huge change of mind from manchin and sinema, there s really not a whole lot of hope for bipartisanship or progress on major legislation. julian, you say don t count biden out. past presidents have had lows like this and their administrations have still gone on to second terms, reagan, clinton, among others. what is it going to take for president biden to turn things around? well, i m not clear he can turn it around in the next year. i think going into the mid terms it s going to be difficult. it s really a question of can he and how does he turn it around going into the re-election period? part of it is circumstance. look, if the pandemic finally starts to calm, if the policies are able to contain this, i think many people in this country will be feeling a lot better about the state of the union come 2023 and 2024, containing inflation also something that is manageable, and i think that s another area where some administrative