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Research Associate Matthew Klein contributed to this report. Connecticut hasn’t elected a Republican to federal office since 2006, but that streak came within 2,004 votes of being broken in 2022 when GOP former state Sen. George Logan nearly toppled Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes in the northwestern 5th District. Republicans are likely to target Hayes again in 2024, and her weakened image from the last bruising race makes the 5th District by far their best pickup opportunity in the state.

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