Hello there there was some sunshine and showers around at the end of the week. That they will continue into the weekend. It will still be quite chilly out there. The showers could bring us snow over the hills, perhaps as far south as mid wales. The strong winds will continue to affect many parts of england and wales, in particular, right the way through the week. It is a very messy weather chart for saturday. We have still got those fairly brisk showery winds and low pressure sitting to the north of scotland. We see a band of showers pushing eastward through the morning across england and wales. Then it turns drier and sunnier in the afternoon, but still windy. Showers may be easing of the afternoon for Northern Ireland but continuing in scotland, particularly in the west. It will feel quite chilly as well. 4 5d in scotland, Northern Ireland, the high temperatures in the far south west of england, it turns wet and windy through the evening. Is that bad of wet weather moves into england and wales we could find some snow over the hills of wales and Northern England in particular, a couple of centimetres by the morning before that weather system moves away and is wintry showers continuing overnight into scotland as well. A touch frost overnight, especially the northern half of the uk, some icy patches, too. On sunday we will probably see showers more widely for england and wales, continuing into the afternoon, probably turning wet in the afternoon, later on for Northern Islands of scotland. Otherwise lighter winds and fewer in scotla nd otherwise lighter winds and fewer in scotland but still cold. Windy for england and wales with some gales scotland but still cold. Windy for england and wales with some gates in the south west. Overnighters those winds tend to ease. We still have that area of low pressure. It is just a shifting position. Doesnt really know whether it is coming or going. That is why we are seeing the weather in the final list of the uk. Some showers around elsewhere for a while. They should tend to fade away. Anyplace is enjoying sunshine with lighter winds. The cloud will thicken towards the channel and in the south east of england where temperatures may reach double figures. Elsewhere it will be a chilly 5 7d again. As we move from monday and into tuesday it is this area of low pressure that will be more dominant. That is why were that weather front arriving, thickening cloud coming northwards into england and wales and some rain. As it is the colder air there may be a bit of snow beginning to arrive over the hills, mountains of wales, into the Peak District by the end the day. Further north across the uk, while it is generally dry, another cold one again after a frost in the morning. There is a lot of uncertainty about tuesday and into wednesday, regarding that area of low pressure. That is a slight change in the forecast. The wet weather more widely across england and wales with some snow into the pennines for a while. The wet weather should move away as the low pressure m oves weather should move away as the low pressure moves away. Light winds, whether coming down during wednesday, many places will be dry with some sunshine. It is still on the cold side. Signs of change the far south west. If we look at the into next weekend, actually, instead of this quieter, colder weather, it gets milder, wetter, and windy, really from thursday onwards, with some showers or really from thursday onwards, with some showers or some really from thursday onwards, with some showers or some longer spells of rain. Thats because weve got a big area of low pressure, several of them, actually, rotating around each other out into the atlantic, lifting towards the uk, bringing more of a south south westerly wind, lifting the temperatures, but bringing spells of rain. Was the wind direction may change next weekend and it may not be quite as mild, we still have low pressure sitting right over the uk, so it will stay very unsettled. Hello. This is bbc news. Well be taking a look at tomorrow mornings papers in a moment. With me are sonia sodha, whos the chief leader writer, with the observer, and sebastian payne, the whitehall correspondent for the ft. Many of tomorrows front pages are already in. A stonking majority, says the financial times, with a photo of Prime MinisterBoris Johnson and his girlfriend, Carrie Symonds. We did it says the daily mail. The newspaper was one of the conservative leaders most vocal supporters during the election campaign. The battle for the United Kingdom starts now, according to the i newspaper, saying the Scottish National party has pulled the trigger on a new independence campaign. The daily mirror calls the tory majority an election catastrophe. The newspaper also has the story that tv presenter Caroline Flack has been charged with assault on her boyfriend. Tomorrows times has borisjohnsons message that it is time to let the healing begin, after the agonies of brexit. The guardian starts the countdown to brexit, with six weeks to go until the uk is due to leave the eu. And an occasional visitor to us here on the papers, the economist magazine, with borisjohnson striking a slightly less than churchillian victory pose. Lets churchillian victory pose. Start with the ft. A stonk mandate, lets start with the ft. A stonking mandate, is that a bigger majority than you were expecting . It is. I think it is a bigger majority than the vast majority were expecting. In my office sweepstake i went for a majority of 26 so i got it quite dreadfully wrong. Other people had a much bigger majority but none