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Where Energy Modeling Goes Wrong There are a huge number of people doing energy modeling. In my opinion, nearly all of them are going astray in their modeling because they don’t understand how the economy really operates. Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons. The modeling that comes closest to being correct is that which underlies the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows and others. This modeling was based on physical quantities of resources, with no financial system whatsoever. The base model, shown here, indicates that limits would be reached a few years later than we actually seem to be reaching them. The dotted black line in Figure 1 indicates where I saw the world economy to be in January 2019, based on the limits we already seemed to be reaching at that time.

United statesDonald brownleeSteven kopitsDonella meadowsJoseph tainterCharles hallGail tverbergOil companies cut back on spendingEnergy returned toPeak oilColumbia universityEnergy return on investedPew research centerEnergy returned on investedJohn dayGrowth after peak oil