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Election Forecast: Governor Seats Most Likely to Flip Party Control in 2022

Election Forecast: Governor Seats Most Likely to Flip Party Control in 2022
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The House: Democrats Would Have a Tough Slog Even Without Redistricting

The House: Democrats Would Have a Tough Slog Even Without Redistricting A Commentary By Kyle Kondik Thursday, May 20, 2021 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE The reapportionment of House seats and pending redistricting has prevented us from releasing U.S. House ratings so far this cycle. While Republicans stand to gain from this process, they would be favored to win the House even if the district lines were not changing. Sign up: Free daily newsletter Sign up! Rating the House races based on the current lines shows many more Democratic seats in the Toss-up column than Republican ones. These hypothetical ratings are guided by developments in the 2022 campaign so far as well as the normal tendency for the president’s party to lose ground in the House in midterms.

Crystal Ball: Democrats Have an Uphill Battle to Keep House Majority

2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline

2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline A Commentary By J. Miles Coleman Thursday, March 11, 2021 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE 38 states will see gubernatorial races over the next two years; Democrats currently hold 18 of the seats that will be contested while the GOP holds 20. Maryland, where popular Gov. Larry Hogan (R-MD) is term-limited, will be hard for Republicans to hold. With a Leans Democratic rating, the Crystal Ball expects a Democrat to flip the seat. Sign up: Free daily newsletter Sign up! We’re starting the cycle off with five Toss-ups: Arizona, Georgia, Kansas, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Not coincidentally, four of those gave President Biden very narrow margins last year.

2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline

2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline
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