is big as 80. He did take a lot of people by surprise. I think the size of the conservative victory was a reflection of two things. One, the simplicity of the conservative message get brexit which worked with an electorate that was feeling brexit fatigued and at the idea of getting brexit done, as much as that might not be what happens, we will leave but there will be a long negotiating process. And the second factor was really how incredibly badly the labour party did and a lot of people close to the leadership are blaming it all on brexit and it was a factor but it was not everything. It was Jeremy Corbyns leadership, the manifesto, it was not credible on the doorstep and it conspired to give borisjohnson who after all went into this campaign as unpopular as theresa may with this majority that theresa may could never achieve. The leave vote was united and the remains vote was split. Absolutely. The brexit party featured nowhere. At one time it looked like they could have been a real threat to Boris Johnson. That moment when nigel farage ceased to become a National Party leader and tacitly implied you could vote for borisjohnson and tacitly implied you could vote for Boris Johnson and his tacitly implied you could vote for borisjohnson and his brexit deal and that is an acceptable outcome whereas before he was saying this is not really excellent. There was a question of whether they could have taken more seat if they had stood down. Some seeds had 80 brexit party votes. Down in north wales another of those examples. This overall number, in my office swe e psta ke overall number, in my office sweepsta ke i took overall number, in my office sweepstake i took 35 and that is because the poles tightened in the final couple of days. It went down to ten. Some went down to seven. But the thing that make we saw that a couple of years ago. Totally. What we may have missed in this election was this anger against Jeremy Corbyn. I spent hours in the north east of england where i grew up, listening to people and they consta ntly up, listening to people and they constantly just said that up, listening to people and they constantlyjust said that man would not be Prime Minister, over and over again. At some point during this campaign, the british electorate said borisjohnson is going to be the Prime Minister notJeremy Corbyn. There were a lot of undecided. 20 had not decided up to polling day. Which was very hard to predict. But they got behind mr johnson. The daily mail had, we did it. Borisjohnson johnson. The daily mail had, we did it. Boris johnson and johnson. The daily mail had, we did it. Borisjohnson and Carrie Symonds at the doorstep. What does he do now with this majority. It makes life a lot easier what changes in his attitude, the way he negotiate brexit . That is a really big question because of the tory ma nifesto question because of the tory manifesto was pretty thin. Apart from get brexit done, there was not a lot in it. What does this mean for the type of brexit that Boris Johnson goes for. Ironically, the fa ct johnson goes for. Ironically, the fact he has such a big majority, a majority of 80, bigger than people we re majority of 80, bigger than people were expecting, that actually wea ke ns were expecting, that actually weakens the hold that the eag, the ha rd weakens the hold that the eag, the hard right, have over borisjohnson. Er g. Hard right, have over borisjohnson. Er g. They had a big hold on David Cameron and theresa may because they did not have the majorities they needed. They have no hold over him now, really. They still have some ha rd now, really. They still have some hard but there are questions. He absolutely has a big majority. I suspect that what this means is that borisjohnson suspect that what this means is that Boris Johnson believes doing suspect that what this means is that borisjohnson believes doing what is right for his electorate and looking forward to 2024, knowing he does not have to be hold to the erg, he may go for a softer brexit. It will minimise the economic pain and a lot of his seeds are in manufacturing areas that will be hard hit by a ha rd areas that will be hard hit by a hard brexit and he does not want to be the Prime Minister on whose watch the Union Disintegrate and i think a soft brexit is a way of maximising the chances of keeping scotland in the chances of keeping scotland in the union but also, in particular, Northern Ireland. He says he will govern all of the people and is aware that a lot of labour voters lent their vote to him this time around but will he do that . The one nation tory . He will start off doing that because he has a huge amount of Political Capital and this election was big gamble. He could have got his brexit deal through parliament if he wanted to but the calculation was made in downing street that that this was the best way to get a mandate. If you listen to what Boris Johnson said today both the conservative party and in israeli this morning, he was staying at the conservative party needs to change. There is a whole new Political Landscape that. The whole electorate has now reoriented down the line. Labour was scott sitting on the fence which was pulled away. Labour was caught. In some respects it was about the referendum prospect as well. A lot of voters outside of london and the big cities, they identified people who wanted brexit done and when they looked at Jeremy Corbyn, did not fit in with that. The economists have that picture borisjohnson in this churchillian mode. Laughter inside they talk about the trump bifurcation of the tory