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if the russians do break out into the plains, it is all plains there. this is not the road surrounded by woods. this is plains. that the ukrainians can decimate those forces out in the open. so it will be very different. the underlying thing here, which i don t think has changed. the sinking of the moskva, the performance of their troops. this is not a high quality military. they ve got massive punch but it is not a hey quality military. the ukrainians in mariupol, the major city there, they re still holding off the russians. but this is a brutal fight that is ongoing right now. how big of a win will it be for putin if he is able to take that? no question it will be a win. it will close off a port to ukraine. not the importance of odesa but it will close off a port. which by the way, it has been closed. you can t land cargo where this

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