Midterm bump for democrats. could motivate them. what is on the screen motivating passion, maybe not so much. according to cnn, according to to enthusiasm, democrats 43%, that is enthusiasm poll, up 7 points from the draft look. look at republican enthusiasm, 56%, this is up nine point from the moment the opinion was drafted. pro-life republicans are more motivated than pro-choice democrats in the wake of this draft opinion. rachel: look at politics around it, how leaders of the democrat party, they said this could be it, this could save us, think about how pathetic your policies are, how sad of a policy you are, all you have left is on abortion. you re literally on the side of death for that issue. really quite remarkable. i will note, this time of year
Him. like candace owens but a guy. exactly. i mean he is. exactly. christine, i am always afraid to show the polls. i m going to show them quickly, briefly, because they make me nervous because i worry about the enthusiasm gap. the polls say that the no vote has been actually increasing, slightly increasing from march to september, that more people are against recalling the current governor, which seems like good news. but the enthusiasm poll, as congresswoman bass just mentioned, it is republicans that are the most enthusiastic. they are amped up to turn california into a super texas or a super florida, which would essentially tank the economy of california, cause a health crisis, destroy climate change, any attempts to stop climate change. i mean it would be a nightmare. are you as worried as i am? probably more so, joy. wonderful to be with you and, of course, karen bass has been leading women against the recall
Nbc news wall street journal survey that show warren widening her lead against the rest of the pack. warren at 25% has gone up 6 point since july while biden has also gone up 5 points to 31%. that energy in warren s crowds is echoed in the poll when asked directly 70% of democratic primary voters said they are enthusiastic or comfortable voting for her. and 64% said the same thing about joe biden. those numbers are if they re surprising they shouldn t be. this is pointing out on the campaign trail you do see her crowds and her performance as a candidate is flawless. and the big number in those polls, the enthusiasm poll where her numbers are up i think 15% and biden s are down 10%. it s clearly a two-horse race. it s hard to look at it any other way. and the pothat i want to see today is that as a binary choice between those two where you go because it s a simple choice between do we go from instability to the other side,
To the immigration rhetoric might have blunted some of that in those areas where toss-up suburban sort of well educated women voters might be turned off. again, governor, i m going to come to you in a second. to mary katherine s point, i want to bring up this poll. the enthusiasm poll showing when it comes to people who are very enthusiastic about voting in the midterms, republicans have a slight edge, 69% to 65%. if you add up people who are also somewhat enthusiastic, then democrats go up. right, can the question is who considers themself a republican as well because there has been some migration by people who are women in the suburbs who would have otherwise called themselves republican who feel so angry and who feel when you ask senator santorum about this h where he puts it in the air to emphasize it without saying the name, there was a story on the front page today of the new york times which talked about the increase in this hate crimes, and this
Here is they ve skewed these polls based on the 2008 model. now we know that the president s support among many in his base has been reduced. every enthusiasm poll shows that it s down significantly. he s lost independents. so when you go back to the 2008 turnout model, that can t be accurate. especially in light of what happened in 2010. so do you acknowledge that those polls are skewed? no, i don t think that s what we re seeing. i think what we re seeing is at least i ve really looked at the cross tabs. what you re starting to see is a small number of independents are starting to self-identify themselves as democrats. in 2010 that was a huge swing of independents self-identifying themselves as republicans, sean. that s what ended up with a huge wave. it s not by any way definitive yet, but you re starting to see a move from bill: no way that model shows from 2008 to 2012. i will bet you any amount of money it s not going to exist. joe, keep please thinking