War. in fact, he s on track in my view to lose this war. whether he will accept that loss is a different story, and i think so far we still see him imagining that he can conquer ukraine and eliminate ukraine as a nation and as a people. that s not a reality, but i think it does in some respects pose an opportunity for ukraine because it means he s miscalculating. he s been miscalculating since the start of the war by thinking he can break ukrainian will to resist and i think expecting he can do more than sustain his current gains is another miscalculation. break nato unity, break eu unity, all those proved to be miscalculations. tell me your view of the view on the eastern front right now because officials i speak to say russia s attempting to punch through and specifically to break supply lines there and also to attempt to surround ukrainian forces in that area. when they do in general, ukrainian forces strike back, have had some success pushing them back. what is your sense of is t