Transcripts For BBCNEWS BBC Newsroom Live 20171017

Its tuesday october the 17th im ben brown. Welcome to bbc newsroom live. Inflation has risen to its highest level in more than five years. The rate of inflation, as measured by the Consumer Prices index, increased to 3 last month, up from 2. 9 in august. The figure is significant because the government uses data from september to set pension and benefit increases. Our Business Correspondent ben bland is here. You are here to chew over these latest figures. What is behind this rise . When we talk about inflation, cpi, typically the things we spend oui cpi, typically the things we spend our money on like food, this figure relates to an average how those prices have gone up this september with a year before, and as we were talking about that figure was 3 , in pa rt talking about that figure was 3 , in part driven by food prices going up, transport cost going, but also as you mentioned the weak pound, after brexit, which affects Raw Materials and foods, imported, the prices you and foods, imported, the prices you an idea in the shops. What other implications of that . The big one is the septemberfigure, implications of that . The big one is the september figure, as you say, which this relates to and is used to set next years pensions and benefits increases, so it affects many people on that front it also tells you peoples purchasing power, so tells you peoples purchasing power, so when you set it against average wage increases, and the latest figures for those sure that average wages are going up by 2. 1 , even more in the public sector. If prices are going on average 3 it means wages are not keeping up with prices, so our money is just not going as far. Things are more expenses oui wages going as far. Things are more expenses oui wages more expensive and our wages expenses oui wages more expensive and oui wages are expenses oui wages more expensive and our wages are not meeting that. That is what people mean by the cost of living squeeze, an accusation often levelled at the government, that people suffering that are not getting help. We have a statement from the treasury. We understand that families are feeling the effects of inflation and we are helping them with their living costs. Weve frozen fuel duty, doubled Free Childcare for nearly 400,000 working parents and cut income tax for 30 million people. Increases to the National Living wage are also delivering the fastest pay rise for the lowest paid in 20 years. Of course the other reason the inflation figure is watched very carefully, it is one of the things the bank of englands Monetary Policy looks at with Interest Rates. Their next meeting is in november and if inflation is higher than the target, which it is, the target is 296, target, which it is, the target is 2 , and we are looking at 3 here, it means they might be inclined to put up Interest Rates to try to control prices and help people with that cost of living squeeze. Of course, the danger of that is if they put up Interest Rates peoples borrowing costs go up so that means higher mortgage repayments, borrowing costs on credit cards and things like that, so what people gain on one hand they will feel the squeeze from on the other. Do you think we are on a continuing upward trajectory when it comes to inflation . It does not seem that long ago that we had relatively low inflation and people thought we in fa ct inflation and people thought we in fact might be risking deflation, but will we keep on going up . That is the question. Some economists believe inflation will hit a peak at some point towards the end of next year. Some are saying it will be premature to put up Interest Rates because this will kind of level off and peak at some point and it wont continue going up. Of course, the fear is that, as some people remember, if prices do start getting higher and higher, it remember, if prices do start getting higherand higher, it puts remember, if prices do start getting higher and higher, it puts that squeeze on people and the cost of living squeeze is felt by more people more sharply. Ben, thank you very much for being with us, ben bland, our Business Correspondent. European Affairs Ministers from across the eu are meeting today to discuss the brexit negotiations. Last night, Commission President Jean Claude Juncker and the Prime Minister theresa may agreed on the need to accelerate the pace of brexit talks. The process remains deadlocked on the issue of britains divorce bill. The eus chief brexit negotiator has ruled out talks on a future trade deal until more details about the financial settlement are agreed. Progress is due to be assessed by eu leaders on friday, during a summit in brussels. We can speak to our brussels reporter adam fleming. He is in luxembourg for us this morning. Adam, the top of this needs to accelerate the talks, which we heard last night, not sure exactly what that means accelerate quite how fast . The talk of the need. A few problems with our link to luxembourg, im afraid, but we will be back with a adam as soon as we can. Sorry about that. Police recorded hate crimes in england and wales have increased by 29 in 2016 to 2017 compared to the previous year. Just over 62,000 hate crimes were recorded between 2015 16 which went up to 80,393 offences recorded by the police between 2016 and 2017 thats the largest percentage increase seen since the records began six years ago. The university of sussex say that a new hate crime act is needed to tackle what theyre calling a vast justice gap. Lets talk to dr mark walters, a reader in criminal law and criminaljustice at the university. How worried are you buy this increase in recorded hate crime . |j am increase in recorded hate crime . am certainly not surprised about the large increase in hate crime. Through the research we have been doing at the university of sussex that certainly concurs with what we have found. 0ver that certainly concurs with what we have found. Over the last 2a months we have been looking at how hate crime lows are being applied in practice, and we have been interviewing judges, prosecutors, police officers, and what we have found hate crime laws. Without last year there was an estimated hundred and 10,000 hate crimes reported to the police, but out of that just over 4000 cases reported to the police, but out of thatjust over 4000 cases resulted ina thatjust over 4000 cases resulted in a conviction 4000 out of 110,000 hate crimes. And their sentence uplift. That represents just 4 of the estimated reported hate crimes in england and wales, saw a really fast justice gap hate crimes in england and wales, saw a really fastjustice gap they are, meaning approximately about 96 of cases are dropping out of the system. When we talk about hate crime, just give examples of what we mean. So there are all sorts of different types of hate crime. Five characteristics, race, religion, disability, Sexual Orientation and transgender identity, and normally hate crime would be where somebody is targeted because of prejudice or hostility directed towards one or more of their characteristics. For example, it could be a racially aggravated assault. And you have suggested the need for legislation on this then, really . Can you explain what you would like to see . The five characteristics are not treated equally in law. The law is very fragmented, developed in a very piecemeal way, so you have specific aggravated offences in criminal law, such as racially religiously aggravated assault, but other types of hate crime are treated differently in law which has led to a lot of confusion, a lack of awareness of what provisions apply, and so you find that some hate crimes might be treated more seriously than other types of hate crime, depending on the characteristic of the victim. We are calling for a new hate crime act that would equalise the protection so that would equalise the protection so that all five are treated equally in law, those protected characteristics, so all are treated as seriously as each other, all kinds of hate crime. Good to talk to you. Thank you, doctor mark walters, from the university of you. University of sussex, thank you. The Iraqi Government says it has secured complete control of the Northern City of kirkuk from kurdish militias, and is calling on those who fled the city on monday to return. Government troops seized the city three weeks after iraqi kurds voted in a disputed independence referendum to separate from iraq. Kurdish forces are said to have withdrawn from another town, sinjar, allowing troops from a militia backed by the government in baghdad, to take over. A deal has been struck which it is hoped will help safeguard 4000 jobs at the bombardier aircraft factory in Northern Ireland. The european manufacturer airbus has taken a stake in bombardiers c series jet, which has wings built in belfast. The deal would allow some of the planes to be assembled at an airbus plant in alabama, thus avoiding large import duties which the us authorities have threatened to impose on the c series. The business secretary greg clark says the deal is a positive step forward. Weve been announcing today an upgrade of the powers that we have the scrutinise overseas investments, to make sure that they dont pose a threat to our National Security. In particular smaller firms that make components that can be embedded in systems that can allow Hostile Forces to disrupt our defence system or our National Infrastructure previously have not been able to be screened from our National Security point of view. Through these proposals we will be able to look at them and eitherto proposals we will be able to look at them and either to block them if they are a threat, or to make sure that there are steps taken to remove that there are steps taken to remove that threat. Given the context of brexit, does not run the risk of making the uk appear more inward looking . Well, we are a fantastic destination for overseas investment. We are the third biggest source of overseas investment coming into this country in the world, second only to the United States in china and china in this, and we want to continue to be a home for overseas investment, but to do so you need to keep your systems up to date. A huge clear up operation is taking place across ireland, following the damage caused by storm 0phelia yesterday, as the storm continues to make its way across the uk. The centre of the storm hit the south coast of ireland late yesterday morning, before moving up the country with the west coast bearing the brunt. The storm passed over and scotland, gradually weakening, before it passes over the uk this afternoon. In the Irish Republic, three people were killed in winds gusting up to 100 miles an hour. 245,000 homes remain without power. The countrys electricity network, esb, said it could ten days for some before their power is restored. There are also Power Outages across the uk, in Northern Ireland, wales and scotland. 