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Inputs in Geopolitical Distress: A Risk Assessment Based on Micro Data

After decades of deepening economic integration across nations and regions, spurred by the rise of global value chains, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have srupted international production networks. The size and changing nature of these shocks exacerbate the risk of a reversal of international economic integration, referred to as 'geoeconomic fragmentation.'

Italy
Russia
Ukraine
China
Russian
Chinese
Italian
Enrico-sette
Elena-gentili
Gianmarco-cariola
Tullia-padellini
Alessandro-borin

Striking a Bargain: Narrative Identification of Wage Bargaining Shocks

Workers and employers bargain over the surplus income generated by an employment relationship. This column uses information about key events in Germany relevant for wage negotiations, like labour strikes and the introduction of a minimum wage, to pinpoint changes in bargaining power between workers and employers.

Germany
German
Alexandra-buist
Andrej-sokol
Mario-porqueddu
Alexander-popov
Deutsche-bundesbank
European-central-bank
Research-bulletin-of-the-european-central-bank
Bologna-university
Division-at-european-central-bank
Senior-economist-at-bank

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