calculation here, which is that she cannot win reelection in 2024 as a democrat, not because you cannot elect a democrat in arizona, no, just quite the opposite, arizona just reelected another democrat, senator mark kelly by nearly five points. kirsten sinema s declaration today is due to the fact that she can t win a democratic primary. she is very likely to lose a democratic primary. from september, a poll found that 37% of arizona democrats have a favorable opinion of her. so you have to wonder if senator sinema was already planning to make this move before democrats secured a much better than expected results in the midterms. the timing of this announcement certainly seems like an attempt to reassert some leverage that she has had for nearly two years, in an evening league divided senate where she was a deciding vote. she s going to be rendered much less relevant as the 51st democratic vote. she said that she will caucus with democrats, so she will
Democratic
Reelection
Arizona
Calculation
Mark-kelly
Opposite
2024
Fact
Kirsten-sinema
Primary
Points
Poll