party. I certainly think we saw it in the campaign. It would be very damaging if what they take away is putting out misinformation, made up figures, these fact cheques website saying these are not right. Trumpification. You see a Prime Minister refusing to go before the Liaison Committee after becoming Prime Minister, avoided the big interviews for example with andrew neil, and it will be very damaging if the take away from this campaign is going down quite a populist read, trumpification cover there is still scepticism that we will be having a final deal. But in the end, Jeremy Corbyn on a one to one, he was popular candidate. It was an effective campaign, no question but thatis effective campaign, no question but that is what is worrying. It was more effective at cutting through and, to be honest, if borisjohnson had faced a stronger opponent, he would not have got that majority he got last night. That was as much to do withJeremy Corbyn as with Boris Johnson. Both men are fairly unpopular, corbyn in particular but johnson was less popular than theresa may. Quite a start contract with theresa may in terms of campaigning. The more people saw of her, the less popular she was. We saw that withjo her, the less popular she was. We saw that with jo swinson in it her, the less popular she was. We saw that withjo swinson in it is campaign. Theresa may should take the credit for Boris Johnsons campaign and victory because the manifesto that he produced was a slim down, distilled version of what she put forward in 2017 stop this strategy of targeting the seat in the north and the midlands which traditionally voted labour was also her strategy and calling an election to get a mandate for brexit was her strategy. He took her playbook and did ita strategy. He took her playbook and did it a lot better. Johnson is a very good campaigner. When he was mayor of london, he won twice in a labour city, a city which has become more labour in this campaign. Yes, if you faced a better labour container, he may not have got an 80 seat majority but the fact he has a connection to the big party makes a very electable. The time, will he be a healing Prime Minister . Im sceptical. But we shall see we shall see. The red trick of the campaign was so divisive, them versus us campaign was so divisive, them versus us rhetoric. Campaign was so divisive, them versus us rhetoric. Crosstalk. He struck a much more unifying tone. Every Prime Minister does that. Theresa may stood on the steps of downing street and set i will be a Prime Ministerfor the downing street and set i will be a Prime Minister for the whole United Kingdom and that did not transpire if you look at wallace like the hostile environment and what happened with windrush. The thing borisjohnson will be looking to is 2024, thinking about his own re election prospects. And, quite frankly, we have seen ten years of cuts across the state, cuts to tax credits affect many voters in these new conservative seats, cuts are not just to schools and hospitals, but youth services, libraries, there is not a lot of undoing of that in the conservative manifesto. It really promises a bit of money for schools and hospitals and that is it. Police, police it just and hospitals and that is it. Police, police itjust puts felice minders back to where they were when the conservatives took over. It was a very thin manifesto and they wonder if we will see more in terms of spending from johnson as he looks forward to in 2024. Half of families with children are on a benefit like universal credit and it has become increasingly mean over the last ten yea rs. Increasingly mean over the last ten years. Another thing that is something the conservatives, if they wa nt to something the conservatives, if they want to hold onto the seeds, have any chance of holding onto the seats, i think it is something they will really have to look at and revisit. We will get a budget early next year. I think the scale of this majority means that budget could be much more radical than these sorts of things laid out in the manifesto, because you are right, the spending commitments, it has commitments were quite limited and it could push to something quite bigger. Though since they have one are going to want better public services, more left wing economics. There is a challenge therefore the Prime Minister. We will find out probably within the next year whether he can keep the coalition together and was the Labour Party Eventually re groups whether he can still attain his high polling lead. Top of the agenda is brexit. The guardian has next stop brexit. We have sort of touched on it already. What kind of brexit is going to be . We still dont really know, do we sell are we absolutely dont know for sure. What were doing right now is kind of speculating, looking at the size his majority and seeing what that means. Because i think borisjohnson is inclined to go for whatever helps him electorally, i dont think he was wedded to the brexit that he negotiated before the general election, the withdrawal deal, he knows that that withdrawal deal, inputting a body down the irish sea, would have very, very serious implications in Northern Ireland. A brexit with big economic costs, i think, would really sorta pave the way potentially for Scottish Independence as well. So i suspect we will see him go for something that sees us much more aligned to the eu than we might have done if we had been exiting with a smaller, with no majority. First of all, he wants this thing done quickly. He doesnt want brexit to dominate his whole time in downing street. The way