Is that the magic number of mps that you need to force a leadership contest is a8, thats the way the tory party rule book works and it does not seem there are enough. No matter how much noise these few make it does not mean they can do it and there does not seem to be the will for that to happen. Shes been hanging on by herfingertips all summer hanging on by herfingertips all summerand into hanging on by herfingertips all summer and into the autumn and people can hang on for quite a long time. Getting sore by now how much pressure are you under by your editors do come up with a headline that will put a time frame on it . That must be quite a scary thing. They always want answers, when, who, what will happen next. If you do a lesson of who will be the next Prime Ministers you would have five frontrunners and a number who fancy their own chances. Theresa mays greatest weakness in the election was her popularity. She was so far ahead in the polls that a lot of people, labour pundits, a lot of people, labour pundits, a lot of people didnt want her to have such power and back labour. Now her greatest strength is the flank that the tory party is so weak in talent to become instant Prime Minister is that she is the only option for them is that she is the only option for them is the fact that. That she is the only option for them is the fact that. As you read the papers, the time she has left gets longer tory plot to oust made, all we wa nt longer tory plot to oust made, all we want for christmas is a new pm. That sounds more realistic but i think even that is probably unlikely u nless think even that is probably unlikely unless Something Else changes. The way it was put to me yesterday, she had two lives left and at the conference she lost one of them. Theres only so many times things can go disastrously wrong before youre out of a job. We arent there yet but we are a step closer. Her collea g u es yet but we are a step closer. Her colleagues will be very pragmatic and think about whats best for the party, when does she outlived their usefulness . They dont want a bloodbath of tories fighting each other over the next Prime Minister. Many people want boris and many want anybody but him. Until they realise they can unite behind one person or a couple of people, then the last thing they will do is wield the knife. There is no obvious successor, there is no one person who everyone is behind saying that they would do a betterjob, there are different views about who the next leader should be and the brexit negotiations are underway, they need to be wrapped up by this time next year. The idea that britain would topple the Prime Minister halfway through common not even britain, the conservative party would do this halfway through a vital negotiation would not be seen kindly by many people in the country. Because of those factors she has every chance of dying on of hanging on unless Something Else happens. From the daily mirror point of view, the christmas deadline, it cant be prove n christmas deadline, it cant be proven to be wrong within a few weeks but on the other hand in real time they need brexit to be false team ahead and buy christmas she may have moved it on enough for her to be replaced. In the Daily Telegraph you sense a bit more in this headline. Your heart must think when you hear somebody saying that she has their confidence. Amber rudd has written an article for the Daily Telegraph where she comes out strongly behind the Prime Minister and strongly says, free word sentence, she should they. The fact that the home secretary is being wheeled out to write an article saying this about the Prime Minister says what a weak position theresa may is in. Amber rudd is one of the two or three people in the cabinet who many people think could succeed theresa may if she were to go. Significant that. Where is the boris article saying shes a she should stay . Maybe at the weekend. It suits amber rudd to give theresa may in place because if she went it would almost certainly be a brexiteer following her. The final word from the cartoonist, matt. A Police Officer standing outside number ten and the number one has dropped off the door. Not even a legend, a caption, just the picture. The ft, hammonds £26 billion war chest in apparel after forecast low. Hammonds £26 billion war chest in apparel after forecast lowm hammonds £26 billion war chest in apparel after forecast low. If one bloodbath in the leadership battle going on behind the scenes isnt enough we now have a bloodbath, Philip Hammond in a budget that is only a few weeks away, november the 22nd. It seems that two thirds of the £26 billion war chest he has to help us through brexit is going to be wiped out because the office for budget responsibility has revised its figures and say that growth is down. The big thing creating this, a drop in productivity which is something that all chancellors, George Osborne would talk about getting it up, and now they say that it isnt going up fast enough. Getting it up, and now they say that it isnt going up fast enoughm puts him in a pickle because the pressure on the tory party is to spend a bit more money with people talking about housing and tuition fees. People like some of the labour Party Messages from the summer and so the chancellor and foreign minister are under pressure to increase spending significantly. People say, why dont you do something radical on tuition fees to bring back support . Those things cost money and if this report is correct, and it is in the ft, a good source, it appears that in one fell swoop, the head room that the chancellor may be thought he had to splash some cash next month has disappeared. And the Public Sector pay cap as well. We were asking people at the conference last week, various ministers, will the Public Sector workers, nurses, teachers and doctors, will the cap be lifted, and they were very cautious and now there will be questions over that too. Inside the