to turn out more on election day. you re going to get to bed early because there s a late night tomorrow. what metrix are you looking for today in order to tell me where we re headed. when the votes start coming in, it will be different than what we re used to in virginia. in 2020 the election day vote was at allied first so even though the state was easily called for biden, trump was leading throughout the night and once the mail-in and early votes got counted biden won the state comfortably. this time those votes will be downed first so mcauliffe may be doing really well to count the season and then as election day comes in youngkin is likely to catch up and that s when if he s going surpass mcauliffe it might be later in the night and it could ping-pong back and forth as the election day is counted, red rural areas maybe earlier in the night and the election day vote in some of the bluer suburban counties might come in
in the democratic race who s saying i can win in red rural areas. the republicans have some issues here, but so do the democrats. it s easy to see a coastal democrat doing much worse than mccready. if you look at the district, if you just were running in the suburbs, democrats say yay. if you look at these rural areas, forget it. they are getting redder, more trump as we watch the suburbs get bluer, less trump. the interesting thing about north carolina 9, it s a mixture of ex-urban and rural and where democrats had their revolt in 2018 was in suburban. if they are able to drive upturnout in those areas, mccready did drive up more
wizards and we compared it to 2016. the blue seats have become bluer. clinton seats were won by bigger margins by democrats. even in deep, red rural areas, republican seats were won by slimmer margins. so if you look at the graph, basically everything has migrated to the left. that s a wrap right now until we get in our inbox, our fabulous axios newsletter. thank you, jonathan swan. we ll see you on morning joe in just a little bit. any of you who want to sign up for the newsletter,s as well, th and do it. morning joe, everyone, starts right now. i guess i always thought 1968 would be the most memorable years of my career, the deaths of robert kennedy and martin luther king, the democratic national convention in chicago,