In the surveys that came out, going into the election in 2020, Joe Biden was ahead by seven or eight points on average. He did win by 4 1 2 nationally but the typical state had less than one Point Margin and trump came within 49,218 votes of winning a second term. I think for democrats to have a high degree of confidence, she has to be outside the Margin Of Error heading into this very tight election and Democrats Cant forget that. We always talk about national numbers versus state numbers. Let me ask you, is there a national Poll Number Kamala Harris needs to meet or exceed that will then indicate to you that the Swing States another states are going to follow . That is the number, she hits it, she has got it. Well, look, Kamala Harris, if she wins the national popular vote by more than four, she can be very competent in her chances in the electoral College But Polling is a different matter. We have seen in the last eight years that polling has underestimated trumps face when he is on
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