to do it quickly is a deal to keep us closely aligned to the eu. But still allows trade deals with states and so on. There is a bit of an either or the. States and so on. There is a bit of an either orthe. United states and so on. There is a bit of an either or the. United states. The easier and more simple you want our trade deal to be with the eu, the more closely aligned we will be and the harder it becomes too sort of strike a deal with the us where you are doing things like watering down of food standards or giving us farmers more access, the ability to charge more for the nhs pharmaceuticals. Do we want to be aligned to the eu or do we want a low regulation economy more like the us . There is a question between goods and services here. There was an impetus to have a close alignment with the eu on goods, not least of all these new mps on seas that have Big Industrial bases that will want to maintain theirjust in time supply chains which are not going to be disrupted too much. But the conservatives are focused on having more flexibility on services, that is the bulk of the uk economy. It is where they see both opportunities for the city of london and technology and those kind of places where they are looking for future growth in the economy. That is why we think we will end up trying to strike a deal, a brexit deal here. When you have a majority of 80, the various different camps, we dont know where the centre of gravity of the new conservative pulmonary partiers. It is probably quite blase about what what britza looks like parliamentary party. I dont think punters will care too much about that. Let us talk about labour was not wet as it leave them . We know mr corbyn is going but not quite gone. We will take over the labour party . I think it is too early to speculate about that. Surely not we dont know who the candidates are. There will obviously be a corbyn anointed. Is that why he is sticking around . Anointed. Is that why he is sticking around . There is a lot of behind the scenes counters trying to work out what is best for them. Is it but they go for an early leadership election, a late leadership election, a late leadership election . Candidates. But surely corbyn and mcdonnell want to delay for a while to give them a chance to think about the succession and who they will anoint. There is more unpredictability in this then it may one appear. It is absolutely true that the far left controls the machinery of the labour party now. The nec, that is very significant. It did the end of the day this will be one member, one vote. The membership are incredibly supportive ofJeremy Corbyn. Hundreds of thousands of them joined the party to support him. At the same time, a lot of these people were out on the doorstep and being told, no, not Jeremy Corbyn. They do think if you have got a good. I think it is ha rd have got a good. I think it is hard for someone coming from the centre of the party. Who is there from the centre that could . Justin phillips, for example. I think she is an outstanding mp jess phillips. It is hard to see how she gets elected in a very corbyn centric membership. You could see a good good candidates coming through, wowing members at hustings and all ofa through, wowing members at hustings and all of a sudden they may not come through. There will be a big debate about where in the party this leader comes from and who do they represent . The labour party now is very london focused and other big metropolitan areas, the temptation may be to pick somebody represents a sort of new labour comfort zone. It was your tip . If labour had any senseit was your tip . If labour had any sense it would choose a northern woman to be its next leader. There are woman to be its next leader. There a re two woman to be its next leader. There are two to watch in this context. One is rebecca long bailey, the favourite of john one is rebecca long bailey, the favourite ofjohn mcdonnell. Anyone who has been too critical of the de lima corbyn is going to be in trouble when it comes to this election. I think the bigger chance for labour is all these people, i cant see any of them having a chance of getting borisjohnson next time. If you look at where labour is now, it is in a worse position than it was after its defeat in 1983. It took the party 14 years to get back into power after that. Four years as a long time in politics. These days it is. Labour could be. It would be huge if they came to an election victory after the defeat. They are talking about being out of power for a good decade. If you look at that electoral map that you have there, nearly the whole of england is conservative. The only part of the country that have held labour our cities. They lost to scotland, most of regional parts of the country, i cant see how you can win a majority without having to get back into those places where labour is totally kaput at the moment. And that takes us on very kaput at the moment. And that takes us on very neatly to scotland and the battle for the United Kingdom begins, says the i. That map you were just begins, says the i. That map you werejust mentioning, very, very blue england, and a very yellow scotland. What does it mean for the United Kingdom and its future . The future of the uk is looking more in the balance than it ever has. I think, you know, the snp did very well last night, increased its number of seats, Nicola Sturgeon now feels it is very clear she has a mandate for another independence referendum and she will be requesting one. Mrjohnson is not going to give her one. He has made it very clear he is