0ur correspondent chris page is in county londonderry, and has the latest. Things are getting calmer all the time, actually. Now were just down to a bit of a breeze and some light rain, thankfully it looks like the worst of storm storm 0phelia has passed. It was a completely different story yesterday on the north coast of Northern Ireland and across ireland we were being buffeted by winds. Really very unpleasant indeed. Now, the focus today will turn on the clear up operation in Northern Ireland. Schools are getting another day off. Some parents have questioned that, wondering whether it is necessary. But the reasons officials have given for closing schools again today is, firstly, getting children to and from school might still be difficult because roads are hazardous, with fallen trees, electricity poles down as well. And also schools need to inspect their own premises to see if theres any damage from the storm, and will need time to do that. So schools and further education colleges in Northern Ireland will be closed, and thats the same in the Irish Republic which bore the brunt of storm 0phelia, the forecasters had warned it was likely to be the worst storm to the island of ireland in a century, violent, destructive and potentially life threatening. Unfortunately that proved to be the case. Three people were killed as a result of the storm in the Irish Republic, two when a tree fell on their car, and man died in a chainsaw accident trying to remove a fallen tree. So it has been a sad 24 hours in the Irish Republic. Also, still tens of thousands of people there without power. And restoring electricity to their homes could take days, we are told. That was chris page reporting there. We can go to mark carney, the bank of england governor, speaking about those changes following the inflation figures coming out. Those changes following the inflation figures coming outm those changes following the inflation figures coming out. It is not the principal instrument for financial stability, so focus on, and this is one of the lessons in the run up to the crisis, that a Healthy Focus on price stability became a somewhat dangerous distraction, a distraction away from issues of financial stability, so the reforms that brought in the other responsibilities for the bank of england around the financial sector, financial safety and soundness, they have been complementary to the inflation target in that aspect of independence. Those two points bring me the broader point, which is that what is crucial is that we focus on what is crucial is that we focus on what the bank can and cannot do. It can contribute to price stability, financial stability. 0ur principal targets. 0ur actions have implications for other variables in the economy, outcomes in the economy, but those are not the objectives of the bank. So whilst we can contribute to an understanding of those, we are neither empowered, and nor should we be, to swing those policy leaders around to try to achieve for example the distributional outcomes. We have very little impact on productivity over the long run. Except for the contribution of if we get it wrong and we can be detrimental to productivity, but we. I would summarise by saying that we are not the determinants of long run prosperity in the united kingdom. We provide some of the important foundations for that, but the key determinants, certainly from a policy perspective, are determined by yourself and your colleagues in parliament. I wanted to turn to look at inflation now, which obviously is in the news this morning. You spoke in youropening in the news this morning. You spoke in your opening remarks in september, you said high inflation hurts the least well off in society, at most it disturbs price signals, damages the economys productive capacity, but he went on to say that inflation perils growth and employment and can lead to economic collapse. This morning since the committee started we have obviously at the latest september cpi figure which has reached 3 , so it means you are now 0. 1 away from having to write to the chancellor to explain the deviation from the target and that will be your ninth letter for target breaches, so do you think the bank is doing enough keep inflation to target . Do you think you will be writing another letter soon, and if so writing another letter soon, and if so what will you be saying in that letter . The first thing, particularly the second part of your question first, i think it is more likely than not that i will be writing on behalf of the nbc letter to the chancellor. We expect inflation will peak in and around the novemberfigures, inflation will peak in and around the november figures, so inflation will peak in and around the novemberfigures, so will be peaking potentially above the 3 level. I think we can take a step back and look at why previous letters have been written since my time on the committee. Recognising that the initial phase of my time on the committee, i will have inherited the committee, i will have inherited the very good decisions made by the person prior to my arrival, so as you know there are lights in monetary policies of the outcomes in your first year monetary policies of the outcomes in yourfirst year or so are monetary policies of the outcomes in your first year or so are largely determined by previous decisions there are lags in monetary policies. Previously, in the run up, in 2014 2015, there was a very strong run up in sterling, and very low, the level affects on a variety of Energy Prices which flowed through, so these are shocks that the bank can choose to look through, and it has to justify why it would do that, and the justifications are something we can go into if you want, and they are detailed not just can go into if you want, and they are detailed notjust in the Inflation Report but in the letters written to the chancellor. The inflation rising potentially above the 3 level in coming months is something we have anticipated. We had signalled in fact prior to the referendum that we felt in the event of being a vote to leave one of the adjustments would be to sterling, we said we expected it to fall sharply, and it did. That passage through the prices. In fact the uk has one of the highest rates to Consumer Prices in advanced economies, in part because it is a very open economy but there are other reasons behind that. As a consequence, we faced a trade off, and we still do, between having inflation above target and the need to support, the desirability, getting to your second objective, supporting jobs and activity. Can i make one other point . I and activity. Can i make one other point . Iand back activity. Can i make one other point . I and back then and not go on. What matters is that inflation. I am under pressure, the nature not only that questions are short but answers are short too. Laughter i understand you have other business. The point is when we look at that trade off, and i am sure we will get into this, of course it is over the policy rise, and the initial rise, the spike in inflation, there is not much Monetary Policy can do about that. 0il Monetary Policy can do about that. Oil prices have gone up recently. There is not much we can do about that. But what we have to look at is inflation and output, 18, 24, 36 months out, and that is where we focus our attention because Monetary Policy can definitely affected nominal variables and very real variables at that horizon in jobs and growth, and that is the trade off we are looking at as a committee in looking at the right policy going forward. committee in looking at the right policy going forward. I know colleagues will have detailed questions on Monetary Policy sol will not go on too long, but you spoke about inflation peaking in october, and others have said the same thing. What is it at the moment that leads you to think october may bea that leads you to think october may be a peak and that we may see a reduction towards the end of the year . 0r reduction towards the end of the year . Or is it possible to see that yet . We will have an updated forecast in the first week of november so we will give our update then. We have just november so we will give our update then. We havejust started november so we will give our update then. We have just started that process now, but the principal reason is because the main reason in fa ct, reason is because the main reason in fact, the sole reason, by inflation has gone up as much as it has, has been the depreciation of sterling. From past history, past experience, we have a sense of the time part of that into inflation, and once you roll forward from the initial big depreciation the sense of the time pass. The point i do want to make andi time pass. The point i do want to make and i will finish on, in general if you think about the Exchange Rate move in the united kingdom, think broadbrush, 40 of the move in the first year, 40 in the move in the first year, 40 in the second and 20 in the third, and that last bit is relevant, because if you have a very big move in the currency, which we have had, you still have an effect on the third year, in other words something pushing up, and in previous forecasts including the best one, it has been keeping inflation above target, even out at year three. Thank you. I wanted to ask you about a story. Studio we will leave the governor of the bank of england they are, mark carney, answering questions at the Treasury Select Committee on the morning we have heard inflation has had 3 , its highest level in more than three years, driven partly by the fall in the pound, and also increases in transport and food prices. I told you earlier about european Affairs Ministers meeting today to discuss the brexit negotiations. Last nightJean Claude Juncker the Commission President met theresa may, and they agreed on the need to accelerate the brexit talks. Lets return to adam fleming in luxembourg, and i hope we have a better line to your right now, adam. This agreement on the need to accelerate the top, what exactly does that mean . Do we have any idea . Accelerate the talks. Does that mean . Do we have any idea . Accelerate the talks. The need for speed is not something particularly felt by ministers here in luxembourg, because they are in their very formal Brexit Process continuing in the speed it was a lwa ys continuing in the speed it was always continuing at. So we had the talks with the eu chief negotiator michel barnier, and he will be here in aboutan michel barnier, and he will be here in about an hours time, he will brief the leaders on the 27 remaining Member States about how. Going and have gone, then those ministers will have a discussion about the draft text to be put in front of the eu leaders when they discuss brexit at a summit on friday inafew discuss brexit at a summit on friday in a few deis time. As they arrived this morning they were all sticking to the script, which in their view is that the Prime Ministers florence speech was helpful for the tone of the process, constructive and warm words, but there has not been enough progress in the actual technical talks in issues like citizens writes, the rates of eu nationals wanting to stay in the uk, and also the uks financial obligations Citizens Rights and the rights of eu nationals wanting to stay in the uk. They want to move on to the third phase about trade, the future and financial talks. That is where we are. No acceleration in the discussions on the eu side of the discussions on the eu side of the equation at the moment. And are the equation at the moment. And are the other 27 genuinely united in that stands, do you think . There has been some comment that some perhaps would like to see quicker progress, that perhaps it is germany, angela merkel, who is saying, lets not rush things . I didnt get a chance to speak to the german minister on the way to the meeting today. They managed to escape our cameras, but an interesting point. The ministers on the red carpet today were seeing the 27 were united, behind michel barnier, the process and the criteria they have set up. You could sort of detect little different su btexts sort of detect little different subtexts the ministers had, some pointing out they have a closer relationship with the uk than other countries do so therefore perhaps they are a bit more invested in the idea of progress being a little bit quicker, and how that is manifesting itself is very much behind closed doors. You are the odd whisper about certain groups of countries wanting to write this text that you leaders will discuss on friday in a slightly more tougher way on the uk, while others are being slightly more optimistic, wanting progress a little quicker. So for those tensions have really remained behind closed doors, and i suppose we will see the end product of that behind the scenes wrangling is at that summit on friday. One last point about unity. The European Affairs ministerfrom last point about unity. The European Affairs minister