Begin with some working news. Lisa Moderna Vaccine information has come out. Rate is what we saw, i higher efficacy rate then pfizer. Last week, people were talking about pfizer and how it had to be kept at ultracold to birchers until a couple of days before it was distributed ultracold temperatures until a couple of days before it was distributed. This one has a 30 day shelf life at standard refrigeration. This is very promising, and we are seeing a reaction in markets. Jonathan they are the headlines. Lets plug them into the financial markets. There is the pop on what irna. Equity futures in the United States, on the s p 500 come on the nasdaq, and on the russell as well. Futures, up russell by a little more than 2 . A record high at the close on friday in the russell, and we advance once again. I want to check in on the bond market. Yields higher, curve steeper. Switch of the board. Bonds lower, yields higher, up three basis points on tens. On 30s, we advance three basis points. In
Market as well. Tom ive got to be careful here, but ive never seen it before. The dynamics of particularly dow futures have been extraordinary. Nasdaq 100 shows a little bit of persistency, with green on the screen. Jonathan 18 basis point trading range on the treasury yield. It is the election map everyone feared they might wake up to, confronted with the idea that you might have to wait maybe a few more days. Lisa theres several maps that are the worst Case Scenario for markets. We have the potential for a contested election, but also looking like the democrats will be unable to win the senate. Not yet determined, but that is the map. If you look at the Electoral College, it is the path to 270. Former Vice President joe biden currently racking up 238 of those votes, versus 213 of President Trump. It is going to be up to wisconsin, michigan, georgia, pennsylvania, nevada. It is so close that the big take away here is that this was not the blue wave people looking for. This is not the
I do want to talk about the resiliency of american corporations to adapt and adjust , whether it was Johnson Johnson a bit ago, the seven could jillian dollars the seven gajillion dollars at blackrock. Thenow the story, executable excellence we are seeing in the statistics. It is going to be fascinating. Jonathan it might be too early to say the gloom of pandemic is behind us, but it might be time that we talk about the provision build of these banks. The number comes in at 611 million. I think that is the positive out of this Earnings Report this morning. Talkednali basak really about that being a key statistic, and it is better than good. I go back 10 minutes ago, the idea that they suspended share buybacks, and yet theyve got enormous Free Cash Flow available for Dividend Growth and maybe some share repurchase. Granted, youve got the mystery of what commercial real estate is going to do. Jonathan i imagine their Capital Return Program will change drastically in about 12 months time.
Around 9 10, a speech by chairman powell. Much at the center of a storm in many ways. Fiscal stimulus seems to be off the table as the political backandforth of the rnc and dnc take focus. Really interested to hear what he says about inflation is real yields dropped near alltime lows yet again. Tom the real yields dropping is increasing inflation expectations. I looked this morning at great britain, at the united states, europe, and switzerland, and the rate of change of the inflation expectations, with the u. S. Leading the way to a higher vector versus the other three major countries. Weve got a lot to talk about. Heres Lisa Abramowicz with the morning brief. Lisa it 30 a. M. Is the other bonanza of data ash 8 30 am is the other bonanza of data we are getting 8 30 am is the other bonanza of data we are getting. We are expecting another one million new initial jobless claims filed. This brings 23 of the past would you for weeks at one million or more of the past 24 weeks at one millio
Especial good morning on sirius xm channel 119, and the path of hurricane laura. That will be a long pass of rain over the next number of days. It is a natural disaster, and every expert says, not that it will affect national gdp, but nevertheless a profound storm. Lisa it really raises the question of what resources the United States has to do with a storm of this magnitude, the biggest storm hitting the u. S. In records going back to the 1800s. How much we have to combat this at a time of such economic distress. Tom galveston here, i believe, and the sunrise over to lake charles and onto new orleans. The path really centered right on the louisiana western border and texas eastern border. Landfall with 150 miles per hour, a scope back to 1856. We fall back to the jobless claims in 28 minutes. We are numbed by one million a week. Lisa i dont understand the relationship right now between the economic at and markets. We are at record highs for the s p and nasdaq, a little off that, and y