bret: we are going to talk about the magic number this november. 270. as in 270 electoral vote to win the presidency. let s bring back former bush senior advisor karl rove and democratic strategist joe trippi to tell us the latest on the numbers. gentlemen, thank you for being here. before we start, let s look at the map, the latest map, lay it out for you. this map you can see on the key. red means romney. blue, obama. president obama. pinkish is lean romney. light blue lean obama. this is based on polls over the last 30 days, average of 30-day public polls. these are the latest. the plus or minus is based on romney. plus nine, let s say, it s romney plus nine. minus would be heading to president obama. what has changed since we last met? well, only three states have changed. two of them, iowa changed from
involved in a fast and furious coverup. even as the white house exerts executive privilege or documents held. they took note of issa s admission. bret: thank you. no grapevine tonight to bring you more election analysis. up next, karl rove and joe trippi break down the electoral college map. and where things are shifting for president obama and mitt romney. hi, i m phil mickelson. i ve been fortunate to win on golf s biggest stages. but when joint pain and stiffness
the supreme court give more latitude to the states, not less. there are states now under this decision have less authority, less latitude to enforce administration laws and it s become a muddle. but it didn t have to be this way. he went on to say president obama failed to provide leadership on immigration and it represents a broken promise, especially with a democratic house and the democratic senate at the beginning of his term. back with the panel, fred, the politics of this, how it plays for governor romney and president obama? i don t think non-enforcement of immigration law is a good policy for obama to run for re-election on. even a center piece was upheld by the supreme court. quoted by 65%. but not by obama. he is still in a statement today warned how he worried about how it will be applied. i don t think that this ruling today is going to help anymore among hispanics. obviously, president is also doing very well among hispanics. here is what sort of irked me. the president
several voters said they are leaning toward voting for mitt romney in part because they think the president overreac overreached. so your signature piece of legislation is failing? what does it say about the president? when you produce 2400-pang bill and you have the speaker of the house nancy pelosi saying we have to pass the bill to read the ball, you don t pass the bill to read the bill. you read it first. if the court strikes down the mandate, the guts and funding mechanism of the law may be gone. even some republican critics admit congress could step in to try to preserve popular provisions like keeping people under 26 on their parent s health plan. there will be a bipartisan need for those of us to get together and say what can we cobble together on what we do agree on? a loss could hand the president a victory enabling him to campaign against the court. i think there is going to be a real uproar against
287g program, they deported 30 to 40,000 suspected illegal immigrants. the program ended today. that is the record. it cost him politically in the hispanic community to have been so aggressive. more aggressive than predecessor in deporting illegal immigrants. stay in touch with reality. not someone who is born yesterday but someone who is not a conspiracier this rist cod born in the united states. it s not selective enforcement. what with have here, you see this from mitt romney talking about we don t want we are taking away authority of the state. the president does want immigration reform. president bush wanted immigration reform. same trio you mentioned the difference is president bush tried to get it. the trio you mentioned worked with president bush. what happened? it was blocked by republicans. bret: but mara, to fred s initial point, democratic house, democratic senate. the first year-and-a-half