Fitch Ratings has downgraded US government credit from AAA to AA+ based on the medium-term fiscal outlook characterised by rising deficits and government debt. The downgrade is a signal that the US needs to get its budgetary process in order ahead of what looks like another political fight this fall, and although the Federal Reserve no longer expects a US downturn, Fitch expects a mild recession in the US in the fourth quarter this year and first quarter of 2024. US debt is predicted to reach 118% of gross domestic product by 2025, three times higher than the median of 39%.