Advance warning and so i am joined here by olivia who is now at the Peterson Institute and loretta who is the president of the Federal Reserve bank in cleveland and grenade the former fed chairman and paul crewmen the economist and Senior University of new york and columnist for the New York Times and he is the guy who make all journalists nervous because he seems to be more productive than the rest of us and that is kind of frightening given that he does all these other things at the side but we can discuss that later so i wanted to start by asking each of the panelists a little bit about what they took away from the conversation we had this morning. I want to start with olivier who made the observation, him inside the you see behind us about how they behave, perhaps one in this expected but prices arent rising so the question is, what the hell is going on . So i had prepared a slide in anticipation and i think it has survived the previous three hours fairly well and coincides with th
Solid. Disappointing in many ways,. 3 increase in wage growth. We could still be on a path to 3 , so that could be a sign of improvement in the job market. Wages would be. 3 , revisions would be back down to. 1 . 2 per month is what we are looking at. If you can get wages going, you can get inflation going, which is what the fed wants to get going. I do think you are seeing pretty solid labor markets that are not extremely overheating, but it is a good thing for markets and a good thing for equities. This is not a labor market humming along, it is certainly not consistent with needing to raise rates. It pushes the feds possibility back. Sing this is a labor market that potentially looks like it is beginning to slow. The labor market is actually really hot. The run rate for job growth is a below 100,000. Anything above that is taking away the slack in the labor market. The labor market is not hot, it is not humming, it is slowing and relatively weak. As the economy continues to grow and
Consumer price data as well as retail sales ecodata. Noon, federal fed president Patrick Harker gives an Economic Outlook street speech. 12 45, the president has his annual physical exam at Walter Reed Military Center. Emma chandra has the first word news. Emma lets get you caught up on the headlines. The United Nations calls President Trumps remarks about immigrants shocking and shameful. He is said to have used foul language speaking to lawmakers about why the u. S. Accepted immigrants from haiti and africa but not places like norway. President trump will not say whether or not he has spoken with kim jongun. He refused to comment but says he probably has a very Good Relationship with the dictator. A germany, there is preliminary agreement and four months of political stalemate. According to people familiar with the discussion, chancellor Angela Merkel and the Democratic Party have attempted to form a new government, using more government involvement in education and changes to Health
Im nejra cehic. Still seeing a little reaction from the fomc meeting. Ive got the stoxx 600. We were seeing stronger gains. It softened a little bit. We are still up 0. 2 . Stronger dollar against most major peers. Bloomberg dollar index up 0. 1 . It did gain more than that in yesterdays session. The 10year yield rising two basis points. We are at 2. 27 . Pretty steady right now. Also keeping an eye on crude oil. We are a little lower in todays session. 50. 52 dollars a barrel. Weve also got breaking news for you. Leaving its key rate unchanged at 0. 5 . Lets get the bloomberg first word news. Sebastian the bank of japan kept its monetary stimulus unchanged, but a dovish board member opposes the decision. He argued there was little chance of reaching the banks inflation target and the effects of the current yield curve program werent strong enough. That was an unexpected dissension on a board chosen by Prime Minister shinzo abe. The u. S. Secretary of state has told european allies the