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Powell's pause: The curious case of yield, fear, and the debt dilemma

Outlook: We wrote yesterday that the important event would be Fed chief Powell speaking at the Economic Club of New York, but wow, we didn’t suspect h

This is a big week for data, but the Hamas-Israel war will continue to dominate the news and feelings

Outlook: This is a big week for data, but we guess that the Hamas-Israel war will continue to dominate the news and feelings. It can all too easily bl

Two negatives are two positives for the Fed

Outlook: Today we get import prices, the Philly Fed’s Harker, and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index(expected down to 67.4 in Oct fro

All eyes are on falling yields that are giving respite to an overbought Dollar

Trend-followers start tearing their hair out

Outlook: Data today will be critical to the dollar. We get the personal-consumption expenditures price index, where the core is forecast up 0.2% m/m i