seeing the havoc that stuff shortages calls at airports with flight cancellations and it could push back timeframe for when people start to feel comfortable going back to the office to work. all of this has led economists to cut their growth forecasts for this year. goldman sachs, for example, trimmed its prediction from 4.2% to a more than respectable 3.8%. so if economic growth ground to a halt at the start of the pandemic, before taking off to the moon in 2021, if all goes well the story of 2022 is likely to be one of rebalancing. joining me now is marc 0stwald chief economist & global strategist at adm isi. good morning to you and happy new year. you were listening to all of that. give us your take on the year ahead and if we look at the us to begin with, the risks posed. look at the us to begin with, the risks posed. quite rightly,