northam carried this county, and biden. and virginia beach, biden flipped it, northam carried it also. it was a flip both in 2020 and 2017. then you get there and say, okay, what else did it? well, terry did have a problem with african american voters. here s hatchton county. he underperformed biden, he also underperformed northam out of there. let s go to rural african american county, particularly greenville county which has 60% african american. again, underperforms normham and biden. and suffolk county, the same, underperforms biden and northam. yes, he got what he needed out of the northern suburbs. trump worked here, but trump didn t work here and here and maybe on the flip side is what happened on the rural counties. let me just show you this, this
is where youngkin ran up the score and essentially took whatever advantage that mcauliffe got out of the northern suburb and wiped away. youngkin not only underperformed what gillespie got, but you can pick any county, the story is the same, mcauliffe, the same, raw vote is northam, that turns into a 5% drop because youngkin nearly doubles everything that he has. here the same. a 50% increase in youngkin s vote. you throw that in there. supercharged turnout there. mediocre suburban turnout for the democrats, mediocre african american turnout and the only place he hit it was the northern suburbs. let me show you the state of new jersey. you want to look at suburban problems here. first of all, let s talk about republican turnouts, the two big
so, you see the bigger story, democrats had suburb problems outside of everywhere, except for northern virginia which is an unique anti-trump vote that did fire people up in that one media market. everywhere else, you had a problem for democrats in the suburbs, a problem for democrats in certain african american turnouts and a supercharged republican electorate that was nearly presidential turnout. throw the whole thing together, you got this for the democrats a calamity, and for republicans, one of their better election nights in nearly a decade, nbc s correspondent kristen welker joins me now. kristen, the white house was beginning its sort of distancing itself from terry mcauliffe s loss, not really expecting or realizing that this isn t about virginia and terry mcauliffe and glenn youngkin, this is a much
and to claim that the criticism of identity politics on the democratic side by some democrats is ridiculous. this is white identity politics tonight to pander to. let s put up the numbers there. in the three states that were surprise wins for donald trump, pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin, pennsylvania, the margin was only 68,000 vote, wisconsin about 28,000 votes. so your argument is democrats should have joust gotten more base voters in those? your. there were 2008 counties who voted for obama twice and then went for trump. three quarters of them lived in the red state a lot of them clinton was going to win anyway. mediocre african-american turnout. were in states where they re solidly blue anyway. i want to show you a map. our great producers of the show put this map together and it looked at the split.