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Chart of the Day
Worst 6 Month For Stocks: May to October
The S&P shook off last week’s selling and in x days rallied 132 points off its 4120.25 low. The bulls won and the bears lost. Straight up, I will never say the markets can’t or won’t sell-off. They eventually have to but for now, I think it’s easier and more profitable to buy the pullbacks than sell them. The economy is ‘flush’ with liquidity. Rates are still historically low and I am not even sure the markets will sell off if inflation picks up. You just cannot fight the fed or the trend. The ES makes a high, it starts to sell off over a 1 to 3 day period and could not look worse, and then in one day, the S&P regains most of its lost ground. I know, sometimes there are 6 to 9-day sell-offs but it’s the same thing over and over. There are billions of dollars that have been sidelined waiting for a 10% or 20% pullback.
Matthew Levy writes: In keeping with last week’s theme, the market has mainly traded sideways this week. However, that correction I’ve been calling for weeks? We have potentially started.
While I don’t foresee a crash like we saw last March and feel that the wheels are in motion for a healthy 2021, I still maintain that some correction before the end of Q1 could happen. Bank of America also echoed this statement and said last week that “We expect a buyable 5-10% Q1 correction as the big ‘unknowns’ coincide with exuberant positioning, record equity supply, and as good as it gets’ earnings revisions.”