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March Payrolls Preview: Big Data Hints At Blowout Numbers

by Tyler Durden Friday, Apr 02, 2021 - 06:44 AM The March nonfarm Payroll Report will be released at 8:30 am tomorrow, on Good Friday, when most markets will be shut, and those that are open - like US cash Treasurys, which close at noon - will suffer from thin liquidity conditions, and therefore, potentially choppy price action.  As noted earlier, amid expectations of a potentially blockbuster payrolls report where consensus is 660K but whisper numbers are at or above 1 million. . due to much stronger big and/or alternative data reads (see below), JPM warned that markets should expect extra treasury volatility should the jobs number emerge as a big upside (or downside) surprise due to the lack of liquidity in the bond market. As the bank warned, our work in the past has shown that Treasury yields are sensitive to payroll surprises and that these moves can be amplified when employment data are released on holiday-shortened trading sessions.

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The Spread in Labor Costs Across the European Union

The Spread in Labor Costs Across the European Union The Spread in Labor Costs Across the European Union In a common market, labor costs will look fairly similar across areas. Sure, there will be some places with differing skill levels, different mixes of industry, and different levels of urbanization, thus leading to somewhat higher or lower labor costs. But over time, workers from lower-pay areas will tend to relocate to higher-pay areas and employers in higher-pay areas will tend to relocate to lower-pay areas. Thus, it s interesting that the European Union continues to show large gaps in hourly labor costs. 

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U.S. Home-Price Growth Accelerated in January: S&P Case-Shiller — 2nd Update

U.S. Home-Price Growth Accelerated in January: S&P Case-Shiller — 2nd Update
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These Grocery Delivery Apps Bring Fresh Food Right To Your Doorstep

These Grocery Delivery Apps Bring Fresh Food Right To Your Doorstep
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Fashion Notes: The Anti-Lockdown Vibes of Lana Del Rey's Latest Album

Fashion Notes: The Anti-Lockdown Vibes of Lana Del Rey's Latest Album
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