa may more at the junction at the beginning of 2019 that could have kept a more moderate brexit than the more hard line conservatives who are now in government . And actually, on both occasions, the answer is no for the europeans because when it came down to David Cameron, rules about freedoms, he wanted to get rid of the freedom of movement for the uk. That was not something that the eu would countenance, because once you give that up for the uk, everyone else wouldve demanded it as well. 0r ordemand 0r demand fiddling with other rules. And coming back to theresa may and she wanted to have a time limit at least on the backstop, the famous backstop to keep the irish border open after brexit, and the eu could not do that because ireland would not let them and the eu other eu Member States wouldve accepted a time limit and ireland said no and that is a key point, that thing behind the scenes. I was hearing a lot of frustration from other eu Member States because they wanted to get it done and dusted and they wanted to get this deal signed off with theresa may, but there was no way that they were going to turn their back on ireland and they wanted to ensure that there would be no customs mess on the island of ireland affecting their Single Market. So, there is no regrets on the eu side. There were a lot of ifs and there is a great story that i cannot tell all of, but there is a story that involves a lot of wine and a lot of very important people from the uk and ireland in dublin at a particularly critical point where they might have been able to get there even on time limit, but the proper niche nerds will remember the so called brady amendment and lets not go into all of that here. Its something happened in westminster and all that possibility went away. It just went away. So we are up to the end of may, thats when she resigned. That was the friday after the elections on the thursday where the results came out on the sunday. Also, remember the backstop . The backstop takes me back. To solve the problem of how do you have an open border between Northern Ireland and ireland once the uk is out. The idea was you would have a sort of Customs Union between the uk and the eu, a shared customs territory which meant that the uks tariffs to the outside world was the same as the eus in the outside world and you could have a thing that went around the uk and the eu, which means you do not have to worry about the irish border. Which meant that the uk would, in a lot of ways, still be up and staying in the eu, even though it supposedly left. Which is why it was not acceptable to the tory party and was never going to be accepted in Uk Parliament and that is why the government was desperate to get a time limit because then they said they would do that, but then it all went away. Regulatory alignment following the eus rules and regulations on lots of bits of the Single Market with the uk voluntarily following the same rules, so you would not have to have checks on goods going from Great Britain on goods going from Great Britain to Northern Ireland, which will rear its head again. People are not hung over they listen to this. Just think of you manage to spend hours talking about the backstop. Stopping their way going to 2020. Before we got to the backstop, we had to hire a new Prime Minister and we had the tory leadership contest. We did. Happy memories . I mean, this isjust been the most extraordinary story to cover. Part of the nature of this extraordinary story has been, for a long time, following the career of borisjohnson, who is the ultimate up and then down and then up and then down politician who had quit the cabinet and had been decried by colleagues as part of sabotaging theresa mays deal although he did vote for it at the end. Never forget that. But although he had been written off by loads of people and his party, he came back as mr big brexit. I am the man who, after the disaster of that european election, and setting himself a deadline that he would be out of the European Union by halloween, ended up winning. Actually. Not too surprisingly, but it was an astonishing campaign. The total number of votes given to each candidate was as follows. Jeremy hunt, 46,656. Borisjohnson, 92,153. And therefore, i give notice that borisjohnson is elected as the leader of the conservative and Unionist Party. And we know the mantra of the campaign that has just gone by, in case you have forgotten it, you probably have. It is deliver brexit, unite the country and defeatJeremy Corbyn. And that is what we are going to do. I think the assumption amongst those in the uk who wanted to stay in the eu or want a much softer brexit is that the eu would hate the idea of borisjohnson as Prime Minister and that was not the case and suspicious, yes, but there was a sense about him that with his charisma that this would be a leader that could get a deal sold back home and right from beginning, this is what the eu wanted. It never wanted brexit, so forget that, but if brexit was going to happen, the eu, all my contacts said we need a leader Strong Enough in the uk to do a deal with us in brussels and sell it back home and in Boris Johnson, brexit was fatigued at this point, they saw someone who had a lot more potential to do that than the predecessor, theresa may. Thats really why he won the leadership contest so overwhelmingly in the end. Lots of people have reservations about him, lots of people in the tory party have deep reservations about him. A lot of people, senior conservatives, believe