from finland, last point about unity. The European Affairs ministerfrom finland, not necessarily a household name, he said the us he thought the eu where the united once and that it was the british cabinet that was disunited and that that made it actually quite difficult to know what the uk wanted out of the negotiation process and that was effectively the brexit negotiations. Adam, thank you. All about texts and subtexts. Adam fleming there from luxembourg. After 33 years, the bbc has confirmed its going to drop the night time version of crimewatch. Instead, it says it will increase the number of episodes it makes of the rimewatch roadshow which will be broadcast during the day. Keith doyle reports. This is about real life crime, not the stuff of fiction. Its been a cornerstone of the bbc schedule since it was first broadcast in 1984, reconstructing crimes and appealing for public help. First hosted by nick ross, some of the bbcs biggest names have fronted the show, including jill dando. Real crime cctv footage and mugshots of britains most wanted got the publics assistance, and crimewatch helped bring many criminals tojustice, including the killers ofjames bulger, and michael sams, who murdered julie dart first hosted by nick ross, some of the bbcs biggest names have fronted the show, including jill dando. Five arrests in this last month, all as a direct result of viewers calls. Her murder in 1999 also becoming a crimewatch appeal. Real crime cctv footage and mugshots of britains most wanted got the publics assistance, and crimewatch helped bring many criminals tojustice, including the killers ofjames bulger, and michael sams, who murdered julie dart and kidnapped stephanie slater. It also helped reunite people with lost possessions, notably this rare stradivarius violin. It is 300 years old and worth £1. 2 million. Recently it has been hosted byjeremy vine, but it is thought falling ratings have taken it off prime time. Instead, the bbc says it will make more crimewatch road shows for daytime, where there might be less need for its trademark sign off. Meanwhile, dont have nightmares. From crimewatch to weather watch, here are the latest details. Yes, storm ophelia gave a lot of disruption but is now moving out into the seas, solicitors and is improving. You will notice that i of ours are still close together in the north of the uk. Still breezy conditions in scotland, the north east of england, but those wins are easing away and this afternoon is really much quieter. Lots of sunshine across the uk you will notice that those isobars are still close together. Maximum temperature is getting down to about 1317d. Temperature is getting down to about 13 17d. Through this evening that rain across the south is edging a little further northward and wednesday will be quite cloudy across england and wales. Some outbreaks of cloud and patchy rain to the day. Best of the sunshine in northern areas. The cloud will increase later in the afternoon. Temperatures are really where they should be for this time of year. That is it from me. Goodbye. This is bbc news. Our latest headlines the uks key inflation rate climbed to 3 in september, its highest for more than five years. The number of hate crimes recorded by police has increased by 29 since last year, the largest annual rise since records began. Storm ophelia sweeps across scotland and the north of england, with thousands of homes left without power in scotland, wales and Northern Ireland. The business secretary has welcomed the deal for airbus to buy a majority stake in bombardiers c series aircraft programme. Councils are spending thousands of pounds buying Homeless People one way train tickets out of the area. Time now for the sports news. Warren gatland says he wont coach the lions again. He led them to a series win against australia and a drawn series against new zealand this summer, but he says, i hated the tour, and all the negativity from the press and the personal criticsm, and he wont put himself through it again. He also said he was really hurt by sean obriens comments. The irish forward played in all three tests, but says the coaching wasnt up to scratch, and they should have won the series 3 0. Anthonyjoshua has a new opponent for his heavyweight title fight in cardiff a week on saturday. The bulgarian kubrat pulev has pulled out, after hurting his shoulder in training. Over 70,000 tickets have been sold for the fight under the roof at the principlaity stadium. Cameroonian born carlos takam, who is based in france, will now challenge for the ibf and wba belts. Itll be joshuas first fight since april when he stopped Wladimir Klitschko at wembley. In the next hour and half, or so, Northern Ireland will find out who they have to beat to get the world cup in russia next summer. The play off draw is made just after one oclock in zurich. It involves eight runners up from the qualifying groups. Michael oneills side will be among the unseeded teams for the draw that means they will face either italy, denmark, switzerland or croatia. It isa it is a little bit nerve racking as well. We hope it is going to be a difficult game however we play but there are teams you would rather avoid, as opposed to some you would rather play. But it is exciting, a great position to be in, we have come through the group and to finish second place behind the germans. All along, our world cup starts in november, this draw will be crucial, obviously. The Champions League is back. And what a night in madrid. Tottenham up against real madrid, the 12 times winners and reigning champions. Both teams have won two out of two so far. Zinedine zidane, the real maanger, has hailed spurs harry kane as a complete player. He scored 15 for club and country last month. Even with kane on form, its going to be a difficult night. It is always difficult to play but in the Champions League, it is a lwa ys in the Champions League, it is always special. It is a big club in the condition. You feel when you come here, you start to feel the reality of football. It is exciting. Sergio aguero could return to the Manchester City starting line up tonight, for their match at home to napoli. He was on the bench against stoke on saturday, just over two weeks breaking ribs in a car accident. Liverpool face a must win game away to maribor in slovenia, after drawing their opening two group matches. Its the first time the sides have met competitvely, and liverpool managerjurgen klopp has told his side they must be confident and brave to come away with the points. Theres been a good start to the day for britains heather watson. Shes through to the second round of the luxembourg open, after beating the belgian Yanina Wickmayer in straight sets. Watson is ranked 81st in the world. Tiger woods has been cleared by his doctor to hit golf shots at full power, as he continues to recover from back surgery. The 14 time major winner has had four operations in three years, the most recent of them in april. He said, last month, he may never return to competitive golf, but he posted a video on twitter at the weekend, showing him hitting a driver, with the caption making progress. His agent says hes going to take it very, very slowly. Thats all the sport for now. Ill have more for you in the next hour. An bbc investigation has found that several councils in england are regularly buying one way train tickets to transfer Homeless People out of their area. More than £1,000 a year was spent by some councils on what are described as reconnection tickets. The strategy can be used to put rough sleepers back in touch with theirfamilies, but one man has said he was offered a ticket to a city he had never been to before. Anna collinson reports. Right now im taking you through the park to the place where i used to stay every single night on the streets. Mhairi developed post natal depression after giving birth a few years ago. While her parents took care of her son, the 22 year Olds Mental Health deteriorated. This is it. This is where i stayed for four weeks. Eventually, she ran out of places to stay and felt too ashamed to ask for help. So, one dark night, she bundled up a duvet and a sleeping bag and tried to sleep here. You dont know whos watching you. You dont if youre going to get up in the morning safe. This is a very dodgy area. This park is so secluded, its absolutely mad. Anything can happen. One night every autumn, local authorities in england count how many people are sleeping rough. Last year, there were more than 4,000 a 130 rise in six years. Some charities are sceptical about how the data is collected because councils can choose to enter an estimate if they prefer. In 2016, large cities featured prominently in the 20 areas with the worst problem. But not too far behind was a seaside town, with a population of 180,000, where homelessness has trebled since 2010. When we told people in bournemouth the town had 39 rough sleepers, they laughed and said it was at least 100, if not more. This is a really popular place for Homeless People to hang out, particularly at night. But in 2015, the council started playing loud music like bagpipes and alvin and the chipmunks. They said it was to stop anti social behaviour. It used to be played all night and then in other certain places, they have this high pitched sound, beep, beep, beep, all night. Then it emerged the council were buying Homeless People train tickets. But there was a condition. They were one way. The idea being they could send people back to where they came from. Bournemouth council repeatedly refused to be interviewed but say they only offer the so called reconnection policy to rough sleepers who arent local to the area. But Gareth Glendall Pickton claims he was still offered a one way ticket to manchester. It made me feel sick because ive lived here all my life, you know. So what they want to try and do is get all the Homeless People out of bournemouth because they see it as it is making bournemouth a bad place. The homeless reduction act is due to become active in april. The government says it will place greater legal responsibility on councils to stop all people from becoming homeless, notjust ones with a priority need. When jobs find out you live in a hostel, they dont want to take you because its not worth the risk to them. Theyd rather have someone with a permanent roof over their head who they believe they can trust more, who wasnt ever made homeless or whatever. More than 1,000 people have taken part in a vigil in malta for a journalist murdered yesterday by a powerful car bomb. Daphne ca ruana galizia highlighted alleged corruption by senior politicians, including maltas Prime Minister who has denied any wrongdoing and condemned her murder. Portugal has begun a period of three days of National Mourning for the 36 People Killed in wildfires that have devastated parts of the country. Fire fighters continue to tackle a number of blazes in central and northern portugal, although rains have eased the situation in some areas. Alison roberts reports from lisbon. With more than 660 separate blazes starting over two days, portugals Fire Fighters were stretched to the limit and beyond. In many areas, residents had to fend for themselves, and choose between protecting their property, or fleeing for their lives. Even some of those who did flee ran into terrible trouble. With up to 6,000 Fire Fighters on the ground during the day on monday, most of the blazes were gradually brought under control, even as the number of dead rose steadily. Paying homage to the victims in this terrible year for fires, portugals Prime Minister called for a Cross Party Consensus to ensure, in his words, nothing will stay the same. Translation we are aware that the country demands rapid results, after decades of forest disorganisation. We cannot deceive the portuguese by promising immediate results. But we do not fear the challenges, and we find in this National Requirement a motivation to collectively overcome this