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hello there. we start here in the uk, where we are about to find out if the economy has fallen into recession that s defined as two quarters in a row of negative economic growth. we already know the uk s entire economic output, or gross domestic product, shrank in the three months to september by 0.3%. injust over an hour, we get gdp figures for october to december. anotherfall would mean the uk is officially in recession. let s talk to melanie baker, senior uk economist at royal london asset management. her group managing funds worth over £150 billion. melanie, what is your prediction? for what we will hear today? fellow consensus is for a flat figure today so the economy having stagnated and i ve pencilled in the small increase but lost the forecasters expect a small fall in output and i think either way, it s not the healthiest place for the uk economy to be. ideally, you want an economy to be growing brusquely quarter on quarter and that isjust brusquely quarter ....