not going to give scotland one right now. But there if there is evidence of a shift in opinion in scotland towards independent hood, if there is a hard brexit there is every chance they would be, it becomes very difficult for a Prime Minister in westminster to just keep saying no, sorry, for a Prime Minister in westminster tojust keep saying no, sorry, you dont get too self determined. Tojust keep saying no, sorry, you dont get too selfdetermined. You can dont get too selfdetermined. You ca n sto ke dont get too selfdetermined. You can stoke the resentment in scotland and then. You can boost and then look at. The situation in spain and catalonia is far, far down the line, but look at where it goes if a country or an area of a country that wa nts to country or an area of a country that wants to self determined, a nation in the case of scotland, and is told no, you just cant do it. They gets you into very toxic waters. The other big thing, of course, is Northern Ireland. And there is no question, i think, Northern Ireland. And there is no question, ithink, died Boris Johnsons withdrawal deal, as it stands, if we were to see a body down the irish sea that rides roughshod over the runcible of Cross Community concern in Northern Ireland was doubly good, over the long term, to a situation where you might be more likely to see irish reunification roughshod. |j might be more likely to see irish reunification roughshod. Ithink you borisjohnson leads into the concept of the union, which i think there is a good chance he will, there is a good chance he will, there is a good chance he will, there is the opportunity to quit a new settlement and keep the uk together. What it requires. The scottish question changes, fundamentally, once the country has left the eu, which will happen in six weeks time, that is a given now that he has won a big majority, for scotland and is you will not have the pound sterling, what currency would you have . The pound sterling, what currency would you have . Would you like a ha rd would you have . Would you like a hard border with england and leave the uk Single Market, which is much more important to scotland and the eu Single Market . And those questions are very, very problematic for dominic to Northern Ireland, as borisjohnsons britza deal for dominic to Northern Ireland, as Boris Johnsons britza deal stands now, there is an awful lot of detail that has not been without brexit. C the scotsman. The scotsman talks about the future. George osborne was saying last night, actually, on one of the election programmes, no Prime Minister wants to be the Prime Minister wants to be the Prime Minister who allowed the United Kingdom to break up, who allowed the referendum that would let scotland go. Is that psychologically part of what mrjohnson is thinking . They cannot allow a referendum eye would lose. I think George Osborne is right. No Prime Minister wants to be the Prime Minister on his watch the breakup of the United Kingdom occurs. I think what borisjohnson will be thinking, and this is why we will be thinking, and this is why we will see him tack to a softer brexit, but before the election he had to make a choice between delivering brexit and protecting the union, i think. Delivering brexit and protecting the union, ithink. And he made delivering brexit and protecting the union, i think. And he made it very clear, actually, he was willing to go for delivering brexit. Now he has got the bigger, more comfortable majority, that choice doesnt exist in quite the same way anymore. If he goes for a softer brexit where we are very goes for a softer brexit where we are very aligned to the eu, that helps protect the union. And i think the clash between borisjohnson and Nicola Sturgeon, as we see on the scotsman, is going to be the defining political story probably beef for the next couple of years. First of all there are the Holyrood Elections in 2021, that will be a flashpoint. I think there is next to no chance mrjohnson granting a referendum before that point. If the snp won a big majority in those elections, then the calculation may change a little bit. Nicola sturgeon has her own tobin is coming next year with the court case as well, which may have implications for the partys future as well. If you put all of that together, scotland is about to become very, very important once again in british politics. Arguably more important than what happens next with the labour party. Could you have you both with us. We have covered a lot of ground in the last 25 minutes. Thank you so much. Thank you for your company. That is it for the papers this evening. Dont forget you can see the front pages of the papers online on the bbc news website. Its all there for you 7 days a week at bbc. Co. Uk papers. And if you miss the programme any evening you can watch it later on bbc iplayer. A big thank you to my guests this evening, sonia and sebastian. Welcome to bbc news. Im ben bland. Our top stories borisjohnson is celebrating the biggest conservative victory in over 30 years. He now leads a government with a majority of 80 seats in the commons. Thank you for the trust you have placed in us and in me, and we will work round the clock to repay your trust, and to deliver on your priorities with a parliament that works for you. A very different story for labour, asJeremy Corbyn leads his party to its worst election performance since the 19305. He says he will stand down, but not yet. The responsible thing to do is not to walk away from the whole thing and i wont do that. I will stay here until there has been somebody elected