battle. Over the border in North Western spain, in galicia, deadly forest fires also raged. There, local officials blamed arsonists for the repeated outbreaks. In portugal, too, locals suspect arson in many cases. Prosecutors have opened investigations in several areas. The country has begun three days of National Mourning. Meanwhile, the survivors are counting the cost, and wondering how they can rebuild their lives. Alison roberts, bbc news, lisbon. An analysis of proposals to re draw the map of parliamentary constituencies across britain suggests that the conservatives could have won an overall majority, if the plans had been in place for the election in june. 00v the proposals, being published by the three Boundary Commissions for england, scotland and wales, are designed to even out the numbers of voters in each seat. The overall number of mps in the commons would be reduced from 650 to 600. In australia, a new tool is being deployed to try to keep swimmers and surfers safe from the risk of shark attack. Specially fitted drones are being used along the coast of new south wales, providing early shark warnings. Hywel griffith has been to see them in action. A shadow in the sea, or something more sinister . From the beach, its hard to tell, but from the skies, the drone has a clearer view. It feeds into deep learning software, which its claimed has a 92 success rate in spotting sharks, as well as less threatening species. Every time it sees a dolphin, whale or a swimmer in distress, it learns their shape. Launched along the beaches of new south wales, the drones can patrol for 40 minutes. Daniel was one of the first to train as a life saver pilot. I cant physically run out and grab a board and paddle out and save someone, but sitting on the beach, weve got eyes in the sky and were just another layer of protection, really. The drones dont only observe, they can react too, dropping an inflatable device to help people in the sea. They wont replace the use of controversial shark nets and drum lines, however, which some claim do more harm than good. Last year, around australia, there were 17 unprovoked shark attacks. The number isnt that high compared to how many people enter these waters, but its a national preoccupation the question of how to share the beaches between the human beings and the sea life. When this great white washed onto sydneys shores recently, it was welcomed and christened fluffy. Not Everyone Wants to get so close, even if the chances of an attack are minimal. Its a human, innate fear of being attacked by a wild animal. But the risk to people that are entering the water, it rates so low on the scale as opposed to all other threats of going about your daily life. Traffic and cars and bee stings, all of those statistics. And for regulars in these waters, its all part of the experience. I was actually swimming here once at the back, i was six months pregnant and there was a shark alarm. I did freak out a bit if im going to die, id prefer to be taken by a shark than have a stroke and end up in a nursing home. The drones wont be on every beach every day, but they should give everyone a better understanding of whats down below. Hywel griffith, bbc news, sydney. In a moment, a summary of the Business News this hour. But first. The headlines on bbc newsroom live. Inflation hits 3 , its highest level in more than five years, driven partly by the fall in the pound and increases in transport and food prices. The number of hate crimes recorded in the past year in england and wales has risen by 29 since last year, with the biggest rise being seen in disability and tra nsgender hate crimes. European Aerospace Firm airbus partners with bombardiers c series aircraft programme, potentially boosting job prospects at its belfast factory where1,000 people are employed. The Business News now. Inflation has reached its highest point in more than five years. The Consumer Prices index rose to 3 last month, up from 2. 9 in august. The government uses data from september to set pension and benefit increases. European Aerospace Firm airbus is to take a majority stake in bombardiers c series jet project. Bombardier has faced a series of problems over the plane, most recently, a trade dispute in the us that imposed a 300 import tariff. Bombardiers Northern Irelands director michael ryan said private sector employer. Online fashion retailer asos has reported a 145 increase in profits. International sales were up by nearly half, as the firm cut its prices in response to heightened competition. Lets go back to that news about the inflation rate. Its hit 3 , the highest level since 2012. And that means a real squeeze on Household Budgets because wages are simply not keeping up with prices rises. Joining me now is jane foley, senior economist at rabobank. Do you think the case for a rate rise from the bank of england next month is more likely now . What is behind this . If we look at the breakdown, the ons talks about food prices. If you look more deeply, we have to look at the Exchange Rate, and the bank of england governor has said several times that the push up on inflation is almost universally because of the fall in sterling, which happened after the brexit referendum injune last. We are still looking at an Exchange Rate around 14 weaker against the euros, 9 weaker against the dollar. What we have in the economy is that impact last year takes time to push through. The good news is it. To fall out of the index in the next few months so by the end of the inflation should bea by the end of the inflation should be a little lower. What does this mean for rising Interest Rates . Now, the market is of the view the bank of england will hike Interest Rates by a quarter of 1 in their november beating. Not that we need an Interest Rate hike, many will say the economy is too weak, growth is faltering. The reason is the members of the mpc have come at indicating they stand ready to hike rates. I think that is because they want to stabilise the pound, stop and uncomfortable spiral of inflation coming through if sterling continues to falter. The pound is still vulnerable to political uncertainty. That is related to the ongoing brexit negotiations. Briefly, some voices in business are saying we have a fragile recovery, still trying to negotiate what is happening with brexit, this is not the time to put rates up. That is white, economists do think that. If we look at the consumer, his real come left after his real income after the inflation increases, are less. He is poorer as a consequence, which impacts on demand and consumption. Investment is faltering under political uncertainty. The outlook for the economy is weaker. It seems the bank of england has it in its head it needs to stabilise the pound. The question is will it work . In other news. House prices across the uk rose by 5 in the year to august, taking the average price of a property to £226,000. Thats according to officialfigures. Separately, a bbc analysis has revealed house prices in more than half of neighbourhoods in england and wales are still lower in real terms than a decade ago. Sales are up at the big four supermarkets for the last quarter. But they have all seen a decrease in market share to smaller operators. Morrisons performed best with sales up by 2. 8 , followed by tesco with a 2. 1 increase, according to ka ntar world panel. Aldi and lidl collectively accounted for half of the entire markets overall growth, and had increased sales of 13. 4 and 16 respectively. Model train maker hornby has again warned over full year profits and said its performance for the year to date has been below expectations. It says, this, along with a new strategy of no longer offering large quantities of stock at a discount, means the shortfall is unlikely to be recouped in the current year. Interim chairman david adams is to step down from the board to take up another appointment. The pound is up slightly against the dollar at 1. 3276, after official figures showed cpi inflation at 3 in september. It dipped briefly after the uk inflation data came out broadly in line with forecasts. Merlin shares in Merlin Entertainments have dropped over 20 , after this mornings Trading Update which showed flat like for like sales. The companys blaming terrorist incidents and the weather. In common with many other uk house builders, bellway is being given a bit of a leg up by the governments ongoing help to buy scheme. It says profit before tax jumped 12. 6 to £560. 7m in the year ended 31 july. Help to buy was used in 35 of its sales, bellway says. More economic news, the oecd, its latest Economic Survey is just out. It is actually saying that a second referendum that would reverse brexit would have a positive and Significant Impact on the uk economy. Which it says is on track to be crippled by its eu divorce. Lets go to our assistant Political Editor norman smith whos at westminster brexiteers will be horrified, saying it isa brexiteers will be horrified, saying it is a pessimist talking. Highly politically charged from the oecd, the suggestion there would be a significant boost to the british economy were we able to reverse the brexit boat and remain in the eu. If couples that with a clear warning from its analysis that brexit will meana from its analysis that brexit will mean a further slowdown in growth. It will fall back to 1 it suggests next year. That there will be a further weakening in Business Investment, and in consumer spending. And it paints an even darker picture, should the deal be possible and should we leave the eu without any trading arrangement, it then suggests the pound could fall to new lows. This on the very day we have had inflationary figures creeping up to 3 and all that entails in terms of pressure on families. Particularly as pointed out by some mps, on the families on benefits. They have their benefits frozen at the moment, at the same time as inflation and the cost of living keeps going up. This is a very charged intervention by the oecd. It makes no commentary on the likelihood of a second referendum to reverse the brexit boat. For me, i think that is a remote possibility at the moment, even when you talk to leading remainders, none is seriously canvassing the idea of a second referendum. Their efforts seem to be going into trying to limit the damage as they see it from brexit and in particular to avoid a no deal scenario. At a time when the economy is slowing, when mrs may is in deadlock brexit the gauche oceans, to have the oecd saying in effect you know what would the best thing be to do, overturn brexit in deadlock brexit negotiations. No doubt, better days will be questioning the credibility of the oecd and its track record. I have some memory during the referendum campaign, the oecd was sounding similar warnings, suggesting for example that leaving the eu would amount to one months extra tax being paid by british voters. They do have a track record when sounding warning bells about the impact of leaving the eu. What will be the political impact of this morning, then, at westminster, what will mps make of it . Two things follow. One is, it will again focused attention on the issue of no deal. That really is moving into the headlights pretty quickly now. There is a view amongst tory brexiteers that, if the european leaders are not willing to move onto trade talks at the latest by december, then mrs may should pull stumps, walk off the pitch, and go with no deal. That is coming to the centre of the debate. The other side, if we do get movement from the eu, it will sharpen the debate around the single market, and how far we have to consider may be retaining preferential access to the single market, even membership, because of the potential economic ramifications. It raises those fundamental questions about the implications to the british economy from brexit, albeit, i have no doubt rested will say, once we are outside the eu, we can negotiate new trade deals, these other parts of