basically that he is not trustworthy enough to be in office. There are very deep wells of concern about Boris Johnson. But that moment came, moments find politicians and the brexit fiasco had been such a car crash under theresa may that the feeling in the tory party, even amongst people who had walked out was that if anyone was going to be able to salvage this in terms of getting a new deal and then selling it to the country, it kind of had to be him. He was the person who made the most difference in the Vote Leave Campaign in 2016 and there was also a sense of this is your mess. You come in and clean this up. Summer going into the autumn, Boris Johnson has been Prime Minister for a couple of weeks, been a bit tricky with also the things happening domestically in the courts and stuff. His europe envoy, david frost, has been going back and forth between london and brussels and we are starting to detect the shape of where a new deal can be done especially on changing the backstop, the arrangements for Northern Ireland on keeping the border open. And then there was this meeting. I disagree, actually. I think the autumn was looking like it was going nowhere, david frost was coming backwards and forwards the eu version was he was just there to deliver borisjohnsons messages, he was not negotiating. And unless borisjohnson takes a big leap, there is no deal to be done. And this autumn was kind of surreal for me, i found myself at midnight talking to brexit contacts in brussels and scratching our heads like how, how does this ever get squared . Boris johnson clearly does not want no deal, whatever he says. The eu does not want no deal, we know that. They have made no secret of that how are they going to square this circle . Back to theresa mays nightmare with this border between Northern Ireland and ireland. How do you square the circle and keep everybody happy . And it looked like there was going to be no deal made because the eu said they were not going to budge over the Single Market fundamentally, never mind the Peace Process and then, there was this magical mystery surprise meeting between borisjohnson and the person who held the keys to a deal here, which was the irish Prime Minister. And this is why i think there was so much of this cannot happen and this cannot happen, and i always say this it is about the politics, right . We get two politicians who can actually look each other in the eye and get on and say, we both need to fix this and the problem is theresa may never had that relationship. She made it very difficult to build up relationships with her counterparts and there was never any small talk her and leo varadkar didnt really get on. Borisjohnson by that point, he was desperate for a deal. He never wanted to take people out without a deal. If you talk to the inner core, there was work going on between david frost and counterparts, they knew what was possible. Iit might not be possible to know what the boundaries were but there was a huge concession to get the eu to open a Withdrawal Agreement which were told they cannot do at that point. The decision was did they throw the dup under the bus or not the Northern Irish allies that Boris Johnson relied on in parliament and they made the big decision that basically, breaking the promise they made to the dup about never accepting a different situation for Northern Ireland was worth it in order to get a deal. And in order to, they might say get brexit done, that was the political calculation for varadkar, who was also desperate not to have a deal because he was in a minority government and yes, it was a tricky situation at home and the autumn of parkland in cheshire, we see the lovely stills of them Walking Around and it made a bit of a catalogue shoot. In the middle distance, they did a deal, they looked each other in the eye and this is what politics comes down to it is very much about the technicalities. But it is, but it is political expediency. It is political youre totally right when you say, it seems like all was lost and they were never going to be able to meet in the middle, but i think back to all of the leaks we got of those papers that david frost was presenting. All of the ingredients was there, but like everything in the brexit process, the fog of war meant it was so difficult to separate tactics from actual substantial discussions, briefing that was designed to send a message vs briefing that was designed to tell you what was actually going on, and taking all of the individual pieces and putting them together and then combining the politics. It was very, very hard. It comes down to two very simple concessions, i mean, and big ones. Regulatory alignment in Northern Ireland with a Single Market. Basically, allowing that trade border down the irish sea, separating Northern Ireland, in practical terms, from in the rest of the United Kingdom huge concession for Boris Johnson. And the irish accepting what earlier wouldve been impossible was an effective time limit on the backstop. The power was given to stormont, but this is something that ireland said could never be, it has to be open ended and not a security mechanism and here they were, allowing a de facto time limit. The eu will argue again and again was that the concession was smaller than Boris Johnsons concession and we are going to enter the same kind of realm now when it comes to the trade deal, but those are the fundamental shifts. And both sides budged. And both sides budged. And from this end, what theyre saying is that maybe some extra