guthrie on the today show, and she asked if it would stay open and he said, of course. you are not so sure? no, i m not. paul ryan was confident yesterday because they had a major victory with the tax ryan, and paul ryan was thinking, of course my caucus are not going to step on their own toes and shut down the government 48 hours later to quote congressman charlie dent, how dumb would that be. and then a deal to fund the government beyond a couple months completely evaporated then. there s a variety of reasons for that. democrats do not want to play ball as much as they have in the past, normally to avoid these kinds of shutdowns, and paul ryan has relied on house democrats to come through when conservatives revolt over any number of reasons over how much