the world growing, we have a chance to boost exports. In other words, this isa boost exports. In other words, this is a pessimistic scenario painted by the oecd, one which they have made before. Ina way, before. In a way, it is a familiar argument, but has added salience because of the possibility now of no deal, and the possibility now of no deal, and the sense the clock is really taking on whether we can move on to a trade agreement or not. For the moment, thanks you very much. This is the scene where that News Conference with the oecd is about to get underway. We will bring it to you when it does. To remind you what they are saying, the oecd, as we heard from norman smith, the latest uk Economic Survey projecting Economic Growth ofjust 196 projecting Economic Growth ofjust 1 in 2018. Saying the uncertainty of brexit negotiations is likely to leave the uk without a Free Trade Agreement with the eu, but its official exit date of 2019. And a second referendum that reverses brexit would have a positive and Significant Impact on the uk economy. Much more in a minute. Now, storm ophelia yesterday caused damage across many parts of the uk. You can see the track of the storm through the night, moving up into scotland, currently off the coast of the far north east of scotland. Things should gradually improve. Notice from the isobars, still close together, strong winds this morning, particularly in the south east of scotla nd particularly in the south east of scotland and north east of england where there is a yellow warning, gusts up to 70 miles an hour. Those winds will ease in the afternoon. At brace of rain for scotland. Rain in Northern Ireland. Rain moves into the far south west of england. Away from that, sunny spells. Noticeably fresher. Temperatures taking a tumble. Tonight, this rain in the south west will move northwards and eastwards. With clear skies and lighter winds, it will be quite chilly, in the countryside, down to five celsius. Elsewhere, staying up in double figures. Wednesday, we still have this area of rain, affecting england and wales, outbreaks of rain. Becoming patchy and light in the afternoon. Some drier spells. Rain moving into Northern Ireland. The best of the weather in the far north of scotland. Thursday, staying pretty unsettled. Rain across eastern areas. A slice of drier weather with sunshine, then more rain spreads in from the west, temperatures up to 18. That unsettled theme continues into friday. This area of low pressure brings outbreaks of rain into the south west. Fairly strong winds particularly in the south west and English Channel coast on friday. Lots of cloud, outbreaks of. Temperatures up to 16. Behind me, this area of rain will move in. Staying and settled into the weekend. Potentially stormy into saturday. Disruption is possible. Worth staying tuned to the forecast for more details. This is bbc news, and these are the top stories developing at midday inflation hits 3 its highest level in more than five years, driven partly by the fall in the pound. The sole reason why inflation has gone up so much as it has is the depreciation of sterling, and from past history, past experience, we have the time path of that pass through into inflation. Reversing brexit would have a positive impact on the uk economy, the organisation for co operation and development says. The number of hate crimes recorded in the past year in england and wales has risen by 29 since last year. European Aerospace Firm airbus partners with bombardiers c series aircraft programme, boosting belfast job prospects. Also storm ophelia sweeps across scotland and Northern England with winds up to 70 miles an hour. Schools are closed and hundreds of thousands of people still have no electricity in the republic of ireland following the storm. This is about real life crying, not the stuff of fiction. This is about real life crime, not the stuff of fiction. After 33 years the bbc has confirmed its going to drop the night time version of crimewatch. Instead of broadcasters talking at us, the viewers, viewers were able to talk back and were able to influence the outcome of the programme, and real life. Hello, good afternoon. Its tuesday, the 17th october. Im ben brown welcome to bbc newsroom live. The uks key inflation rate hit its highest for more than five years in september, driven up by increases in transport and food prices, and raising the likelihood of an increase in Interest Rates next month. Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Prices index, is up from 2. 9 in august thats seen an increase to 3 in september the highest since 2012. The governor of the bank of england, mark carney, appeared in front of the Treasury Select Committee a short time ago, and suggested that inflation would continue to rise in the coming months the principal reason is because the main reason, in fact the sole reason, why inflation has gone up as much as it has has been the deflation of sterling, and from past history, past experience, we have a sense of the time path of that pass through into inflation. And then once you roll forward from the initial big appreciation you have a so called level effect. Lets just go to the chancellor Philip Hammond talking at the launch of his latest figures on the economy. This survey is of course independent and represents the oecds view, not her majestys government view. But it represents a challenge for the uk as we head towards the budget in november. The last uk Economic Survey was published in early 2015 and we have made Good Progress since then, sustained Economic Growth together with reforms over time that have supported high Labour Market flexibility has pushed the Unemployment Rate to its lowest level in over 40 years. As the survey sets out, Economic Performance has been supported by a strong business friendly environment and our approach to meeting our fiscal goals, and here we have also made substantial progress in repairing the public finances. But the National Debt remains too high and more work has to be done. Our fiscal rules commit us to returning the public finances to balance by the public finances to balance by the middle of the next decade. They ta ke the middle of the next decade. They take a balanced approach, combining this commitment with the flexibility to respond to economic developments, support our Public Services and invest in britains future. This yea rs invest in britains future. This years Economic Survey focuses on enhancing productivity which, as the report states, is key to ensuring higher liver Living Standards. Wea k growth higher liver Living Standards. Weak growth has been a global problem since the financial crisis but has been particularly pronounced in the uk and compounds an already wea k in the uk and compounds an already weak uk productivity position. Across the g7, productivity growth has fallen from 1. 9 in the decade to 2007 to 0. 8 in 2008, and the gap between uk productivity and the rest of the g7 is four Percentage Points wider since 2007. Now, this is the theme you have heard me speak about before, and i am sorry to tell you you will hear me speaking about again. It is something i will return to at the budget. There is Great Potential to exploit the underlying strengths of the uk economy, and boosting productivity is the way to turn those strengths into real wage growth. We have made Good Progress on employment at the deficit and the deficit, but it is by boosting productivity we can raise Living Standards further. As the oecd encourages in its report, we are continuing to target investment in areas that will enhance productivity. I am pleased that the oecd welcomes the creation of the National Productivity investment fund. It will deliver over £23 billion of high Value Investment in the uk infrastructure. We have acknowledged the challenges in these areas and have already acted, including not only our Infrastructure Investment but also announcing radical reforms to Technical Education at the spring budget, and our ambitious industrial strategy to boost productivity across strategy to boost productivity a cross every strategy to boost productivity across every region of the country. But there is more to do and i am confident we can drive productivity building on the strengths of the uk economy. The report helpfully identified areas where we can go further, including improving basic skills and adapting to changing business practices. Providing vigorous analysis of the pressing questions facing the uk economy. We will consider the oecds recommendations and act where we can. There is of course one further area where we can support confidence and promote the Business Investment that will drive productivity growth, and raise Living Standards, and that is in our negotiations with the european union. The government is clear that we are leaving the european union, and that we want a deep and special partnership with the european union, maintaining close economic ties after we leave the union. In doing so, we know that delivering a time limited transition period, avoiding a disruptive cliff edge exit from the eu, we can provide greater certainty for businesses up and down the uk and across the european union, and that certainty, the ability to plan ahead, to make contracts, to invest, will support the investment that will support the investment that will drive the productivity gates of the future. Once again i thank the oecd team for their rigorous assessment of the uk economy, and that expertise they bring the Global Economic policy making. I will now hand you over to the secretary general who will set out the oecds Main Findings and then ta ke the oecds Main Findings and then take some questions, and again, with apologies, i must ask you to excuse me. Thank you. Thank you. Applause ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon for joining ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon forjoining us and thank you to the chancellor for having joined us in this launch. This is the full presentation, the full report, which we are launching today. This is a powerpoint which i very strongly recommend to you because, especially for the media people, recommend to you because, especially forthe media people, because it recommend to you because, especially for the media people, because it is very easy to reproduce and also to communicate some of the main features of the work, and for a very busy people there is the one pager, and on the back of that one page we cheat a little, because we printed both sides, but on the back is the recommendations we have in the report. So there you are. Let me put these to the side here. Of course i greet the chancellor and his teens, but i would also like to welcome and appreciate the presence of the ambassador, the uk ambassador to the oecd and all of the oecd team also, so oecd and all of the oecd team also, so any complaints you have about the team, you make them to rafal and peter, and any good things you have to say you can tell me, so presenting the oecd Economic Survey of the uk. When i presented our la st of the uk. When i presented our last survey, as the chancellor mentioned a moment ago, the uks annual growth was at 2. 3 , the strongest among the g7 countries. In april 20161 presented a study on the Economic Impact of brexit, and impact which is materialising gradually. The growth stood at 0. 