checks but there already checks that does not have to be that different. They have democratic consent, as you see, if they ever get back up and running, they can vote down and Northern Ireland as the power to say actually, we do not like having a different arrangement. And theres even a back up plan. Stormont are sitting in four years. Exactly, both sides will fight over the history of who budged more but they both budged and there was a deal and that in the end was what really matters and they both budged for political reasons because there desperate to have it happen, but ill always remember the very beginning of all this, someone very senior in the government said to me, i wouldnt bet you 5p that we can get a deal done. They wanted a deal and they always wanted to deal, they never wanted to leave no deal but they were very, very dubious about whether or not they could actually do it. Anyway, welcome to brexitcast when we spend longer on the footnotes on the backstop than we do on the general election of 2019. The general election of 2019. The general election of what . Forgotten already . Yeah it was a weird general election because it felt like the build up went on for ages and the least surprising snap election in history, wasnt it . It was. But it only happen because borisjohnson looked out but it only happen because borisjohnson locked down the deal and he wasnt sure he could get it through parliament. So he did not trust parliament, so he tried to clear the place out, which is what he managed to do in the end. Its also the case of the tories wouldve only gone to the selection because Jeremy Corbyn was in charge, so from a historic point of view, wise tories say look at this on paper, they have been in power for nearly ten years, they presided over a total fiasco of brexit three years. And they have really squeezed budgets and people have felt that around the country, by any historical measure, they should of been out on their i was going to Say Something bums . Posteriors at the selection. But when the reasons why they pushed for it is because they thought the liberal party might be thinking of getting rid ofJeremy Corbyn and the new year and felt that it was far better when he was in place. The result, which we are about to hear, more or less was the exit poll. 0ur polls are suggesting that there will be a conservative majority when all of the votes are counted after the selection of december 2019, the conservatives on 368 seats and labour way down on 191. On those figures, we are looking at a conservative majority of 86. If the votes actually tally up with this prediction and that will be the biggest conservative majority since margaret thatchers victory back in 1987. That result changed everything. It means, number one, for brexitcasters, we are leaving the europe at the end of next month, unless something odd happens. U nless unless you are sitting on your couch injanuary unless you are sitting on your couch in january eating unless you are sitting on your couch injanuary eating a lot of quality street, it happened. And that is massive. For me, the other side of the channel, this change in the eus understanding perception and hopes for the future, because we saw the slow dying of the second referendum, leading to a soft brexit or the uk staying in. I mean, i think sort of hope for the uk staying in for many countries that already went last year, i think, but that really went so that when we got to this election, the eu cheered borisjohnsons election victory not because of borisjohnson, not because of his politics, but for clarity. It is a big majority, it means that he can bring for the negotiated brexit deal and theres no doubt from the eus mind that they can move on. Getting it wrong within seconds, the big majority met Boris Johnson has room to manoeuvre, he can go to a softer brexit than the first thing you can do is extend the transition period for several sophisticated, add legislation to the brexit bill banning him from extending the transition period. We were getting it wrong already. The weird thing about all of this is this is wishful thinking. We have talked about this in the past two years wheneverfrom the eu side, maybe well move to a second referendum or that kind of, it is astonishing to me that brussels that it is not going to happen. Because fundamentally, to their soul, they believed that brexit was a massive act of self harm, and theyre thinking they are so clever and theyjust cannot let it go, they cannot let it go and it is wishful thinking. And it is something we have talked about a lot how the two sides never really understood each other and its one of the reasons why the vote happened in 2016. But, from a historical point of view, when people look back at the extent of the defeat. Whether it was for corbyn or brexit, i think in history, people will look back and think, people voted on something to that in 16 and the political establishment spend a lot of time trying to undo that. What . Famously on the night of the referendum, he himself said, i think people that when i said that that we would be out the next day. It was going to happen really soon. But of course they did. During the campaign, politicians on both sites, including the then Prime Minister, stood on platforms and said, if you vote this way, this will happen, there will be no going back. This is not a vote where you get a second opinion. And lo and behold, now three years later, people are scratching their heads in the labour party said, maybe it was a bit of a