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so we ought not get too wrapped up in precisely what happens here. but beyond the debate. just in terms of the campaign, look he was supposed to be the front-runner. he was supposed to have the money. he was supposed to be the juggernaut, and he s not. a lot of it is about timing. exceed expectations in iowa and new hampshire. they ve done a terrific job of setting the expectations game a lot of it is about timing, though. he has a content problem. he s not talking about anything that animates the american people. he s failed on immigration reform. he s backed off on so many critical things. he s not a problem solver and it s showing and he s losing. well, people have natural constituencies, and issues that they are known for and bush has a problem in addition to kind of being the guy in the middle on all of that, it is about timing. he is an establishment republican, this is an outsider year. the nominee is going to be an outsider. it is not going to be the establishme