8 . In the first half of this year annualised growth fell to only 1 , and then it was the weakest in the g7. Our survey predicts a similar rate of growth in 2018. The uks preparation for brexit in 2019 is of course the source, and i dont need to tell you this is not a mystery, something creating an element of uncertainty, and therefore it will continue to weigh on the outlook of the economy until those uncertainties are resolved. And they will be, hopefully along the lines that the chancellor suggested a moment ago, but of course in the meantime there is a bit of a bumpy road. It will be crucial that the uk and eu maintain the closest relationship possible. After the decision, regardless of what i personally and the oecd institution had been advocating for before the referendum, we now are devoted to. Because the uk is a very distinguished and important member of the oecd, to make the transformation and to make the deal as seamless and smooth as possible, recognising the complexities of the issues. And the question of the closest economic relationship possible applying the goods, trade and services, but also to the movement of labour from watch the uk has benefited so much. Despite the slowdown, the uks Labour Market has performed remarkably well. Again the chancellor alluded to that. It is quite remarkable, really. Unemployment is now lower than before the crisis, and that employment rate, the other side of the coin of unemployment, is the highest on record, period. The highest on record, period. The highest on record, period. The highest on record. Real wages, however, have not follow that trend. In fact, real wages are somewhat on a flat to downward trend, and let me just say there it is not about the uk, 0k . Ameen, there are cases like japan, which practically has phil employment i mean, there are cases like japan which practically has full employment, and still you have the wages practically not responding and flat. In the United States, the same thing. So even in those countries. Germany. Even in those countries. Germany. Even in those countries. Germany. Even in those countries which are looking at very low unemployment, where the Labour Market has done already to some extent what the uk Labour Market is doing now, you have not had the reaction on the wages. There are a numberof had the reaction on the wages. There are a number of reasons for that. Inflation has not picked up. The slack there has reduced. The potential growth, it may improve, but at the same time there is no reaction in the wages, sol but at the same time there is no reaction in the wages, so i dont see this to make you feel better dont say this to make you feel better because you are a good country, ijust better because you are a good country, i just say better because you are a good country, ijust say it because it is one of the great paradoxes we are facing. Just like so Much Technology and so little productivity, another puzzle we have to solve. This one is about the fact the Labour Market is doing so well, therefore why are we just not reacting better . That is a big issue. Let me also say that clearly this suggests Macro Economic policies should continue to support the economy during this period of transition. You could call the negotiations a period of transition. I would like to see here, and i like the kind of stop and make a very clear point about this, so far monetary and fiscal policies have done a good job in countering headwinds. This is a little bit of jargon, this way of putting it. What doi jargon, this way of putting it. What do i mean . When the referendum happened and then the brexit decision was known, and since then, practically day to day, every day, you had to navigate this totally unknown, totally unexpected situation. Unexpected even for, well, a very large part of the british public, certainly many of the economic agents, etc, and you needed good navigators for that. But there are no charts, no road maps. There was nothing, no manual to deal with brexit, nothing. 0k . At that time the question of dealing with markets was crucial, and you had the Monetary Policy which is the bank of england coming in very strong, giving very strong signals of the flexibility that was required to deal with the banking system, to deal with the banking system, to deal with the banking system, to deal with credit etc. And on the fiscal side, by the exchequer, and, well, that cabinet, the government at large, in dealing with this unexpected situation, an intention to accommodate the blows and roll with the punches, if you will and there, i think, our evaluation is that both monetary and fiscal policy, but the two together, i should also say, because there has beena i should also say, because there has been a good coordination between the two which is very crucial. We have done a good job in countering the headwinds. The fiscal policy has been flexible, automatic stabilisers have continued to operate in full. The fiscal stance has been relaxed and new buffers have been created to absorb future shocks. So this is quite important and it is also one of the reasons why, you know, even ourselves, we are being confronted, we say, well, all of this unravelling you were talking about actually did not happen no, and we are delighted it didnt happen, and there are good reasons. It didntjust happen, and there are good reasons. It didnt just not happen, and there are good reasons. It didntjust not happen out of the blue. What happened was there was Good Management of the unexpected, if you will. Fiscal policy should remain proactive that means flexible, and the uk should initiative productivity enhancing initiatives on investment, and that is in case growth would weaken significantly in the run up to brexit. So if we see these trends we are now starting to see a weakening and we have to decide whether this is structural type of or whether it will be a reversion, but should it be more structural than fiscal policy has the standing, because Monetary Policy is already quite loose. The question is whether we could prolong that period, we get longer, but you cant get below zero in terms of Interest Rates, you know. 40 of the public debt of the oecd today is being traded at negative rates, so there is a natural limit to how far you can go with Monetary Policy. With fiscal policy you can still be a little more flexible, as i said, for with the punches, then deal with the activity enhancing initiatives on investment in case the weakness persists. Now, the chancellor made it very clear that one of the issues was productivity, productivity, productivity, and it is one of the chapters. It is not Rocket Science that one should focus on productivity, because productivity in the uk has been flat, in some years negative. In any case it has been dismal, and again you have very good company when it comes to productivity. In the United States productivity. In the United States productivity is very low. In the whole of europe productivity was very low. In japan productivity whole of europe productivity was very low. Injapan productivity is very low. Injapan productivity is very low. And, asi very low. And, as i said before, big puzzle. We have the best technology in the world. It is accessible, it is they are. It becomes cheaper all the time, and we cant make a dent, in terms of productivity. And why is it so important . Because productivity is the key to the future growth of the economy. And productivity, high productivity, is the key to the better wages. No wonder we have low wages. We have very low productivity. That is the secretary general of the oecd, angel gurria, who has just secretary general of the oecd, angel gurria, who hasjust been secretary general of the oecd, angel gurria, who has just been talking they are, on the oecd report on the british economy, which is likely to be quite controversial because it says a second referendum that would reverse brexit would have a positive and Significant Impact on the uk economy. And already we have had some reaction to that from the government, from a government spokesperson, saying, we are leaving the eu and there will not be a second referendum. We are working to achieve the best deal with the eu that protects jobs and the economy. So that is the latest on that oecd report on the british economy. It is 21 minutes past midday. Letsjust bring you some breaking news we are getting from Bristol Crown court. A man has been found guilty of murdering a kurdish refugee only hours after he had been discharged from a secure hospital. Geoffrey barry lived in the same housing and had had made multiple threats to kill he stabbed mr ahmed in more than 20 attempts in what was described as a sustained attack. We have this report from john kay. July last year, and in the early hours of the morning Geoffrey Barry haque head from his flat to wear kurdish refugee kamil ahmad was living. He goes inside and stabs the refugee more than 20 times before mutilating his body. He was really special to my family. That is like a black cloud in my life. Kamils younger brother the believes attack could and should have been prevented, in a country kamil into for protection. He came to be safe, to lead a normal life, but why and how that happened, and all those questions, we have. Geoffrey barry had a long history of severe psychiatric problems, with episodes of paranoid schizophrenia Jeffrey Barry. This is the accommodation in bristol where the two men were living. Two weeks before the attackJeffrey Barry said he wanted to kill someone, he wanted to be notorious, and he said kamil Jeffrey Ahmad was top of his list. He wrote notes, naming kamil as someone who wanted to kill, along with everyone else on the street. Another reads, i am extremely depressed. Ive suffered a complete nervous breakdown. Im extremely psychotic. In the weeks before he killed kamil barry was section, but the tribunal decided he could be released from the hospital, against the advice of the psychiatrist treating him. He returned to the house where kamil was still living, and within hours of getting back he carried out the fatal attack. Jeffrey barry cold 999 to see what he had just done. He said he had warned Mental Health professionals that he was going attack kamil. That was his defence in court. Flanked by staff from broadmoor high security hospital, barry denied murder, but said he was guilty of manslaughter on the grounds of diminished responsibility. Kamils family believe the 48 year old would still be alive if he had been warned in advance that barry was returning that night, and if staff in the house had been given time to come up with a plan. I am very angry. His brother told me all the agencies involved must reflect on this case. I hope they learn, you know, what has happened to my brother, so it doesnt happen to anybody else again, because only i know how i feel, you know . Only we know how i feel, you know . Only we know how i feel, to have lost a loving brother, you know. And the could have done something about it beforehand. Serious case review is now expected to be published. John kay, bbc news, bristol. The number of mps and parliamentary constituencies could be reduced under newly revised plans. The proposed boundaries in england, scotland and wales could be cut from 650 to 600. Parliament approved in principle reducing the size of the commons in 2011, intended as a cost saving measure after the expenses scandal. Mps would have to vote the detailed plans though which, if approved, could be in place for the next general election. Lets talk to tim bowden head of reviews at the Boundary Commission for england. Thank you for being with us. Can you exclude the us what the proposals would be exactly . Today we have published our revised proposals for the new constituency boundaries in england. We have had a great response to our first two consultations, had 25,000 responses, we have heard from people, gone and looked at the contentious issues on the ground, and as a result we have changed over 50 of the map that we put forward last year, and what we really asking people to do today is go to our website and have a look at what our revised proposals are and tell us what you think of them. What is the rationale for this . Why not leave things as they are . In 2011 parliament passed legislation to reduce the number of constituencies in the uk from 650 two 600, and to equalise the electors in every seat 650600, and equalise the electors in every seat 650 600, and equalise the number of electors in every seat. So we have to try to get every single constituency between, so 72,000 electors