problem the return to undo something that people voted for. And there are perfectly legitimate reasons for people to campaign for another referendum. But covering it as a story, people voted for that. So we are already hearing, as we approach the end of this year, from the new head of the european commission, who is already threatening about the possibility of a cliff edge no deal and we are about no trade deal, as opposed to a new brexit deal. Which is a different no deal. Which is a different no deal and have theres no deal, come december 2020, by which time he featured a trade deal has to be done, the uk will be worse off than the eu, so here we are again in a predict a lot of shadow boxing for the next two months of next year. Before we really get an idea of what realistically will be done by the end of 2020. Yeah, but hang on though. But the biggest thing above all of that is that the uk is going to leave the eu. 0h, oh, yeah. Of course. That is going to be absolutely enormous. We are making a big turn, i dont know whether to the right of the left, a huge turn down a path away from the status quo of the past few years and quite similar in the transition period, the uk next year is making an absolutely huge move that will change its place in the world, its relationship with the rest of the continent, its relationship with the globe, a new immigration system, new sorts of things, un plumbing the pipes that have made this country work or not work for decades. And that is a huge and enormous and profound moment. Yes, there will be lots of political wrangling about the trade deal and all the rest and i would probably predict that by the end of next year, therell be some kind of fudge that is between a trade agreement or leaving without a deal. And will be all kinds of things you can patch up in the middle, divisionalapplication. But unless something really odd happens, we are going to be sitting here next year and the biggest thing that will happened politically in the rest of the uk is that we are out of the European Union and itjust took us a while to get there because we said up of 4am. Ill always remember, ive still got the text somewhere in the depths of my phone. Leave to win. And we have to leave everyone. So thank you for sharing this amazing year and thank you for sharing it with us too. Yeah thank you for listening all of the way through. Thank you for listening and make sure you share 2020 with us as well, please. Bye brexitcast. From the bbc. Hello there. It doesnt look like were going to see any snowfall on Christmas Day, but with it being cold, there could be a little bit of early frost, which might make you feel a little bit festive for a while. The reason for the cold weather with the sunshine as well as this ridge of High Pressure for Christmas Day, which will be short lived because it will be replaced during boxing day with this area of low pressure to bring us a spell of wet and windy weather. The cold air from Christmas Day will be pushed northwards and itll be replaced as the wind and rain moves in with this milder air and, indeed, itll be sticking around, even as we head on into the end of the week and also for the weekend. But for Christmas Day morning, its going to be chilly. Temperatures up and down the country just around 1 or 2 degrees. Many rural areas will be around freezing, so a touch of frost likely, but with generally clear skies overhead. We should see quite a bit of sunshine through the day. A little bit of patchy cloud perhaps for north west england, perhaps into northern and western scotland. A few showers as well brushing the north coast of scotland. Later in the day, well start to see the breeze picking up across the south and the west, along with some hazy sunshine as the high cloud starts to roll in. But most places will see the sunshine. Its going to be a chilly day, single figure values for most. Certainly a chillier feel to things across the south. And then towards the later part of the day, its possible we could start to see some dense fog patches developing across northern, central and Eastern England for a while. Bear that in mind if you are heading out on the roads. It should be short lived, though, because the breeze begins to pick up through the night, it will tend to lift. Itll be turning wet and windier across the south west as that weather system arrives, turning milder as well by the end of the night. But still quite a chilly one across the north and the east. So, low pressure then sweeping across the country for boxing day, bringing strong winds and heavy rain. That rain will be already across Northern Ireland, wales, the south west of england early on. Perhaps a dry start, perhaps a little bit of brightness in the north and the east before the wind and the rain sweeps in there. Could see a little bit of transient snow over the Higher Ground of northern england, certainly across the scottish mountains as that rain bumps into the cold air, but itll be turning milder across the south and the west with temperatures reaching double fingers here. Still single values in the north. And it turns even milder as we end the week and head on into the weekend with temperatures well above the seasonal average. Thats all from me. Have yourself a very lovely christmas. Welcome to bbc news. Im mike embley. Our top stories pope francis celebrates Midnight Mass at the vatican, calling on the faithful not to abandon gods love at christmas because of the churchs failings. 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