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Grandparental childcare and Covid-19 | VOX, CEPR Policy Portal


Christina Boll, Till Nikolka 02 March 2021
The role of intergenerational contact in the spread of Covid-19 has been the subject of debate since the onset of the pandemic. This column uses survey and administrative data to explore the link between grandparental childcare and Covid-19 infection rates in Germany. The findings cast doubt on simplistic narratives that suggest a link between intergenerational contact and infection rates. The statistical significance of the positive relationship between the frequency of regular grandparental childcare and Covid infection rates breaks down as soon as potentially confounding factors, in particular the local Catholic population share, are controlled for. ....

United States , Nordrhein Westfalen , El Salvador , West German , Duncker Humblot , Kinderbetreuungsstudie Ki , German Youth Institute , Proceedings Of The National Academy Sciences , American Sociological Association , World Development , German Rhineland , North Rhine Westphalia , German Democratic , Mecklenburg Western Pomerania , European Sociological Review , National Academy , American Sociological , Covid Economics , Die Ordnung , Psychological Science , Eastern Germany , Development Economics , ஒன்றுபட்டது மாநிலங்களில் , னோற்ர்ேன் வெஸ்ட்ஃபாலன் , எல் சால்வடார் , மேற்கு ஜெர்மன் ,

Pandemics swing elections, but not as much as you think | VOX, CEPR Policy Portal


Massimo Morelli
The COVID-19 pandemic changed almost everything about the 2020 American elections. The Biden campaign made much of the federal failure to combat the disease. President Trump politicised the response, appearing to run against practices like mask-wearing that are designed to slow infections (Milosh et al. 2020). Campaign techniques changed dramatically, particularly on the Democratic side, with door-knocking and in-person rallies falling off and outreach moving to video and virtual realms. 
Polls showed that most Americans disapproved of President Trump’s response to COVID-19 – a 17-point chasm by election day. A cross-country analysis of polling data showed that governments that failed to contain COVID-19 infections suffered falling approval rates (Herrera et al. 2020). ....

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Family ties and pandemics: Evidence from Covid-19 | VOX, CEPR Policy Portal


Luca Di Gialleonardo, Mauro Marè, Antonello Motroni, Francesco Porcelli 04 February 2021
It was clear from early on in the Covid-19 pandemic that combatting it would require governments to monitor mass transit, schools, workplaces, and large public events. Less appreciated was the role played by social capital and family ties in the spread of the virus. This column provides an empirical analysis demonstrating a robust positive relationship between family ties and the contagion rate across the world. Death rates, by contrast, are not affected by family ties or other social factors, but by structural variables – from geography and GDP to median age and available hospital beds. ....

United Kingdom , M Le Moglie , Giuseppe Ippolito , Van Bavel , Istituto Lazzaro Spallanzani , Johns Hopkins University , World Values , World Values Survey , John Hopkins University , Paper Becker Friedman Institute , University Of Chicago , Journal Of Economic Behavior Organization , French Health Prefecture , Systems Science , Johns Hopkins , Policy Responses , Cesifo Working Paper , Paper Series , Social Distancing , Pharmaceutical Interventions , Great Influenza Pandemic , John Hopkins , Some Evidences , Covid Economics , Working Paper Becker Friedman Institute , Economic Behavior ,

COVID-19 stimulus payments: Evidence from Japan | VOX, CEPR Policy Portal


Paweł Kopiec
The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted economists to provide timely insights and policy evaluations of the current situation. As a result, there has been growing interest in using alternative data that are collected and maintained primarily by private companies. Financial data from bank transactions, credit cards, and fintech apps have played a particularly crucial role because they keep track of the financial activities of many households. In the early stages of the pandemic, researchers were able to determine its economic impacts. They summarised their results in columns that include Andersen et al. (2020) for Denmark, Baker et al. (2020) for the US, Bounie et al. (2020) for France, Carvalho et al. (2020) for Spain, Chronopoulos et al. (2020) for the UK, and Watanabe (2020) for Japan. ....

United Kingdom , Japan General , Khorasane Ra Avi , Mizuho Bank , Waseda University , Coronavirus Aid , Economic Security , Special Fixed Benefits , Covid Economics , Development Economics , ஒன்றுபட்டது கிஂக்டம் , ஜப்பான் ஜநரல் , மீஜுஹோ வங்கி , பொருளாதார பாதுகாப்பு , சிறப்பு சரி செய்யப்பட்டது நன்மைகள் , வளர்ச்சி பொருளாதாரம் ,

Epidemiological and economic consequences of government responses to COVID-19


Susceptible,
Infected, and
Recovered) have been a popular tool to analyse the diseases dynamics (Anderson et al. 2020, Atkeson et al. 2020). These models can be used to shed light on the impact of physical distancing and other public health measures in containing waves of infections (Aschwanden 2020, Ferguson et al. 2020, Davies et al. 2020). SIR models rely on several parameters (for instance, to quantify the impact of physical distancing on the reproduction rate of the virus, or R), so their insights are only as good as the accuracy of their parameters. 
By contrast, our study (Égert et al. 2020) contributes to a burgeoning literature that seeks to quantify the impact of government interventions on disease progression and mobility, employing reduced-form econometric estimates for the Covid-19 pandemic. This literature has already shown that stricter lockdown policies go in tandem with a reduction in Covid-19-related deaths (Conyon et al. 2020). It has found stron ....

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