and 82,000 electors. In england that variance is much larger. You see constituencies as small as 55000 and as large as about 90 5000. But the charge is, crudely, that this just benefits the tories as small as 55000 and as large as about 90 5000. That they would have had an overall majority with this in the last election as large as about 95,000. The commission does not take into account the political outcome of its work but i can say that local peoples views do make a difference, and as i have already said we have today revised over 50 of our original proposals on the basis of what local people have told us over the first two period of public consultation. In terms of saving money, the idea was to save money. One estimate was it would save about £10 million, but that is not a great deal of money, really, in the scheme of things, if it is about the core of british democracy . It is difficult for me to comment on the reasons why parliament decided to undertake the review in terms of a financial reason, obviously what i can comment on, though, very clearly is that at the moment constituencies va ry is that at the moment constituencies vary in size between about 55000 and 95,000 and parliament decided it was important in their view that they should have a difference between about 2000 and 8000 electors, and thatis about 2000 and 8000 electors, and that is what we are undertaking across england. We have published for 501 constituencies and we are currently consulting on those eight weeks until the 11th of december and this is a final chance for british people to have your say on what the new map might look like in the future. Very good to speak to you. Tim bowden, head of reviews at the Boundary Commission for england. Lets see what the weather is doing. Obviously we still have the remnants of ex hurricane ophelia. What is happening . Yes, it is moving into the sea so those wins coming third. Showers across scotland, the far north of england, here as well. A few spots across parts of sussex and perhaps kent later today but a fresher feel to the weather for the most part. Overnight tonight that rain becomes more expensive and as well as that we will also have increasingly low cloud, some mist and fog patches forming over the hills of southern england. Still clouded central scotla nd england. Still clouded Central Scotland with cloud forming but in the far north of scotland turning chilly with those clear skies, temperatures. Freezing in the cold est temperatures. Freezing in the coldest spots. Tomorrow, cloudy day coming upfor coldest spots. Tomorrow, cloudy day coming up for england and wales with these patchy bricks of rain, some of which could turn out to be quite heavyin which could turn out to be quite heavy in bursts. The best of any limited sunshine will be across northern and western scotland but at this year we will have saw the lowest temperatures, 11 12 in the north, feeling more humid in the south of heights of up to 18 in london. That is your weather. This is bbc newsroom live. Our latest headlines. The uks key inflation rate climbed to 3 in september, its highest for more than five years. Reversing brexit would have a positive impact on the uk economy, the organisation for co operation and development says. The number of hate crimes recorded by police has increased by 29 since last year, the largest annual rise since records began. Storm ophelia sweeps across scotland and the north of england, having left nearly 4,000 homes and businesses without power in Northern Ireland. A deal has been struck which its hoped will help safeguard 4,000 jobs at the bombardier aircraft factory in Northern Ireland. Airbuses taken a stake in bombardier for a jet which has been spilled in belfast which would allow some of the appears to be assembled at an airbus plant in alabama, avoiding large import duties which the us authorities had threatened. The business secretary says the deal is a positive step forward. We have announced an up trade in the powers we have to scrutinise overseas investments to make sure they dont pose a threat to our National Security. In particular, smaller firms that make components that can be embedded in systems that can that can be embedded in systems that ca n allow that can be embedded in systems that can allow Hostile Forces to disrupt our defence system. Previously they have not been able to be screened from a National Security point of view. Through these proposals we can look at them and block them if they area look at them and block them if they are a threat or make sure there are steps are a threat or make sure there are ste ps ta ke n are a threat or make sure there are steps ta ken to remove are a threat or make sure there are steps taken to remove the threat. Given the context of brexit, does it not run the risk of making the uk appear more inward looking . We area appear more inward looking . We are a fantastic destination for overseas investment, the third biggest source of overseas investment coming into this country in the world, second only to the United States and china. We wa nt United States and china. We want to continue to be a home for overseas investment. To do so you need to keep your systems up to date. The business secretary greg clark. Reacting to that, we heard from Gavin Robinson of the dup over what looks like the safeguarding ofjobs in his constituency. It is great news, it gives security for those working in belfast, and strategic significant partner for bombardier as they seek to grow and expand the benefits of the craft. Great news. I hope it will allay many fears prevalent over the past weeks. This is a composite constructed aircraft. Belfast is integral to the overall programme. When you see the statements from airbus and bombardier, the uk facilities and belfast. Has the dup has had any assurances since the announcement has been made . We have heard from we see this as a very positive step where last week it was fitting david against goliath. Bombardier now has some of that that which is important. A significant strategic partner. A huge clear up operation is taking place across ireland after storm ophelia battered the British Isles yesterday our correspondent Chris Buckler is in galway with the latest there. It isa it is a major killer operation in galway and across our land. There are still some roads closed. You can see rocks and seaweed being cleared away from the road. If you take a look here, you can see the other big problem to deal with. These are trees which have fallen during the storms, they have been taken off the road but not have affected power cables, and there are huge numbers still without electricity today. The Electricity Supply board here has indicated it is likely some of those customers will be without power for perhaps days. That is a concern. Which has had an effect on the supply of water. Some customers are also without water today. This remains a big problem. The storm itself may have gone but there are still warnings about strong gusts of wind. You can see the impact in that all of the seaweed has been thrown about. Not just all of the seaweed has been thrown about. Notjust on the shore but the roads as well. The roads were flooded yesterday. All that is gone. But the clear up continues. As ireland tried to get back on its feet after the storm. To emphasise that point again. There are still warnings of strong gusts. The storm may have moved away from the island, but the winds that it brought with it, they are still having an effect and at times you can still feel the gusts. Back to that breaking news where a man has been found guilty of murdering a kurdish refugee. Only hours after that man had been discharged from a secure hospital, Jeffrey Barry who lived in the same housing complex will stop he make multiple threats to kill him. This isa multiple threats to kill him. This is a case which raises a lot of important issues. It does, a lot of those issues will be addressed in the months to come. This trial was about one man, the actions ofjeffrey this trial was about one man, the actions of Jeffrey Barry, this trial was about one man, the actions ofJeffrey Barry, a man who had a long history of Mental Health issues, a paranoid schizophrenic. Now convicted unanimously of murder. This raises important issues about the care thatJeffrey Barry received, the way in which he was monitored, the fact he was released from hospital after being sectioned, against the advice of his psychiatrist, released by a Mental Health tribunal panel. Should he have been released, then sent back to the same unit where his victim was living. Should they have been warned barry was back in the property . Should staff have had more access to information, given time to come up with a plan to keep both men apart. Those questions were not for this trial. But those will be a nswered this trial. But those will be answered in part it is thought in a safeguarding review of this entire case, the way barry was handled by different agencies, that will be published in the new year. The family of the victim as they take in this guilty verdict will also be saying, let us take this in and look ahead to the next age because they think there are serious questions to be answered. Raqqa, the capital of the self styled Islamic State caliphate in syria, has fallen. The Syrian Democratic forces, an alliance of kurdish and arab militias backed by the United States, say they now control the whole city. Its a hugely symbolic blow to to is. Raqqa was the place where attacks on the west were planned and foreign hostages murdered. Cbs news correspondent Holly Williams is there. There has been no official declaration of victory but the us that fighters arent waiting for one. Isis is finished in raqqa heath they told us after hundreds of extremists surrendered at weekend. They have had some help from us air strikes but these syrian militiaman did the fighting on the ground. The very definition of a ragtag army. This man showed as his home made hand grenades hurled together with scotch tape. As they cleared the city, isis gunmen still lurk in tunnels and buildings. You thought it was clear and i think there is a sniper . Yes. Ice is claimed to be men of god when they seized raqqa three years ago. What is left is the carcass of ago. What is left is the carcass of a city, pulverised by artillery, flattened by s strikes, deserted by its people. We have been in so many houses like this one during the battle for raqqa that have been turned into fighting positions, completely destroyed. Younis and his family finally escaped raqqa today, some of the last to get out. Like other civilians, they were used by the extremists as human shields. They tried to leave twice before and we re they tried to leave twice before and were shot at by isis fighters, younis says, but today they did not see any. Clearing raqqa of explosives led by isis could take months but the city is no longer a stronghold for terrorists. Those isis leaders that are still alive are thought to have fled south to the border with iraq months ago. The foreign said she has been asked about the continuing brexit negotiations and whether, what he thought of the latest. Let us have a listen in. Mr speaker, will the foreign figure respond to claims bya will the foreign figure respond to claims by a senior politician that he isa claims by a senior politician that he is a significant factor in Holding Back Progress in brexit talks, and does the firm said she believed his recent interventions help or hinder these negotiations . I think, i help or hinder these negotiations . Ithink, i refer the help or hinder these negotiations . I think, i refer the honourable gentleman to the answer i gave, the government is united about a very coherent policy, we made a generous offer. If i may say to the gentleman he quotes whose name i did not last catch, it is up to our friends and partners in the eu now to look seriously at the offer we are making, and particularly on citizens, and to make progress. Everyone wants to make progress and give the eu citizens in this country thats reassurance. That can only happen once our friends and partners get serious. Borisjohnson there. Lets get more now on the bbcs decision to drop the evening version of crimewatch, after 33 years. Instead, it says it will increase the number of episodes it makes of the crimewatch roadshow which will be broadcast during the day. Keith doyle reports. This is about real life crime, not the stuff of fiction. Its been a cornerstone of the bbc schedule since it was first broadcast in 1984, reconstructing crimes and appealing for public help. First hosted by nick ross, some of the bbcs biggest names have fronted the show, including jill dando. Five arrests in this last month, all as a direct result of viewers calls. Her murder in 1999 also becoming a crimewatch appeal. Real crime cctv footage and mugshots of britains most wanted got the publics assistance, and crimewatch helped bring many criminals tojustice, including the killers ofjames bulger, and michael sams, who murdered julie dart and kidnapped stephanie slater. It also helped reunite people with lost possessions, notably this rare stradivarius violin. It is 300 years old and worth £1. 