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Districts of Change, Part One: How All 435 Congressional Districts Voted from 2008-2020

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE One of the most useful tools that the Crystal Ball employs on a regular basis is Dave’s Redistricting App, which helps us make sense of redistricting and includes a plethora of data. Using some of DRA’s newly-released data, we are looking back at how the 2008 election compares to 2020 by congressional district. Despite doing several points worse nationally than Barack Obama did in 2008, Joe Biden performed better than Obama in nearly half (211) of the current 435 House districts. Our home state of Virginia illustrates several of the broader national swings that have taken hold since 2008. Most districts cast more raw votes in 2020 than they did in 2008, though there are some interesting exceptions.
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An Electoral College Time Capsule

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE The six presidential elections held during the 25-year history of the Center for Politics were often close, although most states voted predictably. As part of a time capsule we are putting together to be opened at the center’s 50th anniversary in 2049, we are asking our future students to consider what has changed and what has stayed the same. Had we done the same exercise when the center was founded 25 years ago, we would have seen an Electoral College alignment from 1976-1996 that looked a lot different than what we’ve become familiar with this century.
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