times, page 32, the world section, whats happening in spain and catalonian. A threat to impose direct rule and catalonian from rajoy. A ruling from the cost of Traditional Court to stop the session of the Regional Parliament next sunday which is where it is feared that they may decide to declare independence. Exactly, it feels that every move that is made by either side, especially in recent days, the spanish government, is doing more to drive a wedge into this dispute rather than healing it. It started with violence on sunday, the comments by the king in the week which were buried one sided and we re very which were buried one sided and were very one sided and now you have a threat of imposition of direct rule. It does not seem there is any room for compromise in madrid. Theyve taken a very hard line and my worry would be is that you are going to exacerbate the conflict and create a generation of people who feel very hard done bye bye whats happening over the last week or so. And the eu sitting there wondering what to do next. We are looking at that with interested eyes because of brexit. Saying some strongly worded criticism of the uk over brexit and a bit silent on this one. A lot of commentators have said that if you didnt recognise the vote, let it go ahead and then dont recognise the result. Rise above it. People in catalonian who may be worth relatively ambivalent and see young people being beaten up blue were queueing up to vote, they see the autonomy being taken away. How is that going to make you feel . Very much creating division at a time when that is the opposite of what you need. Direct rule is going to harden attitudes, thats all it can do. The other option, devolve more powers to catalonian, tax raising. The issue with scotland, when it was at its crux, thats what the westminster government moved to do, saying that we hear what youre saying, that promise from Gordon Browne about extra powers and it won over some people and people voted in that way. Spain seem to be doing the opposite. I dont see how its going to work. Id like to finish with the daily express, which may surprise you. So sorry. Drink tea to lose weight. You dont even need that much. No, a nice cup of tea to finish off the programme. Good tips, this, i wont say which brand because we on the bbc. Generic just one cup of tea a day and you will lose weight. It does not have to be green tea, it can be builders tea. Does it count if you have two biscuits. As long as they arent chocolate jo, one of the voices in my ear, asked if it has to be black tea. Apparently it does, it changes bacteria in your gut. No mention of having any milk in it. Green tea would be all right but its having any milk in it. Green tea would be all right but its english brea kfast. Would be all right but its english breakfast. Did you confess to us earlier that you dont actually drink tea. I cant stand it, of any sort i like english tea and im the same weightl sort i like english tea and im the same weight i was when i was 18. 12 years ago. Same weight i was when i was 18. 12 years ago. Is it true that the more you drink, the more you lose. Only one way to find out. |j more you drink, the more you lose. Only one way to find out. I have two hold my nose. Dont drink too much tea. Everything in moderation. This is in the paper review i was expecting. We like to surprise tomorrow night we will fire up a samovar and have it here. Thats it for the papers. Dont forget you can see the front pages of the papers online on the bbc news website. If you miss the programme any evening you can watch it later on bbc iplayer. Thanks to my guests. Put the kettle on now. The weather next. The weather next. The kind of weather weve had has led to some fantastic pictures of the sunset. This was ian in northamptonshire and following from that weve had great shots of the moon. A full moon, a harvest moon in devon. Clear skies across many parts of the country because the higher pressure is building from the south west. Its pushing away those strong and cold winds we had today into the north sea and this is where we saw most of the showers. One or two showers in the breeze over the isle of man into north wales. Clear skies, light wind. These are the temperatures in towns and cities. A touch of frost on the grass, maybe are frost in northern areas. Not as windy on friday, plenty of sunshine in scotland. We have some showers blowing into the northern isles, especially aberdeenshire. Showers spreading over the irish sea. Not farfrom spreading over the irish sea. Not far from the east coast, showers running into the coast of norfolk and suffolk. A lot of sunshine around. Not as windy as it was today. Decent morning and for many parts a decent day with some sunnier skies. Changes coming into the north west, wind picking up, clouding over in the afternoon. Some rain in the north west. Some of the high cloud may spill into northern and western parts of england and wales. Temperatures 13 15, where they should be for the time of year. Weather systems moving in, the wind picking up, cloud moving over the uk and rain, mainly across the south. Not much rain away from the hills. Further north, quite a cloudy airstream, drizzly showers. Not a bad afternoon. Reasonable temperatures but quite blustery wind on saturday. By sunday, the wind will be lighter. Further east, brighter, but limited sunshine. This is bbc news. Police investigating claims of sexual abuse against the former Prime Minister edward the three he would have been questioned if he we re would have been questioned if he were still alive, but says no inference of guilt should be made. Four days after the las vegas shooting, some Senior Republicans said they may be willing to consider a form of gun control. Spains contribution court says it could vote to declare independence for catalonia. Tonight, churchills rallying cry was, we shall fight them on the beaches. Now we learn defence cuts may render that impossible