2 million. Recently it has been hosted byjeremy vine, but it is thought falling ratings have taken it off prime time. Instead, the bbc says it will make more crimewatch road show for daytime, where there might be less need for its trademark sign off. Meanwhile, dont have nightmares. Joining me now is calum macleod, vice chair of the Police Federation of england and wales. How much of a blow will it be to lose the evening crimewatch . If you think, over the last 30 yea rs, if you think, over the last 30 years, it has played an invaluable role in solving crimes on a national level, provided the ability for local forces to actually stretch beyond the boundaries of their force areas, to seek witnesses up and down the country. Invaluable in solving high profile crimes. And we need to ensure we have every mechanism to engage with the public ona mechanism to engage with the public on a local and national level. This is a blow. You say to the bbc they should think again . Is crimewatch a socially Important Programme and it doesnt matter whether its getting huge audiences, it needs to be on tv . The argument is, the old adage between the police and the public, giving the opportunity to the public to see what policing is on a daily basis, in investigation. And giving them the opportunity for witnesses to come forward who may not have known there was even a crime. We need to ensure we have got the capacity to meet the needs of the public, that the public can be engaged, and we should be using tv as well as social media. Would you like the bbc to change their mind and keep crimewatch . Its not a position to be telling the bbc what to do the public have confidence in the police and we have two ensure that. There will be a daytime version of crimewatch. But that is not going to attract evening peak time audiences. People work during the day and wont see the show. There was a uniqueness about crimewatch. Ask any victim if it is worth it, and they would say, yes. The headlines on bbc newsroom live. Inflation hits three per cent, its highest level in more than five years, driven partly by the fall in the pound and increases in transport and food prices. Reversing brexit would have a positive impact on the uk economy, the organisation for co operation and development says. The number of hate crimes recorded in the past year in england and wales has risen by 29 since last year, with the biggest rise being seen in disability and tra nsgender hate crimes. An investigation by the Victoria Derbyshire programme has found that several councils in england are regularly buying one way train tickets to transfer Homeless People out of their area. More than £1,000 a year was spent by some councils on what are described as reconnection tickets. The strategy can be used to put rough sleepers back in touch with theirfamilies, but one man has said he was offered a ticket to a city he had never been to before. Anna collinson reports. Right now, im taking you through the park to the place where i used to stay every single night on the streets. Mhairi hopkins developed post natal depression after giving birth a few years ago. While her parents took care of her son, the 22 year Olds Mental Health deteriorated. This is it, this is where i stayed for four weeks. Eventually, she ran out of places to stay, and felt too ashamed to ask for help. So, one dark night, she bundled up a duvet and a sleeping bag, and tried to sleep here. You dont know whos watching you, you dont if youre going to get up in the morning safe. This is a very dodgy area. This path is so secluded, its absolutely mad. Anything can happen. One night every autumn, local authorities in england count how many people are sleeping rough. Last year, there were more than 4,000, a 130 rise in six years. Some charities are sceptical about how the data is collected, because councils can choose to enter an estimate if they prefer. In 2016, large cities featured prominently in the 20 areas with the worst problem. But, not too far behind, was a seaside town, with a population of 180,000, where homelessness has trebled since 2010. When we told people in bournemouth the town had 39 rough sleepers, they laughed, and said it was at least 100, if not more. This is a really popular place for Homeless People to hang out, particularly at night. But, in 2015, the council started playing loud music like bagpipes and alvin and the chipmunks. They said it was to stop anti social behaviour. It used to be played all night, and then in other certain places they have this high pitched sound, beep, beep, beep, all night. Then, it emerged the council were buying Homeless People train tickets. But there was a condition. They were one way. The idea being they could send people back to where they came from. Bournemouth council repeatedly refused to be interviewed, but say they only offer the so called reconnection policy to rough sleepers who arent local to the area. But Gareth Glendall Pickton claims he was still offered a one way ticket to manchester. It made me feel sick because ive lived here all my life, you know. So, what they want to try and do is get all the Homeless People out of bournemouth because the new people coming into the area are seeing all these Homeless People sitting there. And they see it as it is making bournemouth a bad place. The homelessness reduction act is due to become active in april. The government says it will place greater legal responsibility on councils to stop all people from becoming homeless. Notjust ones with a priority. Whenjobs find out you live in a hostel they dont want to take you. Its not worth the risk to them. They would rather have someone with a permanent roof over their head who they believe they can trust more, who wasnt ever made homeless or whatever. In australia, a new tool is being deployed to try to keep swimmers and surfers safe from the risk of shark attack. Specially fitted drones are being used along the coast of new south wales, providing early shark warnings. Hywel griffith has been to see them in action. A shadow in the sea, or something more sinister . From the beach, its hard to tell, but from the skies, the drone has a clearer view. It feeds into deep learning software, which its claimed has a 92 success rate in spotting sharks, as well as less threatening species. Every time it sees a dolphin, whale or a swimmer in distress, it learns their shape. Launched along the beaches of new south wales, the drones can patrol for 40 minutes. Daniel was one of the first to train as a life saver pilot. I cant physically run out and grab a board and paddle out and save someone, but sitting on the beach, weve got eyes in the sky and were just another layer of protection, really. The drones dont only observe, they can react too, dropping an inflatable device to help people in the sea. They wont replace the use of controversial shark nets and drum lines, however, which some claim do more harm than good. Last year, around australia, there were 17 unprovoked shark attacks. The number isnt that high compared to how many people enter these waters, but its a national preoccupation the question of how to share the beaches between the human beings and the sea life. When this great white washed onto sydneys shores recently, it was welcomed and christened fluffy. Not Everyone Wants to get so close, even if the chances of an attack are minimal. Its a human, innate fear of being attacked by a wild animal. But the risk to people that are entering the water, it rates so low on the scale as opposed to all other threats of going about your daily life. Traffic and cars and bee stings, all of those statistics. And for regulars in these waters, its all part of the experience. I was actually swimming here once at the back, i was six months pregnant and there was a shark alarm. I did freak out a bit if im going to die, id prefer to be taken by a shark than have a stroke and end up in a nursing home. The drones wont be on every beach every day, but they should give everyone a better understanding of whats down below. Hywel griffith, bbc news, sydney. In a moment, the news at one with sophie raworth. First, the weather with chris fawkes. Gusty winds will continue to ease over the northern half of the uk. Over the weekend, it was a major atlantique over the weekend, it was a major atla ntique hurricane, over the weekend, it was a major atlantique hurricane, which turned into an area of low pressure. Today, the remains are working out into the Norwegian Sea as a weakening area of low pressure. Today, fairly brisk winds, bringing with it showers. Brighter weather across england and wales but turning cloudy across southern england with outbreaks of rain. Quite a range of temperatures. 10 degrees in shetland, 17 in london. Wherever you are, it feels fresh. Overnight, the rain will become more expansive across southern counties. Low cloud, mist and fog patches will form. Showers and cloudy weather across scotla nd showers and cloudy weather across scotland for a time. The skies will clear and temperatures in the countryside could get low enough to give ground frost. Wednesday, england and wales, cloudy and grave with mr fox mist and fog patches. Some rain could be heavy, but in the north and west, a fair amount of cloud. The best of any bright weather will be in the far north west of scotland. Wednesday night, rain expands northwards into scotland. Thursday, the next weather system scotland. Thursday, the next weather syste m m oves scotland. Thursday, the next weather system moves in from the atlantic bringing outbreaks of rain, the winds picking up, reaching gale force late in the day. Patches of rain elsewhere. 90 degrees. Thursday night, this low pressure moves northwards across the British Isles. A ridge of High Pressure follows. Some brighter weather following. Temperatures ranging from 14 16. Friday night is the next potential stormy spell of weather. A big area of low pressure could bring severe gales but there is some uncertainty. Inflation hits its highest level in more than five years piling on the pressure for Household Budgets. Higher transport and food costs have helped drive it up to 3 and the bank of england says its likely to go higher. We expect that inflation will peak in around the october figure, october november figures and so peaking potentially above the 3 level. Its now thought the first Interest Rate rise in 10 years could happen as soon as next month. Also this lunchtime a second referendum that reversed brexit would have a positive and Significant Impact on the uk economy, claims the International Think tank the oecd. Just hours after being released from a secure hospitalJeffrey Barry killed kurdish refugee kamil ahmad stabbing him 25 times